Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova
Closing line
VILL -19.5✓ VILL covered by 14.5
VILL -19.5✓ VILL covered by 14.5Closing total160.5Under by 6.5
 SHU | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHU 67–89 VILL · ✓ VILL (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHU | 26 | 34 | 60 |
| VILL | 52 | 42 | 94 |
1st half: SHU 26, VILL 52 (VILL by 26). The model had VILL by 13.4 and a total of 73.2 (actual 78).
Team stats
| SHU | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-56 41% | Field goals | 34-62 55% |
| 12-30 40% | 3-pointers | 22-43 51% |
| 2-3 67% | Free throws | 4-6 67% |
| 25 9 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 28 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SHU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mekhi Conner G | 34 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-15 | 4-11 |
| Anquan Hill F | 31 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Taj Bryant G | 28 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Yann Farell F | 24 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Nyle Ralph-Beyer G | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fallou Gueye G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Abdou Yadd F | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jaden Slaughter G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lucius Gibson-Savadel F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Pikiell, Jeremiah Jacobs, Mooda Gittens, Alex Woodring, Malik Sheppard, Dashon Gittens, Griffin Barrouk
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lindsay G | 29 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 9-15 | 9-14 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 28 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Matt Hodge F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Duke Brennan F | 19 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 23 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 10-13 | 7-10 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 16 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Braden Pierce C | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wade Chiddick G | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nico Onyekwere, Zion Stanford, Malcolm Flaggs, Tafara Gapare
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVILL -19.5
ModelVILL -22.4
Model edgeVILL +2.9
W VILL covered
Total
Market160.5
Model156.2
Model edgeUnder 4.3
W Under
Projected score
SHU 66.9 · VILL 89.3
SHU 60 · VILL 94
Win probability
VILL 97%
1st half
Spread
VILL -13.4
VILL -26.0
Total
73.2
78 points
Projected score
SHU 29.9 · VILL 43.3
SHU 26 · VILL 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -20.5
1 → SHU
CloseVILL -19.5
1 pt toward SHU
Total
Open159.5
▲ 1
Close160.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SHU +1800 · VILL -6000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -20.5 · closed VILL -19.5 · moved 1 toward SHUmodel VILL -22.5
model VILL -22.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 1 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHUlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| VILLlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sacred Heart
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +14.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ DUQ | L 80-92 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+14.5
over 1under 0avg +14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vs
QUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
over 1under 1avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sacred Heart
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duquesne80–92
4 days since their last game.
Villanova
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Queens University Royals94–74
- Lvs BYU66–71
3 days since their last game.