Atlantic Coast ConferencePower #2025-8 SU13-20 ATS17-16 O/U
Virginia went 25-8 straight up, 13-20 against the spread (39% covers, average cover margin -1.2 points), 17-16 on over/unders in 2022-23, including 11-16 ATS as a favorite and 2-4 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WLO·WWU·WWO·LLU·LLO
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which UVA beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
−12
NCCU+22.5
MONM+12
BAY+11
ILL−1.5
UMES−1.5
@MICH−12.5
FSU−7.5
JMU−5.5
HOU−5.5
@MIA−6.5
UALB+8.5
@GT−9.5
@PITT−5.5
SYR+2.5
UNC−0.5@FSU+4.5
VT+5.5
@WAKE+4.5
BC−0.5@SYR−4.5@VT+5.5
NCSU+1.5
DUKE−13.5
@LOU−10.5
ND−24.5@BC−3.5@UNC+0.5
CLEM−3.5LOU+7.5UNC+16.5CLEM−6.5DUKE−6.5
FUR
NCCU+22.5MONM+12BAY+11ILL−1.5UMES−1.5@MICH−12.5FSU−7.5JMU−5.5HOU−5.5@MIA−6.5UALB+8.5@GT−9.5@PITT−5.5SYR+2.5UNC−0.5@FSU+4.5VT+5.5@WAKE+4.5BC−0.5@SYR−4.5@VT+5.5NCSU+1.5DUKE−13.5@LOU−10.5ND−24.5@BC−3.5@UNC+0.5CLEM−3.5LOU+7.5UNC+16.5CLEM−6.5DUKE−6.5FURcovered 13didn’t cover 20avg −1.2 ptstaller = bigger margin
+7.5NCCU+8.5MONM+32.5BAY−1.5ILL−6.5UMES+9.5@MICH−11.5FSU−29.5JMU+14.5HOU−1.5@MIA−13.5UALB+4.5@GT+7.5@PITT+11.5SYR−9.5UNC−5.5@FSU+20.5VT+10.5@WAKE+10.5BC−4.5@SYR+13.5@VT−21.5NCSU+4.5DUKE−8.5@LOU−18.5ND−14.5@BC+1.5@UNC−9.5CLEM+7.5LOU−1.5UNC+4.5CLEM−16.5DUKE+4.5FUR
NCCU+8.5MONM+32.5BAY−1.5ILL−6.5UMES+9.5@MICH−11.5FSU−29.5JMU+14.5HOU−1.5@MIA−13.5UALB+4.5@GT+7.5@PITT+11.5SYR−9.5UNC−5.5@FSU+20.5VT+10.5@WAKE+10.5BC−4.5@SYR+13.5@VT−21.5NCSU+4.5DUKE−8.5@LOU−18.5ND−14.5@BC+1.5@UNC−9.5CLEM+7.5LOU−1.5UNC+4.5CLEM−16.5DUKE+4.5FURover 17under 16avg −0 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
25-8
76% wins
Against the spread
13-20
39% covers
Avg cover margin
-1.2
points vs the line
Over / Under
17-16
52% overs
Points for / against
67.8 / 60.5
per game
Virginia 2022-23 team stats
33 games · rank among 363 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game67.8 #249
Points per possession1.08 #64
Pace (possessions)62.7 #360
Shooting
Effective FG%51.2 #144
3-point %35.0 #120
3-point attempt rate35.6 #241
Free throw rate34.7 #77
Possessions
Turnover rate13.7 #6
Offensive rebound rate25.6 #268
Assists per game15.7 #20
Defense
Points allowed60.5 #5
Points allowed per possession0.96 #41
Opponent effective FG%48.3 #75
Opponent 3-point %34.1 #187
Turnovers forced19.4 #94
Defensive rebound rate75.1 #37
Steals per game6.8 #116
Blocks per game4.3 #44
Virginia 2022-23 schedule, lines & results
33 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | NC Central non-conf | -24 | 126.5 | W 73-61 | L -12 | O 134 |
| Nov 11 | Monmouth non-conf | -24.5 | 122.5 | W 89-42 | W +22.5 | O 131 |
| Nov 18 | Baylor non-conf (N) | +5 | 132.5 | W 86-79 | W +12 | O 165 |
