Stan Sheriff Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UTU -26.5✓ MVSU covered by 20.5
UTU -26.5✓ MVSU covered by 20.5Closing total145.5Over by 10.5
| UTU | This season | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 0-3 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 0-4 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTU 84–62 MVSU · ✓ UTU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTU | 36 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 81 |
| MVSU | 32 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 75 |
1st half: UTU 36, MVSU 32 (UTU by 4). The model had UTU by 13.6 and a total of 68.7 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UTU | MVSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-63 43% | Field goals | 30-66 45% |
| 8-33 24% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 19-28 68% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 42 14 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 21 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Davis G | 48 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Chance Trujillo G | 48 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4-13 | 2-11 |
| Madiba Owona G | 47 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 6-17 | 3-10 |
| Ethan Potter F | 42 | 22 | 13 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Noah Bolanga G | 37 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Britton Berrett G | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Samuel Ariyibi F | 9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Preston Vandermyde, Boston Harker, Jusaun Holt, Hunter Schenck, Dallin Grant, Dario Domingos, Marvel Allen
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Punch G | 44 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Mike James G | 44 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 8-21 | 2-9 |
| Daniel Mayfield F | 43 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Delkedric Holmes G | 37 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Lamont Sams F | 37 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mussa Mzein C | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Iroghama G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chance Sutton F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Samuel Murray F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jonathan Pace C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Derrick Singleton, X'Zaevion Barnett, Antonio Sisk, George Ivory III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTU -26.5
ModelUTU -22.2
Model edgeMVSU +4.3
W MVSU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model146.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
W Over
Projected score
UTU 84.4 · MVSU 62.2
UTU 81 · MVSU 75
Win probability
UTU 97%
1st half
Spread
UTU -13.6
UTU -4.0
Total
68.7
68 points
Projected score
UTU 41.2 · MVSU 27.5
UTU 36 · MVSU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTU -25.5
1 → UTU
CloseUTU -26.5
1 pt toward UTU
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UTU -100000 · MVSU +4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTU -25.5 · closed UTU -26.5 · moved 1 toward UTUmodel UTU -22
model UTU -22
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTUlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 0-4 0% |
| MVSUlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah Tech
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-4
0% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
+3.5
7
@
ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
+7.5
9
@
ASU
ASUL 66-81
−2.5
12
vs
MAN
MANL 75-79
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
−4.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
−2.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−5.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−4.5
over 0under 4avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miss Valley St
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UAB
UABL 55-106
−16.5
7
@
MUR
MURL 60-108
−9.5
12
@
HAW
HAWL 56-88
+9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UAB
UABL 55-106
+15.5
7
@MUR
MURL 60-108
+8.5
12
@HAW
HAWL 56-88
−7.5
over 2under 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah Tech
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Manhattan75–79
- L@ Arizona St66–81
- L@ Arizona67–93
- W@ South Dakota81–79
2 days since their last game.
Miss Valley St
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hawai'i56–88
- L@ Murray St60–108
- L@ UAB55–106
2 days since their last game.