Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa
Closing line
IOWA -23.5✓ IOWA covered by 5.5
IOWA -23.5✓ IOWA covered by 5.5Closing total147.5Over by 21.5
 SEMO | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEMO 66–90 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 25 | 45 | 70 |
| IOWA | 49 | 50 | 99 |
1st half: SEMO 25, IOWA 49 (IOWA by 24). The model had IOWA by 14.0 and a total of 73.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| SEMO | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-50 52% | Field goals | 30-49 61% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 12-21 57% | Free throws | 29-39 74% |
| 26 10 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 25 | Fouls | 20 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward G | 33 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 27 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Brendan Terry F | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Landren Blocker G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Idada C | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PJ Farmer G | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Marqueas Bell G | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trace Sadler F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jay Reynolds G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Saxton Hoepker
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Cooper Koch F | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 17 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaia Howard G | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Tavion Banks G | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 25 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Trevin Jirak C | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Tate Sage G | 18 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Kael Combs G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Joey Matteoni F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Jacob Koch
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIOWA -23.5
ModelIOWA -23.4
Model edgeSEMO +0.1
L IOWA covered
Total
Market147.5
Model156.2
Model edgeOver 8.7
W Over
Projected score
SEMO 66.4 · IOWA 89.8
SEMO 70 · IOWA 99
Win probability
IOWA 98%
1st half
Spread
IOWA -14.0
IOWA -24.0
Total
73.2
74 points
Projected score
SEMO 29.6 · IOWA 43.6
SEMO 25 · IOWA 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -24.5
1 → SEMO
CloseIOWA -23.5
1 pt toward SEMO
Total
Open150.5
▼ 3
Close147.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SEMO +3500 · IOWA -50000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -24.5 · closed IOWA -23.5 · moved 1 toward SEMOmodel IOWA -23.5 matches the line
model IOWA -23.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMOlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% |
| IOWAlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SEMO 0–1 IOWAIOWA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SEMO 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022-23 | SEMO 75 @ IOWA 106 | IOWA -22.5 | IOWA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SE Missouri
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SLU
SLUL 67-92
−5.5
7
@
MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+20.5
15
vs
STMN
STMNL 72-84
−9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
+5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+15.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
+3.5
over 3under 0avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
RMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vs
WIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vs
XAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
over 1under 2avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SE Missouri
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs St Thomas72–84
- L@ Missouri84–89
- L@ Saint Louis67–92
3 days since their last game.
Iowa
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Xavier81–62
- Wvs W Illinois77–58
- Wvs Robert Morris101–69
4 days since their last game.