NCAAF first-half team trends, 2026
Who covers the 1st half, who goes over or under at halftime, who starts fast and who finishes strong. Graded against 1st-half lines (real ESPN lines for the NFL from 2025, otherwise estimated).
Best 1st-half ATS
4+ games
Worst 1st-half ATS
4+ games
1st-half overs
Over the 1H total
1st-half unders
Under the 1H total
Fast starters
Ahead in the 1st half, better than in the 2nd
Active 1H cover streaks
Consecutive 1st halves covered or missed
1st-half ATS splits
Home / away, 1st-half favorite / underdog, last 5 games and current streak
| Team | GP | 1H ATS | Cover % | Home | Away | As fav | As dog | Last 5 | 1H O-U | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oregon State | 7 | 7-0 | 100% | 4-0 | 3-0 | 5-0 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 4-3 | W7 |
 Kansas | 6 | 5-0-1 | 100% | 3-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 3-0-1 | 4-0-1 | 3-2-1 | W3 |
 Ohio State | 7 | 6-1 | 85.7% | 3-1 | 3-0 | 5-1 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 4-3 | W6 |
 Georgia Southern | 7 | 6-1 | 85.7% | 2-1 | 4-0 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 4-1 | 2-4-1 | W3 |
 South Alabama | 7 | 6-1 | 85.7% | 3-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 3-0 | 4-1 | 5-2 | L1 |
 NC State | 6 | 5-1 | 83.3% | 4-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 5-0 | 2-4 | W5 |
 Utah | 6 | 5-1 | 83.3% | 3-1 | 2-0 | 5-1 | — | 4-1 | 4-2 | W1 |
 Georgia State | 6 | 5-1 | 83.3% | 3-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 5-1 | L1 |
 Miami | 6 | 5-1 | 83.3% | 2-1 | 3-0 | 5-1 | — | 4-1 | 4-2 | L1 |
 Syracuse | 6 | 5-1 | 83.3% | 3-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 3-2-1 | W3 |
 Baylor | 6 | 5-1 | 83.3% | 3-1 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 3-3 | L1 |
 New Mexico | 6 | 5-1 | 83.3% | 3-0 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 1-5 | L1 |
 Ole Miss | 6 | 4-1-1 | 80% | 3-0 | 1-1 | 3-0-1 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 2-4 | W2 |
 James Madison | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 4-0 | 2-2 | 5-2 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 4-4 | L1 |
 UNLV | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 3-0 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 2-0 | 3-2 | 2-5 | W3 |
 Wake Forest | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 2-1 | 3-1 | 4-1 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 5-1-1 | W1 |
 Houston | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 2-2 | 3-0 | 3-2 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 3-4 | W2 |
 Nebraska | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 3-2 | 2-0 | 3-2 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 4-3 | W2 |
 Ball State | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 2-0 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 3-4 | W3 |
 Pittsburgh | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 5-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 4-2-1 | L1 |
 Kentucky | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 3-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 5-2 | W2 |
 Temple | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 3-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 3-2 | 3-4 | L2 |
 Penn State | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 4-3 | W2 |
 Missouri State | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 2-1 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 2-5 | W2 |
 Western Michigan | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 2-1 | 3-1 | 4-1 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 1-5-1 | W2 |
 Virginia Tech | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 4-0 | 1-2 | 5-2 | — | 3-2 | 4-3 | W1 |
 Florida | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 3-1 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 3-2-2 | W1 |
 Middle Tennessee | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 2-1 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 1-6 | W1 |
 Florida International | 7 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% | 2-2 | 2-0-1 | 2-2 | 2-0-1 | 2-2-1 | 2-5 | L1 |
 North Carolina | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 1-3-2 | W1 |
 UCF | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 3-3 | W3 |
 North Texas | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 3-2 | 3-2-1 | W1 |
 UConn | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 1-2 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 5-1 | W1 |
 Army | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 2-4 | W2 |
 South Carolina | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 3-1 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 4-2 | W2 |
