Bryce Jordan Center · at Penn State
Closing line
PSU -14.5✓ PSU covered by 16.5
PSU -14.5✓ PSU covered by 16.5Closing total160.5Under by 11.5
 SHU | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 6-1 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHU 72–89 PSU · ✓ PSU (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHU | 20 | 39 | 59 |
| PSU | 47 | 43 | 90 |
1st half: SHU 20, PSU 47 (PSU by 27). The model had PSU by 9.8 and a total of 75.2 (actual 67).
Team stats
| SHU | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-54 37% | Field goals | 32-59 54% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 19-29 66% |
| 23 6 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 12 | Steals | 15 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 24 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| SHU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashon Gittens G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Yann Farell F | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Jaden Slaughter G | 27 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Anquan Hill F | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Mekhi Conner G | 24 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nyle Ralph-Beyer G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-7 |
| Taj Bryant G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Abdou Yadd F | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Lucius Gibson-Savadel F | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Fallou Gueye G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Pikiell, Jeremiah Jacobs, Mooda Gittens, Griffin Barrouk, Alex Woodring, Malik Sheppard
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melih Tunca G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Kayden Mingo G | 26 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Josh Reed F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Ivan Juric F | 20 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddie Dilione V G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Tibor Mirtic F | 20 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Eli Rice G | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chris Lotito F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Mason Blackwood
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPSU -15.5
1 → SHU
ClosePSU -14.5
1 pt toward SHU
Total
Open162.5
▼ 2
Close160.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SHU +900 · PSU -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PSU -15.5 · closed PSU -14.5 · moved 1 toward SHUmodel PSU -16.5
model PSU -16.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 downmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PSU -14.5 | PSU -16.5 | PSU +2.0 | W PSU covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 160.8 | Over 0.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SHU 72.1 · PSU 88.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PSU -9.8 | PSU -27.0 |
| 1H total | 75.2 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | SHU 32.7 · PSU 42.5 | SHU 20 · PSU 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHUlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| PSUlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 2-5 29% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sacred Heart
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg +10.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+0.5
11
@
VILL
VILLL 60-94
−14.5
15
@
QUC
QUCL 64-81
−11.5
21
vs
HC
HCW 79-66
+5.5
24
@
CCSU
CCSUL 106-108
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+14.5
11
@VILL
VILLL 60-94
−6.5
15
@QUC
QUCL 64-81
−20.5
21
vsHC
HCW 79-66
−7.5
24
@CCSU
CCSUL 106-108
+70.5
over 2under 3avg +10.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
over 3under 4avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sacred Heart
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ C Connecticut106–108
- Wvs Holy Cross79–66
- L@ Queens University Royals64–81
- L@ Villanova60–94
- L@ Duquesne80–92
5 days since their last game.
Penn State
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston U96–87
- Lvs Providence65–77
- Wvs Harvard84–80
- Wvs La Salle83–69
- Wvs Navy80–71
4 days since their last game.