Carnesecca Arena · at St John's
Closing line
SJU -28.5✓ SJU covered by 4.5
Closing total179.5Under by 26.5
| This season | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: W&M 70–100 SJU · ✓ SJU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 34 | 26 | 60 |
| SJU | 39 | 54 | 93 |
1st half: W&M 34, SJU 39 (SJU by 5). The model had SJU by 18.0 and a total of 79.9 (actual 73).
Team stats
| W&M | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-61 38% | Field goals | 36-75 48% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 6-28 21% |
| 5-12 42% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 43 16 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 24 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 25 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Cade Haskins F | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Chase Lowe G | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 24 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Frazier G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kaleb Spencer F | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Lamine Ndaw, Miles Hicks, Ethan Connery
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Darling G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 28 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 18 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Ruben Prey F | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joson Sanon G | 21 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Ian Jackson G | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 16 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kelvin Odih G | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Casper Pohto G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Handje Tamba C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -25.5
3 → SJU
CloseSJU -28.5
3 pts toward SJU
Total
Open169.5
▲ 10
Close179.5
Up 10 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -25.5 · closed SJU -28.5 · moved 3 toward SJUmodel SJU -30
model SJU -30
Opened 169.5 · closed 179.5 · moved 10 upmodel 171
model 171
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -28.5 | SJU -30.0 | SJU +1.5 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 179.5 | 170.8 | Under 8.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | W&M 70.4 · SJU 100.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -18.0 | SJU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 79.9 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | W&M 31 · SJU 49 | W&M 34 · SJU 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | |
| 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
William & Mary
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
NORF
W 81-78
+0.5
11
@
RICH
L 86-90
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
NORF
W 81-78
+0.5
11
@
RICH
L 86-90
+11.5
over 2under 0avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +26 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
QUIN
W 108-74
+7.5
8
vs
ALA
L 96-103
−11.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
QUIN
W 108-74
+25.5
8
vs
ALA
L 96-103
+26.5
over 2under 0avg +26 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
William & Mary
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Richmond86–90
- W@ Norfolk St81–78
4 days since their last game.
St John's
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Alabama96–103
- Wvs Quinnipiac108–74
A week or more of rest.