 Iowa State | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 3-1 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 4-2 | L1 |
 Texas State | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 3-1 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 4-2 | W3 |
 Boston College | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 3-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 4-1 | 2-4 | W3 |
 Duke | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 3-1 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 3-2-1 | L2 |
 Troy | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 4-2 | L1 |
 Louisiana Tech | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 2-4 | L1 |
 BYU | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 3-1 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 4-2 | W2 |
 Arizona | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 2-1 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 4-2 | W2 |
 UCLA | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 1-2 | 3-0 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 2-4 | W3 |
 Boise State | 6 | 3-2-1 | 60% | 1-2 | 2-0-1 | 2-2-1 | 1-0 | 2-2-1 | 5-1 | — |
 Auburn | 6 | 3-2-1 | 60% | 1-1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1-1 | 2-1 | 3-1-1 | 3-3 | W3 |
 Florida Atlantic | 6 | 3-2-1 | 60% | 2-0-1 | 1-2 | 2-0-1 | 1-2 | 3-1-1 | 5-1 | L1 |
 Nevada | 6 | 3-2-1 | 60% | 2-1 | 1-1-1 | 0-1-1 | 3-1 | 2-2-1 | 2-4 | W1 |
 North Dakota State | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-2 | 2-1 | 4-3 | — | 3-2 | 3-3-1 | L2 |
 Florida State | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 1-6 | W3 |
 Massachusetts | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 1-3 | 3-0 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 4-3 | W1 |
 Kennesaw State | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 2-5 | L2 |
 Alabama | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-3 | — | 3-2 | 5-2 | L1 |
 Coastal Carolina | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 3-4 | W2 |
 Ohio | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 1-2 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 5-2 | W3 |
 Liberty | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-1 | 2-2 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 3-4 | W3 |
 Miami (OH) | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-2 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 5-2 | W2 |
 Georgia | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 3-2 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 | L3 |
 UTSA | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-2 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 4-3 | L2 |
 Tulsa | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-1 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 2-5 | W3 |
 Arkansas State | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 3-2 | 2-5 | W1 |
 Sam Houston | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-2 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 4-3 | L3 |
 Maryland | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-2 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5-2 | W1 |
 LSU | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-3 | — | 3-2 | 4-3 | W1 |
 Western Kentucky | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 2-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 4-1 | 3-4 | W2 |
 Washington State | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 2-5 | L1 |
 Eastern Michigan | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3-4-1 | L2 |
 Fresno State | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50% | 1-1-1 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-1-1 | 2-2-1 | 5-2 | L1 |
 West Virginia | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50% | 2-2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1-1 | 1-2 | 1-3-1 | 4-3 | L3 |
 Louisiana | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50% | 3-1 | 0-2-1 | 3-2 | 0-1-1 | 2-3 | 2-5 | W1 |
 Colorado | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-5 | L1 |
 Minnesota | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-3 | L2 |
 Air Force | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2-4 | L1 |
 Texas | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 1-3 | 1-0 | 3-3 | — | 2-3 | 2-3-1 | L1 |
 Iowa | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-3 | W1 |
 Michigan | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 2-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 1-5 | L1 |
 Mississippi State | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4-2 | L2 |
 Wisconsin | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-3 | L1 |
