UD Arena · at Dayton
Closing line
DAY -25.5✓ UMBC covered by 19.5
DAY -25.5✓ UMBC covered by 19.5Closing total154.5Under by 6.5
 UMBC | This season | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 67–88 DAY · ✓ DAY (96%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 37 | 34 | 71 |
| DAY | 41 | 36 | 77 |
1st half: UMBC 37, DAY 41 (DAY by 4). The model had DAY by 12.4 and a total of 72.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| UMBC | DAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 36 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4-16 | 2-9 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 34 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Ace Valentine G | 33 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 28 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 17 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-7 | 4-4 |
| Paul Greene F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Devin Ceaser G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cougar Downing, Caden Diggs, Jake Stout, Regimantas Ciunys, Josh Odunowo, Saahil Thakkar
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keonte Jones G | 37 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-5 | 2-2 |
| Javon Bennett G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 33 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Amal L'Etang F | 21 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Jacob Conner F | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Derkack G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Heard G | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Malcolm Thomas F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Damon Friery, Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey, Adam Njie, Jaron McKie
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -23.5
2 → DAY
CloseDAY -25.5
2 pts toward DAY
Total
Open152.5
▲ 2
Close154.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC +3500 · DAY -50000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -23.5 · closed DAY -25.5 · moved 2 toward DAYmodel DAY -20.5
model DAY -20.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DAY -25.5 | DAY -20.7 | UMBC +4.8 | W UMBC covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 154.8 | Over 0.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 67 · DAY 87.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DAY -12.4 | DAY -4.0 |
| 1H total | 72.5 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 30 · DAY 42.4 | UMBC 37 · DAY 41 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| DAY | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
29 games played
Straight up
10-19
34% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-10
66% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PSU | L 54-103 | +22.5 | L −26.5 | 166.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 92-67 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 16 | vs SPU | L 61-69 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs HAMP | L 68-78 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 23 | vs BU | L 71-75 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOW | W 95-77 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 27 | vs MORG | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 2 | @ GTWN | L 62-86 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | @ TOW | W 84-71 | +9.5 | W +22.5 | 143.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 18 | @ GT | L 82-91 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 21 | @ MRST | L 73-76 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 29 | @ AMER | W 96-93 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 4 | @ BING | L 82-87 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 9 | @ NJIT | W 87-64 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 16 | vs UNH | L 76-79 | -13.5 | L −16.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 18 | vs ME | L 62-87 | -2.5 | L −27.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 23 | @ UALB | W 92-87 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 25 | @ UVM | W 80-63 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 30 | vs BRY | L 86-92 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 1 | vs UML | L 67-83 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 164.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 6 | @UNH | L 78-79 | -8.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 8 | @ME | L 50-73 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 13 | vsBING | W 81-77 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 15 | @BRY | L 79-81 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 167.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 20 | @UML | L 79-98 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 163.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 22 | vsNJIT | W 95-91 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 186 |
| Feb 27 | vsUALB | L 74-78 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Mar 1 | vsUVM | L 69-79 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 8 | @BRY | L 74-85 | +15.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PSU
PSUL 54-103
−26.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-67
+12.5
16
vsSPU
SPUL 61-69
−6.5
19
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-78
−16.5
23
vsBU
BUL 71-75
−6.5
25
vsHOW
HOWW 95-77
+19.5
27
vsMORG
MORGW 92-69
+15.5
2
@GTWN
GTWNL 62-86
−7.5
7
@TOW
TOWW 84-71
+22.5
18
@GT
GTL 82-91
+7.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 73-76
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 96-93
+8.5
4
@BING
BINGL 82-87
−7.5
9
@NJIT
NJITW 87-64
+14.5
16
vsUNH
UNHL 76-79
−16.5
18
vsME
MEL 62-87
−27.5
23
@UALB
UALBW 92-87
+9.5
25
@UVM
UVMW 80-63
+22.5
30
vsBRY
BRYL 86-92
−0.5
1
vsUML
UMLL 67-83
−13.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 78-79
−9.5
8
@ME
MEL 50-73
−16.5
13
vsBING
BINGW 81-77
−0.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 79-81
+10.5
20
@UML
UMLL 79-98
−13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 95-91
−3.5
27
vsUALB
UALBL 74-78
−1.5
1
vsUVM
UVML 69-79
−1.5
8
@BRY
BRYL 74-85
+4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PSU
