TD Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
USU -9.5✓ USU covered by 24.5
USU -9.5✓ USU covered by 24.5Closing total147.5Over by 6.5
| USU | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 4-0 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 78–69 DAV · ✓ USU (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 48 | 46 | 94 |
| DAV | 30 | 30 | 60 |
1st half: USU 48, DAV 30 (USU by 18). The model had USU by 6.0 and a total of 69.0 (actual 78).
Team stats
| USU | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-59 59% | Field goals | 21-53 40% |
| 12-26 46% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 29 12 off |
| 20 | Assists | 10 |
| 15 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 1 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 28 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 14-19 | 8-12 |
| Mason Falslev G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Drake Allen G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Karson Templin F | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Garry Clark F | 18 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Zach Keller F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Kearney F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe, David Iweze
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Brown G | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Josh Scovens F | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Sean Logan F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Manie Joses F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Brown G | 24 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Roberts Blums G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Hunter Adam G | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Nick Coval G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 16 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 16 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| RJ Greer G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Phillip Kavu, Brock Matheny, Joe Hurlburt, John Nowland
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -7.5
2 → USU
CloseUSU -9.5
2 pts toward USU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USU -600 · DAV +400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -7.5 · closed USU -9.5 · moved 2 toward USUmodel USU -9.5 matches the line
model USU -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -9.5 | USU -9.6 | USU +0.1 | W USU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 147.2 | Under 0.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | USU 78.4 · DAV 68.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -6.0 | USU -18.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | USU 37.5 · DAV 31.5 | USU 48 · DAV 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USUlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
| DAVlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
VCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vs
WEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vs
UTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vs
TULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
over 1under 3avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
WSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@
CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vs
BGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vs
BC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
over 2under 2avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tulane96–75
- Wvs UTEP75–51
- Wvs Weber St83–73
- Wvs VCU80–77
2 days since their last game.
Davidson
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston College59–49
- Wvs Bowling Green91–87
- W@ Charlotte62–55
- Wvs Washington St85–69
2 days since their last game.