Binghamton Bearcats at Longwood Lancers: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ETJoan Perry Brock Center · at Longwood

#272BINGBinghamton82final

Final

#218LONGLongwood90▲ winner

Closing lineLONG -15.5✓ BING covered by 7.5

Closing total147.5Over by 24.5

Season records: Binghamton and Longwood
BING	This season	LONG
0-3	Record	1-1
1-2	ATS	1-1
1-2	O/U	1-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BING 67–81 LONG · ✓ LONG (88%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BING	30	52	82
LONG	52	38	90

1st half: BING 30, LONG 52 (LONG by 22). The model had LONG by 7.8 and a total of 69.3 (actual 82).

Team stats

BING		LONG
29-58 50%	Field goals	29-63 46%
6-24 25%	3-pointers	9-32 28%
18-23 78%	Free throws	23-30 77%
39 15 off	Rebounds	32 15 off
14	Assists	16
4	Steals	14
1	Blocks	5
21	Turnovers	11
23	Fouls	23
42	Points in paint	38
10	Fast-break points	13

Players

BING	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jeremiah Quigley G	40	16	6	11	6-13	0-2
Demetrius Lilley C	39	25	12	0	8-15	1-6
Bryson Wilson G	23	14	1	1	6-11	0-2
Zyier Beverly F	11	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Wes Peterson Jr. G	9	0	0	0	0-2	0-2
Bench
Jackson Benigni G	28	14	0	1	4-7	2-5
Ryan Richardson G	27	9	3	1	3-7	3-7
Stephan Snagg F	23	4	7	0	2-3	0-0

Did not play: Jake Blackburn, Jayden Kelsey, Sayerr Senghore, Nevin Ibroci, Evan Ashe, Jayden Lemond

LONG	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Emanuel Richards G	32	22	3	3	7-17	4-9
Jacoi Hutchinson G	28	12	2	5	4-11	0-4
Alphonzo Billups III G	26	8	3	1	4-12	0-8
Johan Nziemi F	21	9	6	2	4-4	0-0
Elijah Tucker F	16	11	1	0	3-4	0-0
Bench
Jaylen Benard G	21	11	3	1	3-7	1-4
Elijah Jones F	18	6	3	0	2-3	2-2
Jaylin Payne F	14	0	0	1	0-0	0-0
Redd Thompson Jr. G	12	11	3	2	2-2	2-2
KJ McClurg G	9	0	1	1	0-2	0-2
Elijah Kelly G	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
Isaiah Kalala F	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Quadri Bashiru, Jerome Williams, Gerald Burr III

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	LONG -15.5	LONG -13.2	BING +2.3	W BING covered
Total	147.5	148.0	Over 0.5	W Over
Projected score	—	BING 67.4 · LONG 80.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LONG -7.8	LONG -22.0
1H total	69.3	82
1H projected score	BING 30.7 · LONG 38.6	BING 30 · LONG 52

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BING LLW	1-2	33%	1-1	1-1
LONG LW	1-1	50%	1-0	—

Venue/role: BING away, as underdog; LONG home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
BING UUO	1-2	33%	0-3
LONG UO	1-1	50%	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BINGlast 3	0-3 0%	1-2 33%	1-2 33%
LONGlast 2	1-1 50%	1-1 50%	1-1 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BING 0–1 LONGLONG leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BING 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 19, 2024-25	LONG 66 @ BING 60	BING +6.5	BING W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Binghamton

3 games played

Straight up

0-3

0% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-30%

L L L

3 straight losses0 of 3 won

Against the spread

1-233%

L L W

1 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-233%

U U O

1 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SYR	L 47-85	+21.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	vsNIA	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 12	@GTWN	L 70-83	+27.5	W +14.5	141.5	O 153

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−16.5

NIA

L 59-67

−10.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+14.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−21.5

NIA

L 59-67

−12.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+11.5

over 1under 2avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Longwood

2 games played

Straight up

1-1

50% wins

Against the spread

1-1

50% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-1

50% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-150%

L W

1 of 2 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-150%

L W

1 of 2 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-150%

U O

1 of 2 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@PITT	L 60-78	+14.5	L −3.5	145.5	U 138
Nov 12	vsJMU	W 82-72	+1.5	W +11.5	149.5	O 154

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

PITT

L 60-78

−3.5

JMU

W 82-72

+11.5

covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

PITT

L 60-78

−7.5

JMU

W 82-72

+4.5

over 1under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Binghamton @ Longwood

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Binghamton

Longwood

Binghamton

Longwood