UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · at Milwaukee
Closing line
MILW -3.5✓ MILW covered by 16.5
MILW -3.5✓ MILW covered by 16.5Closing total156.5Over by 7.5
 LR | This season | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LR 75–81 MILW · ✓ MILW (70%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 38 | 34 | 72 |
| MILW | 41 | 51 | 92 |
1st half: LR 38, MILW 41 (MILW by 3). The model had MILW by 3.4 and a total of 72.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| LR | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 8-16 50% | 3-pointers | 14-30 47% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 39 |
Players
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 28 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-3 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-3 |
| Christian Hughes G | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Truman Claytor IV F | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 16 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Terrion Burgess F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Thomas G | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kellen Robinson, Travonne Jackson, Khasen Robinson, KK Robinson
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Hubbard G | 33 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 7-11 | 4-7 |
| Amar Augillard G | 27 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 9-16 | 6-13 |
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 26 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Faizon Fields F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 22 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Stevie Elam G | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Josh Dixon G | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Chandler Jackson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, John Lovelace Jr., Ned Renfree
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMILW -3.5
ModelMILW -6.0
Model edgeMILW +2.5
W MILW covered
Total
Market156.5
Model155.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
L Over
Projected score
LR 74.8 · MILW 80.8
LR 72 · MILW 92
Win probability
MILW 70%
1st half
Spread
MILW -3.4
MILW -3.0
Total
72.9
79 points
Projected score
LR 34.7 · MILW 38.1
LR 38 · MILW 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMILW -1.5
2 → MILW
CloseMILW -3.5
2 pts toward MILW
Total
Open159.5
▼ 3
Close156.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
LR +155 · MILW -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MILW -1.5 · closed MILW -3.5 · moved 2 toward MILWmodel MILW -6
model MILW -6
Opened 159.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| MILW | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Little Rock
31 games played
Straight up
17-14
55% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ WIN | L 67-82 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 12 | @ ARST | L 63-80 | +14.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 16 | @ UTSA | W 81-64 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | @ TLSA | W 71-57 | +12.5 | W +26.5 | 150.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 22 | @ ARK | L 67-79 | +20.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 25 | @ ILL | L 34-92 | +23.5 | L −34.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs UMES | W 78-59 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 4 | vs CARK | W 63-57 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIC | L 69-77 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 19 | vs SIUE | W 60-56 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 2 | @ UTM | W 57-56 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 4 | @ TNST | L 86-95 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 9 | vs MORE | L 53-59 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 12 | vs USI | W 78-58 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 14 | @ SEMO | W 73-71 | +0.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 18 | @ TNTC | W 77-71 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 23 | @ WIU | W 62-51 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 25 | @ LIN | W 78-46 | -2.5 | W +29.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 27 | vs EIU | L 54-56 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 30 | vsTNST | L 70-72 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 1 | vsUTM | W 75-57 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | @USI | W 74-56 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 8 | @MORE | W 76-62 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsSEMO | L 45-57 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 136.5 | U 102 |
| Feb 13 | vsTNTC | W 79-75 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 20 | vsLIN | L 92-93 | -8.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 22 | vsWIU | W 75-61 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 27 | @EIU | L 60-71 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 131 |
| Mar 1 | @SIUE | L 65-73 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Mar 6 | vsUTM | W 82-77 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 7 | vsSEMO | L 59-78 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@WIN
WINL 67-82
−3.5
12
@ARST
ARSTL 63-80
−2.5
16
@UTSA
UTSAW 81-64
+25.5
20
@TLSA
TLSAW 71-57
+26.5
22
@ARK
ARKL 67-79
+8.5
25
@ILL
ILLL 34-92
−34.5
27
vsUMES
UMESW 78-59
+0.5
4
vsCARK
CARKW 63-57
−3.5
15
vsUIC
UICL 69-77
−10.5
19
vsSIUE
SIUEW 60-56
+0.5
2
@UTM
UTMW 57-56
+2.5
4
@TNST
TNSTL 86-95
−7.5
9
vsMORE
MOREL 53-59
−9.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 78-58
+14.5
14
@SEMO
SEMOW 73-71
+2.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCW 77-71
+4.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 62-51
+6.5
25
@LIN
LINW 78-46
+29.5
27
vsEIU
