Bren Events Center · at UC Irvine
Closing line
UCI -2.5✓ UNI covered by 3.5
UCI -2.5✓ UNI covered by 3.5Closing total138.5Over by 0.5
 UNI | This season | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 0-4 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNI 68–66 UCI · ✓ UNI (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 35 | 28 | 7 | 70 |
| UCI | 25 | 38 | 6 | 69 |
1st half: UNI 35, UCI 25 (UNI by 10). The model had UNI by 1.5 and a total of 63.0 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UNI | UCI | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-72 36% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 11-32 34% | 3-pointers | 3-11 27% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 16-26 62% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 47 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 9 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 24 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell G | 41 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 7-17 | 0-5 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 39 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Leon Bond III G | 36 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-2 |
| Will Hornseth F | 33 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Smith F | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Schwieger F | 24 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-5 |
| Kyle Pock F | 23 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| RJ Taylor G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Cade Courbat, Levi Valdo, Chase Courbat, Redek Born, Marino Dubravcic, Jalen Wilson, Hunter Jacobson
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurian Dixon G | 37 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 5-15 | 1-3 |
| Derin Saran G | 36 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 11-17 | 1-1 |
| Kyle Evans F | 34 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Tama Isaac G | 31 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Elijah Chol F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 20 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Andre Henry G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Hodges, Luke Isaak, Josh Palmer, Bryce Goldman, Tishan Ahir, Torian Lee, Langston Redfield, Ben Egbo
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -2.5
ModelUNI -2.2
Model edgeUNI +4.7
W UNI covered
Total
Market138.5
Model134.4
Model edgeUnder 4.1
L Over
Projected score
UNI 68.3 · UCI 66.1
UNI 70 · UCI 69
Win probability
UNI 58%
1st half
Spread
UNI -1.5
UNI -10.0
Total
63.0
60 points
Projected score
UNI 32.2 · UCI 30.8
UNI 35 · UCI 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -1.5
4 → UCI
CloseUCI -2.5
4 pts toward UCI
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNI +120 · UCI -140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -1.5 · closed UCI -2.5 · moved 4 toward UCImodel UNI -2
model UNI -2
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 134.5
model 134.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNIlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% | 0-4 0% |
| UCIlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNI 0–1 UCIUCI leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UNI 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024-25 | UCI 80 @ UNI 60 | UNI -3.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northern Iowa
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-4
0% overs · avg −18.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vs
CSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vs
SDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vs
FUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vs
NIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
over 0under 4avg −18.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Irvine
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
CBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vs
WEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@
UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
over 1under 2avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northern Iowa
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Illinois70–57
- Wvs Furman70–54
- Wvs S Dakota St65–58
- Wvs CSU Northridge86–57
4 days since their last game.
UC Irvine
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Utah Valley72–79
- Wvs Weber St79–70
- Lvs CA Baptist61–69
3 days since their last game.