 SMU | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 2-4 | L3 |
 San José State | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-7 | W1 |
 Virginia | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 3-4 | W1 |
 Hawai'i | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 1-6 | W2 |
 New Mexico State | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | W1 |
 Delaware | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4-3 | L1 |
 Missouri | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-3-1 | L1 |
 UAB | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 2-5 | L1 |
 Purdue | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 3-3-1 | L1 |
 Michigan State | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3-1 | W1 |
 Toledo | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4-3 | W1 |
 East Carolina | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 3-4 | W2 |
 Bowling Green | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 2-5 | L1 |
 Charlotte | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 1-6 | W1 |
 App State | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 3-4 | W1 |
 Arkansas | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 3-4 | W2 |
 Wyoming | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 1-6 | W2 |
 Rice | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | L1 |
 San Diego State | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 3-4 | W1 |
 Notre Dame | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-4 | — | 2-3 | 5-1-1 | L1 |
 Southern Miss | 6 | 2-3-1 | 40% | 1-2 | 1-1-1 | 1-0 | 1-3-1 | 1-3-1 | 4-2 | L2 |
 Northwestern | 6 | 2-3-1 | 40% | 2-2 | 0-1-1 | 1-3 | 1-0-1 | 2-2-1 | 2-4 | L2 |
 Arizona State | 6 | 2-3-1 | 40% | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2-1 | 1-1 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-1 | L3 |
 USC | 7 | 2-4-1 | 33.3% | 2-2-1 | 0-2 | 2-3-1 | 0-1 | 0-4-1 | 4-3 | L4 |
 Indiana | 7 | 2-4-1 | 33.3% | 1-3-1 | 1-1 | 2-3-1 | 0-1 | 1-3-1 | 1-5-1 | L2 |
 TCU | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 1-5 | W2 |
 Rutgers | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4-2 | L2 |
 Georgia Tech | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-3 | L1 |
 Illinois | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5-1 | W1 |
 Oregon | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | — | 2-3 | 3-3 | L2 |
 Cincinnati | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3-3 | W1 |
 Tulane | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3-3 | W1 |
 Colorado State | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 2-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 5-1 | L4 |
 Kansas State | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-4 | 1-0 | 2-4 | — | 1-4 | 3-3 | L2 |
 UL Monroe | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-2 | W1 |
 Clemson | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2-3-1 | W1 |
 Jacksonville State | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5-1-1 | L4 |
 Akron | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 2-1 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3-1 | L1 |
 Buffalo | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4-2-1 | L1 |
 Kent State | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4-3 | W1 |
 Marshall | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2-5 | W1 |
 Tennessee | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 1-6 | W1 |
 Old Dominion | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4-2-1 | L1 |
 Texas A&M | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1-5-1 | W1 |
 Central Michigan | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 2-2 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | L2 |
 Washington | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 0-5 | 2-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 4-3 | W1 |
 Memphis | 8 | 2-6 | 25% | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4-4 | L3 |
 Oklahoma State | 6 | 1-4-1 | 20% | 1-2 | 0-2-1 | 0-3 | 1-1-1 | 1-3-1 | 2-4 | L2 |
 UTEP | 7 | 1-5-1 | 16.7% | 0-3-1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4-1 | 1-3-1 | 2-4-1 | L1 |
 Oklahoma | 6 | 1-5 | 16.7% | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-5 | 2-3-1 | L5 |
 Navy | 6 | 1-5 | 16.7% | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5-1 | W1 |
 Northern Illinois | 6 | 1-5 | 16.7% | 0-2 | 1-3 | — | 1-5 | 1-4 | 5-1 | L3 |
 Texas Tech | 6 | 1-5 | 16.7% | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-5 | — | 1-4 | 3-3 | W1 |
 Utah State | 6 | 1-5 | 16.7% | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1-5 | L4 |
 Sacramento State | 7 | 1-6 | 14.3% | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 6-1 | L5 |