EIUL 54-56
−12.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 70-72
−9.5
1
vsUTM
UTMW 75-57
+13.5
6
@USI
USIW 74-56
+14.5
8
@MORE
MOREW 76-62
+11.5
11
vsSEMO
SEMOL 45-57
−16.5
13
vsTNTC
TNTCW 79-75
−3.5
20
vsLIN
LINL 92-93
−9.5
22
vsWIU
WIUW 75-61
+3.5
27
@EIU
EIUL 60-71
−16.5
1
@SIUE
SIUEL 65-73
−5.5
6
vsUTM
UTMW 82-77
−0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOL 59-78
−16.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@WIN
WINL 67-82
−8.5
12
@ARST
ARSTL 63-80
−14.5
16
@UTSA
UTSAW 81-64
−9.5
20
@TLSA
TLSAW 71-57
−22.5
22
@ARK
ARKL 67-79
+1.5
25
@ILL
ILLL 34-92
−26.5
27
vsUMES
UMESW 78-59
−6.5
4
vsCARK
CARKW 63-57
−20.5
15
vsUIC
UICL 69-77
+0.5
19
vsSIUE
SIUEW 60-56
−21.5
2
@UTM
UTMW 57-56
−23.5
4
@TNST
TNSTL 86-95
+41.5
9
vsMORE
MOREL 53-59
−23.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 78-58
−1.5
14
@SEMO
SEMOW 73-71
+8.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCW 77-71
+9.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 62-51
−17.5
25
@LIN
LINW 78-46
−11.5
27
vsEIU
EIUL 54-56
−20.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 70-72
−0.5
1
vsUTM
UTMW 75-57
−6.5
6
@USI
USIW 74-56
−5.5
8
@MORE
MOREW 76-62
+9.5
11
vsSEMO
SEMOL 45-57
−34.5
13
vsTNTC
TNTCW 79-75
+18.5
20
vsLIN
LINL 92-93
+48.5
22
vsWIU
WIUW 75-61
+0.5
27
@EIU
EIUL 60-71
+2.5
1
@SIUE
SIUEL 65-73
+1.5
6
vsUTM
UTMW 82-77
+27.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOL 59-78
−0.5
over 12under 19avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Milwaukee
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ UNI | L 68-87 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 13 | @ LONG | L 62-76 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | W 80-74 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 22 | vs PRST | W 91-74 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 23 | vs WOF | W 76-74 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 24 | vs STMN | W 69-65 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 27 | @ UCF | L 76-84 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 30 | @ USM | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vs CLE | W 79-67 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 11 | @ GB | W 88-67 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 15 | vs AKR | W 100-81 | +0.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 29 | vs IUIN | W 88-81 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 2 | @ OAK | L 49-65 | +0.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 4 | @ DETM | W 64-56 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 8 | @ PFW | L 73-78 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 11 | vsGB | W 70-59 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 17 | vs YSU | W 79-64 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 22 | @ WRST | W 95-79 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | @ NKU | W 79-59 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 2 | vsPFW | L 79-81 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 5 | @IUIN | W 84-80 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 8 | @CLE | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | vsWRST | W 88-80 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 16 | vsNKU | W 92-70 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | @YSU | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 23 | @RMU | L 59-72 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 27 | vsOAK | W 71-66 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 1 | vsDETM | W 89-67 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 6 | vsOAK | L 64-72 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@UNI
UNIL 68-87
−12.5
13
@LONG
LONGL 62-76
−10.5
19
@DUQ
DUQW 80-74
+12.5
22
vsPRST
PRSTW 91-74
+12.5
23
vsWOF
WOFW 76-74
−1.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNW 69-65
+1.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-84
+4.5
30
@USM
USML 65-66
−3.5
5
vsCLE
CLEW 79-67
+4.5
11
@GB
GBW 88-67
+14.5
15
vsAKR
AKRW 100-81
+19.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 88-81
−9.5
2
@OAK
OAKL 49-65
−15.5
4
@DETM
DETMW 64-56
−1.5
8
@PFW
PFWL 73-78
−2.5
11
vsGB
GBW 70-59
−4.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 79-64
+9.5
19
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−10.5
22
@WRST
WRSTW 95-79
+18.5
24
@NKU
NKUW 79-59
+21.5
2
vsPFW
PFWL 79-81
−6.5
5
@IUIN
IUINW 84-80
−4.5
8
@CLE
CLEL 60-77
−15.5
14
vsWRST
WRSTW 88-80
+1.5
16
vsNKU
NKUW 92-70
+15.5
21
@YSU
YSUW 84-74
+11.5
23
@RMU
RMUL 59-72
−11.5
27
vsOAK
OAKW 71-66
−0.5
1
vsDETM
DETMW 89-67
+4.5
6
vsOAK
OAKL 64-72
−15.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@UNI
UNIL 68-87
−2.5
13
@LONG
LONGL 62-76
−16.5
19
@DUQ
DUQW 80-74
+2.5
22
vsPRST
PRSTW 91-74
+2.5
23
vsWOF
WOFW 76-74
+1.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNW 69-65
−18.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-84
+5.5
30
@USM
USML 65-66
−25.5
5
vsCLE
CLEW 79-67
+5.5
11
@GB
GBW 88-67
−4.5
15
vsAKR
AKRW 100-81
+25.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 88-81
+20.5
2
@OAK
OAKL 49-65
−32.5
4
@DETM
DETMW 64-56
−27.5
8
@PFW
PFWL 73-78
−3.5
11
vsGB
GBW 70-59
−21.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 79-64
−2.5
19
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+10.5
22
@WRST
WRSTW 95-79
+19.5
24
@NKU
NKUW 79-59
−4.5
2
vsPFW
PFWL 79-81
+1.5
5
@IUIN
IUINW 84-80
+12.5
8
@CLE
CLEL 60-77
−5.5
14
vsWRST
WRSTW 88-80
+11.5
16
vsNKU
NKUW 92-70
+16.5
21
@YSU
YSUW 84-74
+5.5
23
@RMU
RMUL 59-72
−20.5
27
vsOAK
OAKW 71-66
−11.5
1
vsDETM
DETMW 89-67
+10.5
6
vsOAK
OAKL 64-72
−12.5
over 15under 15avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Little Rock
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Milwaukee
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wofford76–86
- Wvs Hampton90–86
2 days since their last game.