The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco
Closing line
SF -13.5✓ PRST covered by 3.5
Closing total154.5Under by 4.5
| This season | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PRST 69–82 SF · ✓ SF (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRST | 20 | 50 | 70 |
| SF | 36 | 44 | 80 |
1st half: PRST 20, SF 36 (SF by 16). The model had SF by 7.9 and a total of 70.4 (actual 56).
Team stats
| PRST | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-66 39% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 25 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| PRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson G | 37 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 6-16 | 3-8 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. G | 33 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott C | 32 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Terri Miller Jr. F | 28 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2-11 | 0-4 |
| Alex Dupre G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Tidor G | 23 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
| Brycen Long G | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charles Chukwu F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kelcy Phipps G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Colt Ness G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Matt Beatty, Isaiah Williams, Brayden Barron, Mozae Downing-Rivers, Kean Webb, Samuel Stewart IV, Isaac Brice
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 36 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 8-14 | 3-8 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 30 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 28 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Junjie Wang F | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mookie Cook F | 25 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| David Fuchs F | 21 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Legend Smiley G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 12 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Weilun Zhao, Sean Blakely Drummond, Aidan Braccia, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -13.5
ModelSF -13.3
Model edgePRST +0.2
W PRST covered
Total
Market154.5
Model150.3
Model edgeUnder 4.2
W Under
Projected score
PRST 68.5 · SF 81.8
PRST 70 · SF 80
Win probability
SF 88%
1st half
Spread
SF -7.9
SF -16.0
Total
70.4
56 points
Projected score
PRST 31.3 · SF 39.2
PRST 20 · SF 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -10.5
3 → SF
CloseSF -13.5
3 pts toward SF
Total
Open150.5
▲ 4
Close154.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
PRST +500 · SF -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -10.5 · closed SF -13.5 · moved 3 toward SFmodel SF -13.5 matches the line
model SF -13.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 4 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | |
| 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +23.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 79-89 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
STAN
L 79-89
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
STAN
L 79-89
+23.5
over 1under 0avg +23.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Francisco
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
MEM
L 70-76
−3.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
MEM
L 70-76
−11.5
over 0under 1avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stanford79–89
A week or more of rest.
San Francisco
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Memphis70–76
4 days since their last game.