Murphy Center · at MTSU
Closing line
BEL -3.5✓ BEL covered by 17.5
BEL -3.5✓ BEL covered by 17.5Closing total153.5Under by 8.5
| BEL | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 3-3 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 77–78 MTSU · ✗ MTSU (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 35 | 48 | 83 |
| MTSU | 31 | 31 | 62 |
1st half: BEL 35, MTSU 31 (BEL by 4). The model had MTSU by 0.2 and a total of 72.3 (actual 66).
Team stats
| BEL | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-65 52% | Field goals | 21-67 31% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 8-38 21% |
| 5-13 38% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 43 9 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 21 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic McClain G | 34 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 8-14 | 3-6 |
| Tyler Lundblade G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 28 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 24 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Sam Orme F | 18 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brigham Rogers F | 19 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Win Miller G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Smiley G | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah West G | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Keith Robbins G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Graydon Lemke F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Dykstra G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Haynes G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Noyes
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahvin Carter G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-11 |
| Torey Alston F | 27 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Kamari Lands G | 26 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Chris Loofe F | 26 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Tre Green G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alec Oglesby G | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Sean Smith G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5-15 | 0-4 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 12 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jarred Hall F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: James Dent Jr., Charvez Ambrose, Jax Howard, Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -3.5
ModelMTSU -0.5
Model edgeMTSU +4.0
L BEL covered
Total
Market153.5
Model154.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
L Under
Projected score
BEL 77 · MTSU 77.5
BEL 83 · MTSU 62
Win probability
MTSU 52%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -0.2
BEL -4.0
Total
72.3
66 points
Projected score
BEL 36.1 · MTSU 36.2
BEL 35 · MTSU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -2.5
1 → BEL
CloseBEL -3.5
1 pt toward BEL
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BEL -162 · MTSU +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -2.5 · closed BEL -3.5 · moved 1 toward BELmodel MTSU -0.5
model MTSU -0.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
| MTSUlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BEL 2–1 MTSUBEL leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BEL has won the last 2 meetings · BEL 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | MTSU 79 @ BEL 82 | BEL -3.5 | MTSU W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | BEL 75 @ MTSU 65 | MTSU -1.5 | BEL W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | MTSU 85 @ BEL 75 | BEL -1.5 | MTSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
over 3under 5avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@
EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@
MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vs
MUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vs
GW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vs
MCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vs
UAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
over 3under 3avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Richmond76–84
- W@ Charleston96–73
- Wvs Toledo87–72
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves94–57
- Wvs Lipscomb75–68
4 days since their last game.
MTSU
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UAB76–61
- Lvs McNeese62–72
- Lvs G Washington79–92
- Wvs Murray St90–87
- L@ Michigan61–86
6 days since their last game.