Mullins Center · at UMass
Closing line
MASS -12.5✓ CCSU covered by 5.5
MASS -12.5✓ CCSU covered by 5.5Closing total144.5Over by 16.5
 CCSU | This season | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 67–77 MASS · ✓ MASS (80%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 28 | 49 | 77 |
| MASS | 51 | 33 | 84 |
1st half: CCSU 28, MASS 51 (MASS by 23). The model had MASS by 5.8 and a total of 67.3 (actual 79).
Team stats
| CCSU | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 31-67 46% |
| 6-15 40% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 21-31 68% | Free throws | 12-25 48% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 44 17 off |
| 12 | Assists | 22 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones G | 32 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 29 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 27 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Max Frazier F | 23 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Kobe Williams G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nico Ashley F | 21 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Spinelli G | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Parker G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Mott F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Daniel James F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Adam Fox, Roddy Jones, Corsley Edwards Jr., Rashawn Tibby, Melo Sanchez
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 33 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 29 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 26 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| K'Jei Parker G | 26 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 8-13 | 6-9 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josh Engel, Donovan Brown, Rollie Castineyra, Bilal Osman, CJ Outlaw
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMASS -12.5
ModelMASS -9.8
Model edgeCCSU +2.7
W CCSU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model143.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
CCSU 67 · MASS 76.7
CCSU 77 · MASS 84
Win probability
MASS 80%
1st half
Spread
MASS -5.8
MASS -23.0
Total
67.3
79 points
Projected score
CCSU 30.8 · MASS 36.5
CCSU 28 · MASS 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -10.5
2 → MASS
CloseMASS -12.5
2 pts toward MASS
Total
Open141.5
▲ 3
Close144.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CCSU +550 · MASS -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -10.5 · closed MASS -12.5 · moved 2 toward MASSmodel MASS -10
model MASS -10
Opened 141.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 3 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
| MASSlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CCSU 1–2 MASSMASS leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · CCSU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024-25 | CCSU 73 @ MASS 69 | MASS -9.5 | CCSU W |
| Nov 22, 2023-24 | CCSU 60 @ MASS 89 | MASS -14.5 | MASS W |
| Nov 7, 2022-23 | CCSU 67 @ MASS 94 | MASS -17.5 | MASS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −24 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@
BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
over 0under 2avg −24 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vs
UALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vs
LEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
over 1under 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Boston College60–59
- L@ Quinnipiac49–71
5 days since their last game.
UMass
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Le Moyne94–80
- Wvs UAlbany83–62
- Lvs Marshall72–78
3 days since their last game.