Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St
Closing line
MOST -3.5✓ MOST covered by 3.5
MOST -3.5✓ MOST covered by 3.5Closing total149.5Under by 8.5
 RGV | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 0-2 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RGV 74–75 MOST · ✓ MOST (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 30 | 37 | 67 |
| MOST | 28 | 46 | 74 |
1st half: RGV 30, MOST 28 (RGV by 2). The model had MOST by 0.4 and a total of 69.7 (actual 58).
Team stats
| RGV | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-51 45% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 26 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| RGV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koree Cotton G | 28 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Marvin McGhee III G | 26 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Filip Brankovic F | 24 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Always Wright G | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Kye Dickson F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zae Blake G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Julien Gomez G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kwo Agwa F | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Dane Christensen F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Marshal Destremau F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jalen Ricks, Demarris Winters, Mustafo Vanjov, Luis Ramirez
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaxton King G | 36 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 35 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
| Kobi Williams G | 35 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-9 |
| Keith Palek III F | 34 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 6-14 | 4-9 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 20 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darrion Sutton F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Logan Epes G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Melakih Cunningham, Ryder Cheesman, Amar Kuljuhovic, Antwan Burnett
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMOST -3.5
ModelMOST -1.0
Model edgeRGV +2.5
L MOST covered
Total
Market149.5
Model148.8
Model edgeUnder 0.7
W Under
Projected score
RGV 73.9 · MOST 74.9
RGV 67 · MOST 74
Win probability
MOST 53%
1st half
Spread
MOST -0.4
RGV -2.0
Total
69.7
58 points
Projected score
RGV 34.7 · MOST 35.1
RGV 30 · MOST 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMOST -1.5
2 → MOST
CloseMOST -3.5
2 pts toward MOST
Total
Open150.5
▼ 1
Close149.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RGV +135 · MOST -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MOST -1.5 · closed MOST -3.5 · moved 2 toward MOSTmodel MOST -1
model MOST -1
Opened 150.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGVlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
| MOSTlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Rio Grande
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +9.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BAY
BAYL 81-96
+9.5
8
@
SUU
SUUW 95-72
+21.5
11
@
BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+22.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+6.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−11.5
over 2under 1avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vs
ARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@
UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
over 1under 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Rio Grande
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boise St65–85
- W@ Southern Utah95–72
- L@ Baylor81–96
A week or more of rest.
Missouri St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UT Arlington49–67
- Lvs Arkansas St85–86
A week or more of rest.