Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Binghamton Bearcats: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 13, 4:00 PM ETEvents Center (Binghamton) · at Binghamton

#337CCSUC Connecticut84▲ winner

Final

#272BINGBinghamton67final

Closing lineCCSU -7.5✓ CCSU covered by 9.5

Closing total133.5Over by 17.5

Season records: C Connecticut and Binghamton
CCSU	This season	BING
3-4	Record	1-7
4-3	ATS	3-5
3-4	O/U	4-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: CCSU 73–68 BING · ✓ CCSU (69%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
CCSU	46	38	84
BING	39	28	67

1st half: CCSU 46, BING 39 (CCSU by 7). The model had CCSU by 3.5 and a total of 66.0 (actual 85).

Team stats

CCSU		BING
33-55 60%	Field goals	22-48 46%
10-21 48%	3-pointers	5-18 28%
8-11 73%	Free throws	18-24 75%
31 6 off	Rebounds	24 6 off
14	Assists	9
7	Steals	5
6	Blocks	2
12	Turnovers	11
18	Fouls	14
42	Points in paint	34
14	Fast-break points	5

Players

CCSU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jay Rodgers G	34	14	5	10	6-12	2-5
Darin Smith Jr. G	33	23	10	0	9-17	3-6
James Jones G	31	11	5	4	5-7	1-1
Max Frazier F	22	9	5	0	4-5	0-0
Elijah Parker G	16	5	1	0	2-3	1-2
Bench
Roddy Jones G	21	9	0	0	3-5	3-5
Gabe Spinelli G	18	11	1	0	3-3	0-0
Daniel James F	12	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
Nico Ashley F	7	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
Melo Sanchez G	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Ashton Reynolds G	1	2	0	0	1-2	0-1

Did not play: Jayden Mott, Adam Fox, Corsley Edwards Jr., Ja'Kobe Williams, Rashawn Tibby

BING	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Wes Peterson Jr. G	38	15	2	0	7-9	1-2
Jackson Benigni G	37	8	3	1	2-8	1-7
Jeremiah Quigley G	32	10	4	7	3-8	1-2
Zyier Beverly F	27	21	5	0	6-9	0-0
Bryson Wilson G	11	6	1	1	2-2	0-0
Bench
Ryan Richardson G	26	1	4	0	0-3	0-2
Jake Blackburn G	14	3	1	0	1-4	1-4
Stephan Snagg F	13	0	3	0	0-4	0-0
Nevin Ibroci G	2	3	0	0	1-1	1-1

Did not play: Sayerr Senghore, Jayden Kelsey, Jayden Lemond, Evan Ashe, Demetrius Lilley

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	CCSU -7.5	CCSU -5.6	BING +1.9	L CCSU covered
Total	133.5	141.0	Over 7.5	W Over
Projected score	—	CCSU 73.3 · BING 67.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CCSU -3.5	CCSU -7.0
1H total	66.0	85
1H projected score	CCSU 34.8 · BING 31.3	CCSU 46 · BING 39

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCSU WWLWL	4-3	57%	4-2	0-1
BING WLLWL	3-5	38%	1-2	3-3

Venue/role: CCSU away, as favorite; BING home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCSU OUOOU	3-4	43%	3-4
BING OUOOU	4-4	50%	1-7

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCSUlast 7	3-4 43%	4-3 57%	3-4 43%
BINGlast 8	1-7 13%	3-5 38%	4-4 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

CCSU 1–0 BINGCCSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CCSU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 24, 2024-25	BING 56 @ CCSU 64	CCSU -5.5	CCSU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

C Connecticut

7 games played

Straight up

3-4

43% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-443%

L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

L W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-443%

U U O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 6	@QUIN	L 49-71	+9.5	L −12.5	150.5	U 120
Nov 11	@BC	W 60-59	+17.5	W +18.5	136.5	U 119
Nov 16	@MASS	L 77-84	+12.5	W +5.5	144.5	O 161
Nov 21	@RUTG	W 67-54	+15.5	W +28.5	137.5	U 121
Nov 24	vsSHU	W 108-106	-3.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 214
Dec 3	@HALL	L 61-77	+18.5	W +2.5	128.5	O 138
Dec 7	@NE	L 56-73	+1.5	L −15.5	138.5	U 129

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

QUIN

L 49-71

−12.5

W 60-59

+18.5

MASS

L 77-84

+5.5

RUTG

W 67-54

+28.5

SHU

W 108-106

−1.5

HALL

L 61-77

+2.5

L 56-73

−15.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

QUIN

L 49-71

−30.5

W 60-59

−17.5

MASS

L 77-84

+16.5

RUTG

W 67-54

−16.5

SHU

W 108-106

+70.5

HALL

L 61-77

+9.5

L 56-73

−9.5

over 3under 4avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Binghamton

8 games played

Straight up

1-7

13% wins

Against the spread

3-5

38% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-4

50% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-713%

L L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-538%

L L W W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-450%

U U O O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SYR	L 47-85	+21.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	vsNIA	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 12	@GTWN	L 70-83	+27.5	W +14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	@LONG	L 82-90	+15.5	W +7.5	147.5	O 172
Nov 22	vsUMES	L 52-63	-5.5	L −16.5	125.5	U 115
Nov 23	@CAN	L 66-75	+2.5	L −6.5	129.5	O 141
Dec 2	vsLEH	W 80-71	+3.5	W +12.5	139.5	O 151
Dec 6	vsLEM	L 63-78	+2.5	L −12.5	144.5	U 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−16.5

NIA

L 59-67

−10.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+14.5

LONG

L 82-90

+7.5

UMES

L 52-63

−16.5

CAN

L 66-75

−6.5

LEH

W 80-71

+12.5

LEM

L 63-78

−12.5

covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−21.5

NIA

L 59-67

−12.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+11.5

LONG

L 82-90

+24.5

UMES

L 52-63

−10.5

CAN

L 66-75

+11.5

LEH

W 80-71

+11.5

LEM

L 63-78

−3.5

over 4under 4avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

C Connecticut @ Binghamton

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

C Connecticut

Binghamton

C Connecticut

Binghamton