Presbyterian Blue Hose at South Carolina Gamecocks: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ETColonial Life Arena · at South Carolina

Final

Closing lineSC -16.5✓ SC covered by 3.5

Closing total137.5Over by 4.5

Season records: Presbyterian and South Carolina
PRES	This season	SC
2-1	Record	2-0
2-1	ATS	0-2
0-3	O/U	2-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: PRES 64–79 SC · ✓ SC (92%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
PRES	22	39	61
SC	41	40	81

1st half: PRES 22, SC 41 (SC by 19). The model had SC by 9.4 and a total of 66.9 (actual 63).

Team stats

PRES		SC
25-59 42%	Field goals	24-57 42%
0-8 0%	3-pointers	8-25 32%
11-20 55%	Free throws	25-32 78%
37 14 off	Rebounds	37 13 off
16	Assists	15
3	Steals	2
1	Blocks	3
10	Turnovers	6
22	Fouls	16
44	Points in paint	28
8	Fast-break points	3

Players

PRES	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Carl Parrish G	32	15	5	2	6-12	0-2
Jonah Pierce F	31	19	9	2	8-19	0-0
Jaylen Peterson F	29	4	11	1	2-4	0-0
Erik Taylor G	25	4	2	6	1-6	0-3
Triston Wilson G	14	0	0	2	0-1	0-0
Bench
Iverson King G	20	2	2	0	1-6	0-1
Josh Pickett G	15	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
Chidi Chiakwelu F	11	11	2	0	5-6	0-0
Khalon Hudson G	8	6	2	0	2-4	0-1
JD Bowden G	7	0	0	3	0-0	0-0
Amare Anderson G	6	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Luke Allison G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Augustine Ayelyine

SC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Meechie Johnson G	25	9	2	3	3-9	1-4
Mike Sharavjamts G	24	13	4	0	4-7	1-2
Kobe Knox G	23	7	1	2	0-4	0-2
Myles Stute G	22	11	5	3	4-11	2-8
Hayden Assemian F	14	5	8	0	2-3	0-0
Bench
Eli Ellis G	23	9	2	5	3-7	0-1
Elijah Strong F	21	4	4	1	1-7	0-3
Jordan Butler F	20	11	7	1	3-4	0-0
Grant Polk G	20	12	1	0	4-4	4-4
Eli Sparkman G	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Nordin Kapic F	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Christ Essandoko, EJ Walker, Cam Scott, Abu Yarmah

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SC -16.5	SC -15.7	PRES +0.8	L SC covered
Total	137.5	142.7	Over 5.2	W Over
Projected score	—	PRES 63.5 · SC 79.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SC -9.4	SC -19.0
1H total	66.9	63
1H projected score	PRES 28.8 · SC 38.1	PRES 22 · SC 41

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PRES LWW	2-1	67%	1-0	2-1
SC LL	0-2	0%	0-2	0-2

Venue/role: PRES away, as underdog; SC home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
PRES UUU	0-3	0%	2-1
SC OO	2-0	100%	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PRESlast 3	2-1 67%	2-1 67%	0-3 0%
SClast 2	2-0 100%	0-2 0%	2-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

PRES 0–2 SCSC leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · SC has won the last 2 meetings · PRES 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 30, 2024-25	PRES 59 @ SC 69	SC -18.5	PRES W
Dec 11, 2022-23	PRES 57 @ SC 68	SC -9.5	SC W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Presbyterian

3 games played

Straight up

2-1

67% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

0-3

0% overs · avg −12.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-167%

L W W

2 straight wins2 of 3 won

Against the spread

2-167%

L W W

2 straight covers2 of 3 covered

Over / Under

0-30%

U U U

3 straight unders0 of 3 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNAVY	L 55-76	+3.5	L −17.5	141.5	U 131
Nov 8	vsETSU	W 68-64	+6.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 132
Nov 10	@GAST	W 63-61	+3.5	W +5.5	141.5	U 124

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NAVY

L 55-76

−17.5

ETSU

W 68-64

+10.5

GAST

W 63-61

+5.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NAVY

L 55-76

−10.5

ETSU

W 68-64

−9.5

GAST

W 63-61

−17.5

over 0under 3avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

South Carolina

2 games played

Straight up

2-0

100% wins

Against the spread

0-2

0% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-0

100% overs · avg +17 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-0100%

W W

2 straight wins2 of 2 won

Against the spread

0-20%

L L

2 straight misses ATS0 of 2 covered

Over / Under

2-0100%

O O

2 straight overs2 of 2 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsNCAT	W 91-72	-22.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 163
Nov 9	vsUSM	W 83-79	-17.5	L −13.5	147.5	O 162

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NCAT

W 91-72

−3.5

USM

W 83-79

−13.5

covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NCAT

W 91-72

+19.5

USM

W 83-79

+14.5

over 2under 0avg +17 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Presbyterian @ South Carolina

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Presbyterian

South Carolina

Presbyterian

South Carolina