Worthen Arena · at Ball State
Closing line
BALL -4.5✓ BALL covered by 6.5
Closing total141.5Under by 2.5
| This season | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UL 68–74 BALL · ✓ BALL (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 29 | 35 | 64 |
| BALL | 28 | 47 | 75 |
1st half: UL 29, BALL 28 (UL by 1). The model had BALL by 3.2 and a total of 66.7 (actual 57).
Team stats
| UL | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 24-46 52% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 8-15 53% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamyron Keller G | 34 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 7-20 | 4-11 |
| Dorian Finister G | 31 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Jaxon Olvera G | 27 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Dariyus Woodson F | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Jeremiah Evans F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| De'vion Lavergne G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Joshua Lewis F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kyran Ratliff F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Karris Bilal G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mike Collins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael Mouton, Milan Mejia, Christian Landry, Zeke Cook, Sean Elkinton, Logan Myers, Rahman Olajuwon
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Hill G | 34 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Armoni Zeigler G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Mason Jones F | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Kayden Fish F | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Devon Barnes G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Denson F | 27 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Elmore James IV G | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jai Anthoni Bearden, Kody Clancy, Zane Doughty, Easton Foster, Preston Copeland, Alex Farley, Joey Hart
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBALL -4.5
ModelBALL -5.6
Model edgeBALL +1.1
W BALL covered
Total
Market141.5
Model142.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
L Under
Projected score
UL 68.4 · BALL 74
UL 64 · BALL 75
Win probability
BALL 69%
1st half
Spread
BALL -3.2
UL -1.0
Total
66.7
57 points
Projected score
UL 31.7 · BALL 35
UL 29 · BALL 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBALL -1.5
3 → BALL
CloseBALL -4.5
3 pts toward BALL
Total
Open146.5
▼ 5
Close141.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
UL +160 · BALL -190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BALL -1.5 · closed BALL -4.5 · moved 3 toward BALLmodel BALL -5.5
model BALL -5.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana
32 games played
Straight up
11-21
34% wins
Against the spread
12-20
38% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-20
38% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | L 66-70 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 45-91 | +31.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | vs | L 61-83 | -2.5 | L −24.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 69-89 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 74-83 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 86-98 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 75-76 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 8 | vs | L 58-69 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 11 | vs | W 68-61 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 14 | vs | L 45-74 | -3.5 | L −32.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 22 | vs | L 56-64 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 2 | @ | W 71-68 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 70-94 | +0.5 | L −23.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | vs | L 60-71 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 11 | vs | W 71-68 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 16 | @ | L 63-83 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 18 | @ | W 65-60 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 23 | vs | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 25 | vs | L 59-67 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | @ | W 70-61 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 58-62 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 82-83 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 8 | @ | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 12 | vs | L 56-74 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 15 | vs | W 79-68 | +6.5 | W +17.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 20 | @ | W 72-69 | +15.5 | W +18.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 22 | @ | W 62-60 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 26 | vs | L 64-83 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 42-65 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 107 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 73-69 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Mar 5 | vs | L 49-67 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