PSUL 54-103
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-67
+13.5
16
vsSPU
SPUL 61-69
−14.5
19
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-78
−0.5
23
vsBU
BUL 71-75
+1.5
25
vsHOW
HOWW 95-77
+18.5
27
vsMORG
MORGW 92-69
+1.5
2
@GTWN
GTWNL 62-86
−11.5
7
@TOW
TOWW 84-71
+11.5
18
@GT
GTL 82-91
+12.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 73-76
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 96-93
+40.5
4
@BING
BINGL 82-87
+20.5
9
@NJIT
NJITW 87-64
+5.5
16
vsUNH
UNHL 76-79
+2.5
18
vsME
MEL 62-87
−2.5
23
@UALB
UALBW 92-87
+18.5
25
@UVM
UVMW 80-63
+2.5
30
vsBRY
BRYL 86-92
+9.5
1
vsUML
UMLL 67-83
−14.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 78-79
+5.5
8
@ME
MEL 50-73
−24.5
13
vsBING
BINGW 81-77
+8.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 79-81
−7.5
20
@UML
UMLL 79-98
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 95-91
+34.5
27
vsUALB
UALBL 74-78
−7.5
1
vsUVM
UVML 69-79
+4.5
8
@BRY
BRYL 74-85
−4.5
over 19under 10avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dayton
33 games played
Straight up
22-11
67% wins
Against the spread
16-17
48% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
23-10
70% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SFPA | W 87-57 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 9 | vs NU | W 71-66 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 13 | vs BALL | W 77-69 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 20 | vs NMSU | W 74-53 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNC | L 90-92 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 84-89 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 27 | vs CONN | W 85-67 | +7.5 | W +25.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | vs WMU | W 77-69 | -24.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 7 | vs LEH | W 86-62 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 14 | vs MARQ | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 17 | vs UNLV | W 66-65 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIN | L 59-66 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs LAS | W 84-70 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 4 | @ GW | L 62-82 | -9.5 | L −29.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 8 | @ MASS | L 72-76 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 15 | vs GMU | L 59-67 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 18 | vs LUC | W 83-81 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @ DUQ | W 82-62 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 24 | vs JOES | W 77-72 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 28 | @ SBU | L 53-75 | -2.5 | L −24.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @ SLU | W 71-63 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 4 | vs DAV | W 69-63 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | vs VCU | L 68-73 | +0.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ FOR | W 93-76 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 15 | vsDUQ | W 77-76 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 21 | @LUC | L 72-76 | -0.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 26 | @ URI | W 85-77 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 1 | vs RICH | W 74-64 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 138 |
| Mar 4 | vsSLU | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Mar 7 | @VCU | W 79-76 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 14 | vsJOES | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 19 | vs FAU | W 86-79 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 22 | @ UTC | L 72-87 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSFPA
SFPAW 87-57
+7.5
9
vsNU
NUW 71-66
+0.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 77-69
−7.5
20
vsNMSU
NMSUW 74-53
+5.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 90-92
+7.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 84-89
+4.5
27
vsCONN
CONNW 85-67
+25.5
3
vsWMU
WMUW 77-69
−16.5
7
vsLEH
LEHW 86-62
+1.5
14
vsMARQ
MARQW 71-63
+9.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVW 66-65
−9.5
20
vsCIN
CINL 59-66
−3.5
31
vsLAS
LASW 84-70
−2.5
4
@GW
GWL 62-82
−29.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 72-76
−14.5
15
vsGMU
GMUL 59-67
−15.5
18
vsLUC
LUCW 83-81
−8.5
21
@DUQ
DUQW 82-62
+16.5
24
vsJOES
JOESW 77-72
+0.5
28
@SBU
SBUL 53-75
−24.5
31
@SLU
SLUW 71-63
+10.5
4
vsDAV
DAVW 69-63
−3.5
7
vsVCU
VCUL 68-73
−4.5
12
@FOR
FORW 93-76
+9.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 77-76
−9.5
21
@LUC
LUCL 72-76
−4.5
26
@URI
URIW 85-77
+3.5
1
vsRICH
RICHW 74-64
−4.5
4
vsSLU
SLUW 75-67
+1.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 79-76
+12.5
14
vsJOES
JOESL 68-73
−6.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 86-79
+5.5
22
@UTC
UTCL 72-87
−16.5
covered 16didn’t cover 17avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSFPA
SFPAW 87-57
+7.5
9
vsNU
NUW 71-66
+0.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 77-69
+1.5
20
vsNMSU
NMSUW 74-53
−15.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 90-92
+22.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 84-89
+30.5
27
vsCONN
CONNW 85-67
+4.5
3
vsWMU
WMUW 77-69
+2.5
7
vsLEH
LEHW 86-62
+2.5
14
vsMARQ
MARQW 71-63
−15.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVW 66-65
−9.5
20
vsCIN
CINL 59-66
−11.5
31
vsLAS
LASW 84-70
+7.5
4
@GW
GWL 62-82
+2.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 72-76
+0.5
15
vsGMU
GMUL 59-67
−7.5
18
vsLUC
LUCW 83-81
+22.5
21
@DUQ
DUQW 82-62
+12.5
24
vsJOES
JOESW 77-72
+6.5
28
@SBU
SBUL 53-75
−6.5
31
@SLU
SLUW 71-63
−9.5
4
vsDAV
DAVW 69-63
−8.5
7
vsVCU
VCUL 68-73
+1.5
12
@FOR
FORW 93-76
+22.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 77-76
+18.5
21
@LUC
LUCL 72-76
+7.5
26
@URI
URIW 85-77
+11.5
1
vsRICH
RICHW 74-64
+2.5
4
vsSLU
SLUW 75-67
−2.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 79-76
+14.5
14
vsJOES
JOESL 68-73
−0.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 86-79
+14.5
22
@UTC
UTCL 72-87
+4.5
over 23under 10avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Dayton
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Canisius88–48
5 days since their last game.