| Nov 20 | Illinois non-conf (N) | +2 | 132.5 | W 70-61 | W +11 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | MD Eastern non-conf | -28.5 | 123.5 | W 72-45 | L -1.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 29 | @ Michigan non-conf | -3.5 | 128.5 | W 70-68 | L -1.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 3 | Florida St | -17.5 | 130.5 | W 62-57 | L -12.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 6 | James Madison non-conf | -12.5 | 134.5 | W 55-50 | L -7.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 17 | Houston non-conf | +2.5 | 115.5 | L 61-69 | L -5.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ Miami | -3.5 | 131.5 | L 64-66 | L -5.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 28 | UAlbany non-conf | -26.5 | 125.5 | W 66-46 | L -6.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 31 | @ Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 125.5 | W 74-56 | W +8.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 3 | @ Pitt | -6.5 | 125.5 | L 65-68 | L -9.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 7 | Syracuse | -12.5 | 127.5 | W 73-66 | L -5.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 10 | North Carolina | -4.5 | 132.5 | W 65-58 | W +2.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @ Florida St | -9.5 | 130.5 | W 67-58 | L -0.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | Virginia Tech | -5.5 | 125.5 | W 78-68 | W +4.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 21 | @ Wake Forest | -3.5 | 132.5 | W 76-67 | W +5.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 28 | Boston College | -14.5 | 122.5 | W 76-57 | W +4.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 30 | @ Syracuse | -5.5 | 133.5 | W 67-62 | L -0.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @ Virginia Tech | +1.5 | 128.5 | L 68-74 | L -4.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 7 | NC State | -7.5 | 134.5 | W 63-50 | W +5.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 11 | Duke | -5.5 | 126.5 | W 69-62 | W +1.5 | O 131 |
| Feb 15 | @ Louisville | -16.5 | 127.5 | W 61-58 | L -13.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | Notre Dame | -12.5 | 130.5 | W 57-55 | L -10.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 22 | @ Boston College | -9.5 | 125.5 | L 48-63 | L -24.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 25 | @ North Carolina | +4.5 | 132.5 | L 63-71 | L -3.5 | O 134 |
| Feb 28 | Clemson | -6.5 | 130.5 | W 64-57 | W +0.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 4 | Louisville | -18.5 | 127.5 | W 75-60 | L -3.5 | O 135 |
| Mar 9 | North Carolina (N) | -1.5 | 128.5 | W 68-59 | W +7.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 10 | Clemson (N) | -3.5 | 127.5 | W 76-56 | W +16.5 | O 132 |
| Mar 11 | Duke (N) | +3.5 | 124.5 | L 49-59 | L -6.5 | U 108 |
| Mar 16 | Furman non-conf (N) | -5.5 | 130.5 | L 67-68 | L -6.5 | O 135 |
Virginia 2022-23 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 25-8 | 13-20 | 39% | -1.2 | 17-16 | 67.8 | 60.5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-9 | 44% | -1.5 | 8-8 | 68.6 | 56.4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 | 18% | -4.5 | 6-5 | 65.7 | 64.6 |
| Neutral site | 4-2 | 4-2 | 67% | +5.7 | 3-3 | 69.3 | 63.7 |
| As favorite | 23-4 | 11-16 | 41% | -1.6 | 13-14 | 68.1 | 58.6 |
| As underdog | 2-4 | 2-4 | 33% | +0.5 | 4-2 | 66.2 | 68.8 |
| In conference | 17-6 | 10-13 | 43% | -1.9 | 11-12 | 66.4 | 61.2 |
| Non-conference | 8-2 | 3-7 | 30% | +0.5 | 6-4 | 70.9 | 58.9 |