Haas Pavilion · at California
Closing line
CAL -22.5✓ CAL covered by 5.5
CAL -22.5✓ CAL covered by 5.5Closing total162.5Under by 4.5
 CSUF | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUF 65–89 CAL · ✓ CAL (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| CAL | 42 | 51 | 93 |
1st half: CSUF 27, CAL 42 (CAL by 15). The model had CAL by 14.5 and a total of 72.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| CSUF | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-69 39% | Field goals | 28-68 41% |
| 6-29 21% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 5-11 45% | Free throws | 26-30 87% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 45 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 1 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward G | 31 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 29 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-13 | 1-5 |
| Bailey Nunn G | 24 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Davis White G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Seaman F | 26 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 9-14 | 1-3 |
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Christian Williams G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Ben Winker F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kidus Tilahun, Yesan Warren, Karan Kolappa, Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Matthew Quinlan
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dai Dai Ames G | 34 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 7-14 | 6-7 |
| Justin Pippen G | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| John Camden F | 28 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-15 | 3-10 |
| Chris Bell F | 28 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Lee Dort F | 24 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nolan Dorsey G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Rytis Petraitis F | 17 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Milos Ilic C | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Luke Butler G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| BJ Fisher G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stephon Marbury II, Jorell Clark, Semetri Carr, DeJuan Campbell, Sammie Yeanay, Jovani Ruff
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCAL -22.5
ModelCAL -24.1
Model edgeCAL +1.6
W CAL covered
Total
Market162.5
Model154.4
Model edgeUnder 8.1
W Under
Projected score
CSUF 65.1 · CAL 89.3
CSUF 65 · CAL 93
Win probability
CAL 98%
1st half
Spread
CAL -14.5
CAL -15.0
Total
72.3
69 points
Projected score
CSUF 28.9 · CAL 43.4
CSUF 27 · CAL 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -22.5
no move
CloseCAL -22.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▲ 9
Close162.5
Up 9 since the open
Moneyline
CSUF +1800 · CAL -6000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -22.5 · unchangedmodel CAL -24
model CAL -24
Opened 153.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 9 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUFlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| CALlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fullerton
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +19.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
over 1under 0avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vs
WRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
over 0under 2avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fullerton
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wyoming82–92
2 days since their last game.
California
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wright St77–67
- Wvs Bakersfield87–60
4 days since their last game.