TD Garden · Neutral site
Closing line
CONN -6.5✓ BYU covered by 4.5
CONN -6.5✓ BYU covered by 4.5Closing total156.5Over by 13.5
 BYU | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BYU 76–77 CONN · ✓ CONN (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 32 | 52 | 84 |
| CONN | 43 | 43 | 86 |
1st half: BYU 32, CONN 43 (CONN by 11). The model had CONN by 0.7 and a total of 71.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| BYU | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-59 49% | Field goals | 30-53 57% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 18-27 67% |
| 28 10 off | Rebounds | 27 7 off |
| 7 | Assists | 21 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright III G | 36 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 7-12 | 2-6 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 34 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 8-14 | 2-3 |
| Richie Saunders G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-7 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Keba Keita F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dawson Baker F | 24 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Khadim Mboup F | 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Xavion Staton C | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aleksej Kostic, Brody Kozlowski, Nate Pickens, Jared McGregor, Kennard Davis Jr.
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 39 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 8-11 | 4-4 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 36 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 34 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Stewart F | 29 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Solo Ball G | 23 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malachi Smith G | 22 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Ross F | 12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Eric Reibe C | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Uros Paunovic, Jacob Furphy, Rrezon Elezaj, Alec Millender, Braylon Mullins, Jacob Ross, Dwayne Koroma
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -3.5
3 → CONN
CloseCONN -6.5
3 pts toward CONN
Total
Open154.5
▲ 2
Close156.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
BYU +240 · CONN -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -3.5 · closed CONN -6.5 · moved 3 toward CONNmodel CONN -1.5
model CONN -1.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CONN -6.5 | CONN -1.4 | BYU +5.1 | W BYU covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 153.1 | Under 3.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | BYU 75.8 · CONN 77.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CONN -0.7 | CONN -11.0 |
| 1H total | 71.7 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | BYU 35.5 · CONN 36.2 | BYU 32 · CONN 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYUlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% |
| CONNlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
BYU
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −14.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
VILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vs
HC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vs
DEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
over 0under 3avg −14.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vs
UML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vs
COLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
over 1under 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
BYU
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Delaware85–68
- Wvs Holy Cross98–53
- Wvs Villanova71–66
4 days since their last game.
UConn
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Columbia89–62
- Wvs UMass Lowell110–47
- Wvs New Haven79–55
5 days since their last game.