State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
RICH -3.5✓ FUR covered by 4.5
RICH -3.5✓ FUR covered by 4.5Closing total147.5Under by 2.5
| RICH | This season | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 1-3 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICH 79–70 FUR · ✗ RICH (78%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 38 | 34 | 72 |
| FUR | 43 | 30 | 73 |
1st half: RICH 38, FUR 43 (FUR by 5). The model had RICH by 5.5 and a total of 69.9 (actual 81).
Team stats
| RICH | FUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 28-54 52% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 15-17 88% | Free throws | 9-21 43% |
| 36 14 off | Rebounds | 34 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Walz C | 27 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Will Johnston G | 22 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Collin Tanner G | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| AJ Lopez G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Daughtry F | 25 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Aiden Argabright G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| David Thomas G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Donovan Richardson, Dylan Homenick, Will Harper III, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney
| FUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Bowser F | 35 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Asa Thomas G | 34 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7-15 | 5-12 |
| Ben Vander Wal F | 31 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Alex Wilkins G | 30 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 10-19 | 2-7 |
| Charles Johnston F | 27 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tom House G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Eddrin Bronson G | 17 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Collin O'Neal G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Owen Ritger, Gunnar Lewis, Cole Bowser, Abijah Franklin, Mason Smith, Davis Molnar, Thomas Tillman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRICH -3.5
ModelRICH -8.8
Model edgeRICH +5.3
L FUR covered
Total
Market147.5
Model149.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
RICH 79 · FUR 70.2
RICH 72 · FUR 73
Win probability
RICH 78%
1st half
Spread
RICH -5.5
FUR -5.0
Total
69.9
81 points
Projected score
RICH 37.7 · FUR 32.2
RICH 38 · FUR 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -4.5
1 → FUR
CloseRICH -3.5
1 pt toward FUR
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RICH -192 · FUR +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -4.5 · closed RICH -3.5 · moved 1 toward FURmodel RICH -9
model RICH -9
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICHlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
| FURlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Richmond
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
ECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vs
W&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vs
VMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
over 3under 1avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Furman
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
HPU
HPUL 71-97
−22.5
7
vs
TROY
TROYL 61-64
−5.5
14
@
UNI
UNIL 54-70
−6.5
23
vs
QUC
QUCW 90-79
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHPU
HPUL 71-97
+14.5
7
vsTROY
TROYL 61-64
−27.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 54-70
−17.5
23
vsQUC
QUCW 90-79
+15.5
over 2under 2avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Richmond
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gardner-Webb102–67
- Wvs VMI87–54
- Wvs William & Mary90–86
- Wvs East Carolina87–72
5 days since their last game.
Furman
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Queens University Royals90–79
- L@ Northern Iowa54–70
- Lvs Troy61–64
- Lvs High Point71–97
4 days since their last game.