Legacy Arena at BJCC · Neutral site
Closing line
HOU -7.5✓ AUB covered by 6.5
Closing total140.5Over by 4.5
| This season | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 3-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOU 75–71 AUB · ✓ HOU (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 39 | 34 | 73 |
| AUB | 35 | 37 | 72 |
1st half: HOU 39, AUB 35 (HOU by 4). The model had HOU by 2.6 and a total of 68.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| HOU | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-65 43% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 21-33 64% |
| 40 14 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Sharp G | 38 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 35 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Milos Uzan G | 30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 26 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 8-10 | 2-3 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 22 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isiah Harwell G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase McCarty F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Mercy Miller G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ramon Walker Jr., Kordel Jefferson, Jacob McFarland, Bryce Jackson, Cedric Lath
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-14 | 3-8 |
| Kevin Overton G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 29 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 6-16 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 26 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Filip Jovic C | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Abdul Bashir G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Simon Walker, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, CJ Williams, Reed Trapp
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOU -7.5
ModelHOU -4.0
Model edgeAUB +3.5
W AUB covered
Total
Market140.5
Model146.7
Model edgeOver 6.2
W Over
Projected score
HOU 75.4 · AUB 71.4
HOU 73 · AUB 72
Win probability
HOU 64%
1st half
Spread
HOU -2.6
HOU -4.0
Total
68.8
74 points
Projected score
HOU 35.7 · AUB 33.1
HOU 39 · AUB 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -7.5
no move
CloseHOU -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HOU -320 · AUB +260
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -7.5 · unchangedmodel HOU -4
model HOU -4
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% | |
| 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HOU 1–1 AUBSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · HOU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024-25 | AUB 74 vs HOU 69 | HOU -5.5 | AUB W |
| Mar 18, 2022-23 | AUB 64 vs HOU 81 | HOU -5.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Houston
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LEH
W 75-57
−18.5
8
vs
TOW
W 65-48
−9.5
12
vs
OAK
W 78-45
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
LEH
W 75-57
−4.5
8
vs
TOW
W 65-48
−17.5
12
vs
OAK
W 78-45
−15.5
over 0under 3avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
−19.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+14.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
+31.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+3.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+2.5
over 3under 0avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Houston
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oakland78–45
- Wvs Towson65–48
- Wvs Lehigh75–57
4 days since their last game.
Auburn
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wofford93–62
- Wvs Merrimack95–57
- Wvs Bethune95–90
5 days since their last game.