Binghamton Bearcats at Canisius Golden Griffins: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 1:00 PM ETKoessler Athletic Center · at Canisius

#272BINGBinghamton66final

Final

#359CANCanisius75▲ winner

Closing lineCAN -2.5✓ CAN covered by 6.5

Closing total129.5Over by 11.5

Season records: Binghamton and Canisius
BING	This season	CAN
0-5	Record	2-3
2-3	ATS	2-3
2-3	O/U	1-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BING 70–69 CAN · ✗ BING (53%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BING	26	40	66
CAN	24	51	75

1st half: BING 26, CAN 24 (BING by 2). The model had BING by 0.7 and a total of 65.2 (actual 50).

Team stats

BING		CAN
19-44 43%	Field goals	24-49 49%
3-21 14%	3-pointers	9-18 50%
25-32 78%	Free throws	18-21 86%
26 7 off	Rebounds	26 6 off
11	Assists	15
4	Steals	4
2	Blocks	2
10	Turnovers	8
15	Fouls	23
28	Points in paint	24
2	Fast-break points	17

Players

BING	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Demetrius Lilley C	38	15	4	0	5-11	1-5
Jackson Benigni G	38	14	3	0	3-11	2-10
Bryson Wilson G	36	9	6	1	1-4	0-2
Zyier Beverly F	33	13	2	2	5-5	0-0
Jeremiah Quigley G	31	15	4	6	5-11	0-2
Bench
Ryan Richardson G	15	0	1	1	0-2	0-2
Stephan Snagg F	9	0	1	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Jake Blackburn, Jayden Kelsey, Sayerr Senghore, Nevin Ibroci, Evan Ashe, Wes Peterson Jr., Jayden Lemond

CAN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kahlil Singleton G	38	33	1	1	10-15	8-11
Mike Evbagharu G	37	12	7	2	5-9	0-1
Bryan Ndjonga F	29	13	5	2	6-12	1-2
Myles Wilmoth F	20	4	5	2	1-1	0-0
Anthony Benard G	7	2	1	0	0-3	0-1
Bench
Javantae Edwards G	29	8	0	7	2-7	0-3
Max Jusianiec G	25	1	4	1	0-1	0-0
Brendan Oliver F	6	2	0	0	0-0	0-0
Chris Kumu G	6	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
King Ijeoma F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Evan van der Plas F	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Andreo Ash, Zach Christian, Trevor Augustine, Nicco DiGiulio, Marcus Niblack

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	CAN -2.5	BING -0.8	BING +3.3	L CAN covered
Total	129.5	139.1	Over 9.6	W Over
Projected score	—	BING 70 · CAN 69.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BING -0.7	BING -2.0
1H total	65.2	50
1H projected score	BING 32.9 · CAN 32.3	BING 26 · CAN 24

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BING LLWWL	2-3	40%	2-1	2-1
CAN LWWLL	2-3	40%	1-1	0-1

Venue/role: BING away, as underdog; CAN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
BING UUOOU	2-3	40%	0-5
CAN UOUUU	1-4	20%	2-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BINGlast 5	0-5 0%	2-3 40%	2-3 40%
CANlast 5	2-3 40%	2-3 40%	1-4 20%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Binghamton

5 games played

Straight up

0-5

0% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-3

40% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-50%

L L L L L

5 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-340%

L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-340%

U U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SYR	L 47-85	+21.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	vsNIA	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 12	@GTWN	L 70-83	+27.5	W +14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	@LONG	L 82-90	+15.5	W +7.5	147.5	O 172
Nov 22	vsUMES	L 52-63	-5.5	L −16.5	125.5	U 115

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−16.5

NIA

L 59-67

−10.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+14.5

LONG

L 82-90

+7.5

UMES

L 52-63

−16.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−21.5

NIA

L 59-67

−12.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+11.5

LONG

L 82-90

+24.5

UMES

L 52-63

−10.5

over 2under 3avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Canisius

5 games played

Straight up

2-3

40% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-4

20% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-340%

L L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-340%

L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-420%

U O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@DAY	L 48-88	+25.5	L −14.5	142.5	U 136
Nov 8	@SBU	L 70-89	+21.5	W +2.5	136.5	O 159
Nov 12	vsMERC	W 58-55	+1.5	W +4.5	135.5	U 113
Nov 17	@HPU	L 50-93	+23.5	L −19.5	152.5	U 143
Nov 21	vsUMES	W 60-57	-3.5	L −0.5	128.5	U 117

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DAY

L 48-88

−14.5

SBU

L 70-89

+2.5

MERC

W 58-55

+4.5

HPU

L 50-93

−19.5

UMES

W 60-57

−0.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DAY

L 48-88

−6.5

SBU

L 70-89

+22.5

MERC

W 58-55

−22.5

HPU

L 50-93

−9.5

UMES

W 60-57

−11.5

over 1under 4avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Binghamton @ Canisius

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Binghamton

Canisius

Binghamton

Canisius