KENT
L 66-70
−1.5
13
@
HOU
L 45-91
−14.5
19
vs
RICE
L 61-83
−24.5
22
vs
LIB
L 69-89
−8.5
23
vs
GW
L 74-83
−2.5
25
vs
UAB
L 86-98
−0.5
30
vs
NICH
L 75-76
−2.5
8
vs
LT
L 58-69
−4.5
11
vs
SELA
W 68-61
+2.5
14
vs
LAM
L 45-74
−32.5
18
vs
APP
W 68-62
+8.5
22
vs
MCN
L 56-64
+3.5
2
@
CCU
W 71-68
+5.5
4
@
GAST
L 70-94
−23.5
9
vs
ODU
L 60-71
−14.5
11
vs
ULM
W 71-68
−3.5
16
@
ARST
L 63-83
−3.5
18
@
ULM
W 65-60
+3.5
23
vs
TXST
L 74-89
−9.5
25
vs
USM
L 59-67
−6.5
30
@
TXST
W 70-61
+20.5
1
vs
USA
L 58-62
+2.5
5
@
GASO
L 82-83
+5.5
8
@
NIU
W 66-64
+0.5
12
vs
TROY
L 56-74
−8.5
15
vs
MRSH
W 79-68
+17.5
20
@
TROY
W 72-69
+18.5
22
@
USM
W 62-60
+6.5
26
vs
ARST
L 64-83
−7.5
28
@
USA
L 42-65
−10.5
4
vs
ULM
W 73-69
−1.5
5
vs
ODU
L 49-67
−13.5
covered 12didn’t cover 20avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
KENT
L 66-70
−8.5
13
@
HOU
L 45-91
−3.5
19
vs
RICE
L 61-83
+1.5
22
vs
LIB
L 69-89
+24.5
23
vs
GW
L 74-83
+5.5
25
vs
UAB
L 86-98
+26.5
30
vs
NICH
L 75-76
+4.5
8
vs
LT
L 58-69
−19.5
11
vs
SELA
W 68-61
−15.5
14
vs
LAM
L 45-74
−25.5
18
vs
APP
W 68-62
−6.5
22
vs
MCN
L 56-64
−20.5
2
@
CCU
W 71-68
+1.5
4
@
GAST
L 70-94
+19.5
9
vs
ODU
L 60-71
−13.5
11
vs
ULM
W 71-68
−3.5
16
@
ARST
L 63-83
−2.5
18
@
ULM
W 65-60
−15.5
23
vs
TXST
L 74-89
+20.5
25
vs
USM
L 59-67
−22.5
30
@
TXST
W 70-61
−12.5
1
vs
USA
L 58-62
−13.5
5
@
GASO
L 82-83
+19.5
8
@
NIU
W 66-64
−13.5
12
vs
TROY
L 56-74
−7.5
15
vs
MRSH
W 79-68
+0.5
20
@
TROY
W 72-69
+3.5
22
@
USM
W 62-60
−26.5
26
vs
ARST
L 64-83
−1.5
28
@
USA
L 42-65
−27.5
4
vs
ULM
W 73-69
+5.5
5
vs
ODU
L 49-67
−20.5
over 12under 20avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ball State
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 66-71 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 69-77 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 84-94 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 20 | vs | L 59-70 | -11.5 | L −22.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 63-61 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 60-73 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 8 | @ | L 69-82 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 14 | @ | W 86-82 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 80-43 | -4.5 | W +32.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 4 | @ | W 75-67 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 72-80 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 11 | vs | W 91-69 | -5.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 71-86 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 18 | vs | L 75-93 | -0.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 82-80 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 25 | @ | L 66-76 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 71-74 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 89-76 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 73-81 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 8 | vs | W 77-76 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 86-84 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 15 | vs | W 89-83 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 66-67 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 22 | vs | W 80-66 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 25 | vs | L 82-87 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 1 | @ | L 52-61 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 113 |
| Mar 4 | vs | L 67-69 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 7 | @ | L 66-79 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
GAST
L 66-71
−1.5
13
@
DAY
L 69-77
+7.5
16
vs
INST
L 84-94
−15.5
20
vs
DETM
L 59-70
−22.5
25
vs
EKU
W 63-61
+5.5
27
vs
RICH
L 60-73
−9.5
8
@
SIUE
L 69-82
−10.5
14
@
BELL
W 86-82
+0.5
21
vs
EVAN
W 80-43
+32.5
4
@
KENT
W 75-67
+18.5
7
vs
M-OH
L 72-80
−6.5
11
vs
BGSU
W 91-69
+16.5
14
@
OHIO
L 71-86
−6.5
18
vs
TOL
L 75-93
−18.5
21
@
CMU
W 82-80
+6.5
25
@
NIU
L 66-76
−15.5
28
vs
WMU
L 71-74
−7.5
1
@
BUF
W 89-76
+10.5
4
@
AKR
L 73-81
+5.5
8
vs
USM
W 77-76
−2.5
11
vs
EMU
W 86-84
−2.5
15
vs
NIU
W 89-83
−3.5
18
@
TOL
L 66-67
+6.5
22
vs
BUF
W 80-66
+4.5
25
vs
AKR
L 82-87
+1.5
1
@
BGSU
L 52-61
−7.5
4
vs
CMU
L 67-69
+0.5
7
@
M-OH
L 66-79
−3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
GAST
L 66-71
−10.5
13
@
DAY
L 69-77
+1.5
16
vs
INST
L 84-94
+28.5
20
vs
DETM
L 59-70
−14.5
25
vs
EKU
W 63-61
−24.5
27
vs
RICH
L 60-73
−0.5
8
@
SIUE
L 69-82
+13.5
14
@
BELL
W 86-82
+25.5
21
vs
EVAN
W 80-43
−16.5
4
@
KENT
W 75-67
+4.5
7
vs
M-OH
L 72-80
+7.5
11
vs
BGSU
W 91-69
+10.5
14
@
OHIO
L 71-86
+5.5
18
vs
TOL
L 75-93
+12.5
21
@
CMU
W 82-80
+22.5
25
@
NIU
L 66-76
−6.5
28
vs
WMU
L 71-74
−5.5
1
@
BUF
W 89-76
+12.5
4
@
AKR
L 73-81
−1.5
8
vs
USM
W 77-76
+5.5
11
vs
EMU
W 86-84
+20.5
15
vs
NIU
W 89-83
+23.5
18
@
TOL
L 66-67
−22.5
22
vs
BUF
W 80-66
−5.5
25
vs
AKR
L 82-87
+11.5
1
@
BGSU
L 52-61
−34.5
4
vs
CMU
L 67-69
−11.5
7
@
M-OH
L 66-79
−5.5
over 15under 13avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Ball State
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.