 Stanford | 7 | 1-6 | 14.3% | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 4-3 | L6 |
 Vanderbilt | 7 | 1-6 | 14.3% | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4-3 | L2 |
 South Florida | 7 | 1-6 | 14.3% | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2-5 | L1 |
 California | 7 | 1-6 | 14.3% | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-3 | L1 |
 Louisville | 7 | 0-6-1 | 0% | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-6 | 0-0-1 | 0-5 | 4-3 | L6 |
Starts and finishes
1st half vs 2nd half: margins, leads that held or slipped, and halves that split from the full game
| Team | GP | At half | 1H margin | 2H margin | 1H share | Led, lost | Trailed, won | 1H cover only | Game cover only |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 6 | 5-1 | +11.7 | -6.3 | 61% | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Ole Miss | 6 | 5-1 | +15.7 | -2.0 | 58% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Virginia Tech | 7 | 7-0 | +16.7 | -0.7 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Miami (OH) | 7 | 4-2-1 | +8.0 | -6.7 | 72% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Syracuse | 6 | 4-2 | +9.5 | -3.5 | 68% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Utah | 6 | 6-0 | +19.0 | +6.3 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Texas State | 6 | 4-1-1 | +9.8 | -2.0 | 65% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Iowa | 6 | 3-2-1 | +14.2 | +2.3 | 67% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ohio State | 7 | 7-0 | +18.6 | +7.3 | 61% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| South Alabama | 7 | 4-2-1 | +6.9 | -4.1 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| USC | 7 | 4-2-1 | +10.7 | +0.6 | 56% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| BYU | 6 | 4-1-1 | +14.2 | +4.2 | 64% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| James Madison | 8 | 7-1 | +16.4 | +6.8 | 61% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oregon State | 7 | 5-2 | +14.6 | +5.0 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Troy | 6 | 3-2-1 | +4.2 | -5.3 | 71% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Florida Atlantic | 6 | 4-2 | +6.5 | -3.0 | 73% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Houston | 7 | 6-1 | +13.9 | +4.4 | 54% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| SMU | 6 | 6-0 | +10.3 | +1.0 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Miami | 6 | 5-0-1 | +21.8 | +12.7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Louisiana Tech | 6 | 3-2-1 | +9.0 | -0.2 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Georgia Southern | 7 | 5-2 | +5.0 | -3.6 | 65% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Missouri State | 7 | 2-5 | -1.1 | -9.3 | 55% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| North Dakota State | 7 | 6-0-1 | +13.1 | +5.0 | 65% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Temple | 7 | 4-2-1 | +2.9 | -5.1 | 55% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| East Carolina | 7 | 4-3 | +3.1 | -4.4 | 61% | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| West Virginia | 7 | 4-3 | +5.6 | -2.0 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 7 | 5-2 | +8.1 | +0.7 | 58% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Georgia | 7 | 5-2 | +17.3 | +9.9 | 59% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Auburn | 6 | 5-1 | +6.2 | -1.2 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| UNLV | 7 | 5-1-1 | +3.7 | -3.3 | 55% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| North Carolina | 6 | 4-2 | +5.7 | -1.3 | 62% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sam Houston | 7 | 2-4-1 | +0.9 | -6.0 | 63% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Notre Dame | 7 | 6-1 | +17.1 | +10.6 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Georgia State | 6 | 5-1 | +9.5 | +3.0 | 63% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ohio | 7 | 4-3 | +7.3 | +1.0 | 54% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Kansas | 6 | 2-3-1 | +7.0 | +1.0 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Penn State | 7 | 5-1-1 | +7.9 | +2.0 | 56% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Boston College | 6 | 3-3 | +1.3 | -4.0 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Coastal Carolina | 7 | 4-3 | +2.7 | -2.4 | 58% | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Florida | 7 | 4-3 | +8.0 | +3.3 | 54% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nebraska | 7 | 7-0 | +12.3 | +7.9 | 54% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Maryland | 7 | 3-4 | -0.3 | -4.7 | 63% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Indiana | 7 | 5-2 | +14.0 | +9.7 | 48% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Baylor | 6 | 4-2 | +9.7 | +5.7 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kennesaw State | 7 | 3-3-1 | -0.6 | -4.4 | 56% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mississippi State | 6 | 3-3 | +3.8 | +0.2 | 58% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Florida State | 7 | 3-2-2 | +3.6 | +0.1 | 53% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pittsburgh | 7 | 5-2 | +9.9 | +6.6 | 60% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Wake Forest | 7 | 5-2 | +10.6 | +7.4 | 57% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Washington State | 7 | 3-3-1 | -2.0 | -5.0 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Illinois | 6 | 4-2 | +3.5 | +0.5 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Texas A&M | 7 | 4-2-1 | +7.6 | +4.7 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Army | 6 | 4-1-1 | +8.8 | +6.0 | 48% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| UConn | 6 | 3-2-1 | +6.7 | +3.8 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Texas | 6 | 5-1 | +7.5 | +4.8 | 52% | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| South Carolina | 6 | 5-1 | +7.3 | +4.8 | 51% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Arizona State | 6 | 3-3 | +0.8 | -1.5 | 58% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Boise State | 6 | 5-1 | +7.5 | +5.2 | 59% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Colorado | 6 | 2-4 | -2.0 | -4.2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Alabama | 7 | 5-2 | +10.0 | +7.9 | 60% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Western Michigan | 7 | 4-3 | +5.1 | +3.0 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Arizona | 6 | 5-1 | +9.3 | +7.3 | 53% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| UCF | 6 | 3-2-1 | +6.0 | +4.0 | 54% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Arkansas State | 7 | 3-3-1 | +1.3 | -0.4 | 55% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Middle Tennessee | 7 | 2-4-1 | -1.3 | -3.0 | 47% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Florida International | 7 | 3-3-1 | +2.7 | +1.1 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Tech | 6 | 4-2 | +0.5 | -1.0 | 51% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| North Texas | 6 | 3-2-1 | +7.2 | +5.8 | 55% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| UTEP | 7 | 1-6 | -10.4 | -11.7 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Louisiana | 7 | 4-3 | +5.7 | +5.0 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| San José State | 7 | 5-2 | +0.1 | -0.4 | 36% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Michigan | 6 | 5-1 | +3.5 | +3.0 | 43% | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Missouri | 7 | 4-2-1 | +6.0 | +5.6 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Virginia | 7 | 3-4 | +5.3 | +5.0 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Western Kentucky | 7 | 3-4 | -4.6 | -4.7 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iowa State | 6 | 3-2-1 | +4.0 | +4.0 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ball State | 7 | 1-5-1 | -8.9 | -8.7 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tulane | 6 | 2-3-1 | -0.7 | -0.5 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Wisconsin | 6 | 3-3 | +5.3 | +5.5 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| UTSA | 7 | 4-3 | +2.1 | +3.1 | 54% | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Eastern Michigan | 8 | 3-5 | -2.8 | -1.6 | 55% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| New Mexico State | 7 | 3-4 | -1.0 | +0.1 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Hawai'i | 7 | 2-5 | -5.3 | -4.0 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Toledo | 7 | 4-3 | +5.7 | +7.0 | 47% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tulsa | 7 | 5-2 | +2.6 | +4.0 | 45% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kentucky | 7 | 4-2-1 | +2.7 | +4.1 | 50% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| New Mexico | 6 | 4-2 | +13.8 | +15.3 | 46% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kent State | 7 | 1-6 | -11.0 | -9.0 | 51% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Rice | 7 | 2-5 | -7.0 | -5.0 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Tennessee | 7 | 5-2 | +8.3 | +10.4 | 42% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Texas Tech | 6 | 4-2 | +9.0 | +11.2 | 49% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Clemson | 6 | 3-3 | -0.7 | +1.5 | 56% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kansas State | 6 | 5-1 | +6.7 | +8.8 | 51% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Northwestern | 6 | 4-2 | +7.2 | +9.3 | 48% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jacksonville State | 7 | 3-3-1 | +1.1 | +3.4 | 58% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Washington | 7 | 5-2 | +1.4 | +3.7 | 52% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | 7 | 3-3-1 | -7.0 | -4.6 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LSU | 7 | 5-2 | +11.0 | +13.6 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Minnesota | 6 | 3-3 | +2.2 | +4.8 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Michigan State | 7 | 3-4 | -3.6 | -0.6 | 52% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| App State | 7 | 3-3-1 | +1.7 | +5.3 | 45% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Wyoming | 7 | 2-5 | -3.1 | +0.6 | 41% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Akron | 7 | 2-5 | -8.7 | -4.9 | 47% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| San Diego State | 7 | 2-4-1 | -7.0 | -3.0 | 36% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Buffalo | 7 | 3-3-1 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| TCU | 6 | 3-2-1 | +3.8 | +8.0 | 53% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Nevada | 6 | 2-2-2 | -0.8 | +3.3 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlotte | 7 | 1-6 | -12.9 | -8.6 | 34% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Purdue | 7 | 3-4 | -2.7 | +1.7 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marshall | 7 | 3-3-1 | -6.7 | -2.3 | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| UL Monroe | 6 | 1-4-1 | -12.8 | -8.3 | 53% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Air Force | 6 | 3-2-1 | +3.2 | +8.0 | 45% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Stanford | 7 | 2-5 | -11.6 | -6.7 | 42% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Arkansas | 7 | 2-4-1 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Duke | 6 | 3-3 | +5.2 | +10.5 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Delaware | 7 | 4-3 | -2.9 | +2.7 | 48% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| UCLA | 6 | 5-0-1 | +6.8 | +12.5 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Oregon | 6 | 2-4 | +5.2 | +11.2 | 45% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Northern Illinois | 6 | 0-6 | -13.8 | -7.7 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| California | 7 | 1-6 | -5.4 | +1.6 | 52% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Liberty | 7 | 4-3 | +5.3 | +12.3 | 47% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Oklahoma State | 6 | 2-3-1 | +3.2 | +10.3 | 43% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Old Dominion | 7 | 2-4-1 | -8.3 | -0.9 | 54% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| South Florida | 7 | 4-3 | +1.7 | +9.7 | 38% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| UAB | 7 | 2-5 | -4.9 | +3.6 | 47% | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Louisville | 7 | 2-4-1 | +1.4 | +9.9 | 45% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Colorado State | 6 | 2-4 | -8.0 | +0.5 | 58% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oklahoma | 6 | 3-3 | -2.8 | +6.0 | 40% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacramento State | 7 | 1-6 | -13.3 | -4.4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Fresno State | 7 | 2-4-1 | -1.3 | +8.0 | 46% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Cincinnati | 6 | 3-3 | -0.5 | +8.8 | 36% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Memphis | 8 | 4-4 | +1.5 | +10.9 | 41% | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Southern Miss | 6 | 1-4-1 | -9.2 | +0.7 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rutgers | 6 | 1-5 | -5.8 | +5.2 | 44% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Vanderbilt | 7 | 1-5-1 | -9.1 | +3.0 | 42% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Navy | 6 | 1-5 | -5.0 | +7.3 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Central Michigan | 7 | 2-5 | -10.9 | +1.9 | 35% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Utah State | 6 | 0-6 | -11.5 | +2.5 | 43% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
1st-half trend signals
Backtest 2016–26: each game graded with the teams’ records from earlier that season · break-even 52.4%
| Signal | Rule | Record | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot 1st-half cover team | Covered 70%+ of 1st halves this season (5+ decisions) | 645-736 (46.7%) | No edge |
| Fade a cold 1st-half team | Opponent covered 30% or less of 1st halves this season (5+ decisions) | 628-656 (48.9%) | No edge |
| 1st-half over teams | Both teams went over in 65%+ of their 1st halves (4+ each) | 74-95 (43.8%) | No edge |
| 1st-half under teams | Both teams went under in 65%+ of their 1st halves (4+ each) | 169-135 (55.6%) | Not proven yet |
| Fast starter edge | Average 1st-half margins point past the 1st-half line | 1311-1284 (50.5%) | No edge |