Florida A&M Rattlers at UCF Knights: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 11, 7:00 PM ETAddition Financial Arena · at UCF

Final

#39UCFUCF97▲ winner

Closing lineUCF -23.5✓ UCF covered by 13.5

Closing total169.5Under by 12.5

Season records: Florida A&M and UCF
FAMU	This season	UCF
0-2	Record	1-1
0-2	ATS	0-2
1-1	O/U	2-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: FAMU 69–94 UCF · ✓ UCF (99%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
FAMU	20	40	60
UCF	48	49	97

1st half: FAMU 20, UCF 48 (UCF by 28). The model had UCF by 15.2 and a total of 76.5 (actual 68).

Team stats

FAMU		UCF
21-55 38%	Field goals	36-66 55%
6-21 29%	3-pointers	13-20 65%
12-22 55%	Free throws	12-16 75%
24 7 off	Rebounds	48 15 off
15	Assists	24
11	Steals	11
6	Blocks	6
16	Turnovers	16
16	Fouls	17
30	Points in paint	46
9	Fast-break points	24

Players

FAMU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Antonio Baker Jr. G	29	6	1	0	2-8	0-2
Tyler Shirley F	24	3	3	1	1-4	1-3
Jaquan Sanders G	22	5	1	2	2-6	0-2
Miles Ndalama C	22	8	6	1	4-6	0-0
Anquan Boldin Jr. G	21	4	4	1	1-7	0-0
Bench
Jordan Chatman G	22	5	0	1	1-4	1-3
Devere Palmer Jr. G	20	9	2	3	2-4	0-0
Anthony Knowles G	17	12	1	1	4-8	4-8
Kaleb Washington F	15	2	2	3	1-4	0-2
Malcolm Stute G	3	0	0	2	0-0	0-0
Amir Rahman G	3	4	0	0	2-2	0-0
Lenard Taylor Jr. G	2	2	1	0	1-2	0-1

Did not play: Micah Octave

UCF	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Riley Kugel G	28	16	0	2	6-10	3-3
Themus Fulks G	21	6	6	6	3-9	0-0
Jordan Burks F	19	9	7	1	3-8	0-2
Jamichael Stillwell F	19	6	6	2	2-4	1-2
John Bol C	14	9	5	0	4-5	0-0
Bench
Devan Cambridge F	20	8	5	4	3-3	1-1
Carmelo Pacheco G	18	17	1	1	5-7	5-6
Chris Johnson G	13	3	3	5	1-4	0-1
George Beale Jr. G	13	10	2	1	4-7	2-4
Kris Parker G	13	5	2	1	2-3	1-1
Jeremy Foumena C	10	6	6	0	2-3	0-0
Elijah Hulsewe C	7	0	1	1	0-0	0-0
Poohpha Warakulnukroh G	3	2	1	0	1-3	0-0
Zachary Johnson F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Tanner Jones

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	UCF -23.5	UCF -25.3	UCF +1.8	W UCF covered
Total	169.5	163.5	Under 6.0	W Under
Projected score	—	FAMU 69.1 · UCF 94.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	UCF -15.2	UCF -28.0
1H total	76.5	68
1H projected score	FAMU 30.7 · UCF 45.9	FAMU 20 · UCF 48

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAMU LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-2
UCF LL	0-2	0%	0-2	0-1

Venue/role: FAMU away, as underdog; UCF home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAMU OU	1-1	50%	0-2
UCF OO	2-0	100%	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAMUlast 2	0-2 0%	0-2 0%	1-1 50%
UCFlast 2	1-1 50%	0-2 0%	2-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

FAMU 0–1 UCFUCF leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · FAMU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 21, 2023-24	FAMU 56 @ UCF 69	UCF -24.5	FAMU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Florida A&M

2 games played

Straight up

0-2

0% wins

Against the spread

0-2

0% covers · avg −9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-1

50% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-20%

L L

2 straight losses0 of 2 won

Against the spread

0-20%

L L

2 straight misses ATS0 of 2 covered

Over / Under

1-150%

O U

1 of 2 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@USF	L 67-102	+25.5	L −9.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 8	vsKENN	L 72-92	+11.5	L −8.5	166.5	U 164

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

USF

L 67-102

−9.5

KENN

L 72-92

−8.5

covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

USF

L 67-102

+15.5

KENN

L 72-92

−2.5

over 1under 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

UCF

2 games played

Straight up

1-1

50% wins

Against the spread

0-2

0% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-0

100% overs · avg +25.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-150%

W L

1 of 2 wonno streak

Against the spread

0-20%

L L

2 straight misses ATS0 of 2 covered

Over / Under

2-0100%

O O

2 straight overs2 of 2 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsHOF	W 82-78	-8.5	L −4.5	140.5	O 160
Nov 8	vsVAN	L 93-105	+10.5	L −1.5	166.5	O 198

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HOF

W 82-78

−4.5

VAN

L 93-105

−1.5

covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HOF

W 82-78

+19.5

VAN

L 93-105

+31.5

over 2under 0avg +25.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Florida A&M @ UCF

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Florida A&M

UCF

Florida A&M

UCF