Rice Owls vs Kennesaw State Owls: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 24, 4:30 PM ETAlico Arena · Neutral site

#177RICERice84final

Final

#148KENNKennesaw St89▲ winner

Closing lineKENN -4.5✓ KENN covered by 0.5

Closing total159.5Over by 13.5

Season records: Rice and Kennesaw St
RICE	This season	KENN
1-4	Record	1-1
2-3	ATS	1-1
3-2	O/U	1-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: RICE 78–82 KENN · ✓ KENN (63%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	OT	T
RICE	41	42	1	84
KENN	40	43	6	89

1st half: RICE 41, KENN 40 (RICE by 1). The model had KENN by 2.1 and a total of 74.8 (actual 81).

Team stats

RICE		KENN
26-62 42%	Field goals	28-70 40%
8-23 35%	3-pointers	10-29 34%
24-38 63%	Free throws	23-30 77%
41 14 off	Rebounds	44 17 off
14	Assists	17
10	Steals	9
5	Blocks	7
15	Turnovers	13
21	Fouls	26
28	Points in paint	34
9	Fast-break points	13

Players

RICE	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jalen Smith G	39	11	5	2	2-12	1-4
Nick Anderson G	36	18	6	1	5-11	2-6
Cam Carroll G	33	7	3	4	1-6	0-4
Trae Broadnax G	22	12	5	1	5-8	1-1
Jimmy Oladokun Jr. F	15	2	1	2	1-3	0-0
Bench
Eternity Eguagie F	24	8	4	1	3-7	2-4
Andrew Akuchie F	23	10	5	1	2-5	0-1
Bodey Howell G	19	10	3	2	4-6	2-3
Stephen Giwa C	9	6	2	0	3-3	0-0
Jordan Williams G	5	0	0	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Trey Patterson, Aaron Powell, Presley Patterson, Evan Cochran, George Perkins, Dallas Hobbs, Cole Andrews-Heitz

KENN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Simeon Cottle G	39	25	4	4	7-17	4-8
Ramone Seals F	37	25	8	2	8-14	2-6
Braedan Lue F	31	4	3	1	2-9	0-5
Kaden Rickard G	21	5	2	4	1-9	0-1
Perry Smith Jr. C	11	4	4	1	2-2	0-0
Bench
Darius Washington III G	28	5	4	4	2-4	0-0
Frankquon Sherman F	26	6	7	0	2-9	1-5
Amir Taylor F	14	3	3	0	1-1	0-0
Trey Simpson F	10	9	1	0	2-2	2-2
RJ Johnson G	8	3	1	1	1-3	1-2

Did not play: Eric Holland, Brendan Tousignaut, Nigel Thomas, Chase Clemmons, Charles Stone, Davin Cosby Jr., Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Jaden Harris

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	KENN -4.5	KENN -3.8	RICE +0.7	L KENN covered
Total	159.5	159.7	Over 0.2	W Over
Projected score	—	RICE 78 · KENN 81.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	KENN -2.1	RICE -1.0
1H total	74.8	81
1H projected score	RICE 36.3 · KENN 38.5	RICE 41 · KENN 40

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
RICE WLLWL	2-3	40%	—	2-0
KENN WL	1-1	50%	—	1-0

Venue/role: RICE neutral site, as underdog; KENN neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
RICE UOUOO	3-2	60%	1-4
KENN UO	1-1	50%	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RICElast 5	1-4 20%	2-3 40%	3-2 60%
KENNlast 2	1-1 50%	1-1 50%	1-1 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Rice

5 games played

Straight up

1-4

20% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg −5.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-420%

L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-340%

W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-260%

U O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@ORE	L 63-67	+15.5	W +11.5	145.5	U 130
Nov 11	vsSFA	L 69-81	-2.5	L −14.5	149.5	O 150
Nov 14	vsETAM	W 71-64	-10.5	L −3.5	146.5	U 135
Nov 17	@TENN	L 66-91	+26.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 157
Nov 20	vsTAR	L 74-90	-4.5	L −20.5	146.5	O 164

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ORE

L 63-67

+11.5

SFA

L 69-81

−14.5

ETAM

W 71-64

−3.5

TENN

L 66-91

+1.5

TAR

L 74-90

−20.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ORE

L 63-67

−15.5

SFA

L 69-81

+0.5

ETAM

W 71-64

−11.5

TENN

L 66-91

+13.5

TAR

L 74-90

+17.5

over 3under 2avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Kennesaw St

2 games played

Straight up

1-1

50% wins

Against the spread

1-1

50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-1

50% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-150%

W L

1 of 2 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-150%

W L

1 of 2 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-150%

U O

1 of 2 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@FAMU	W 92-72	-11.5	W +8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 16	vsUSF	L 89-108	+7.5	L −11.5	177.5	O 197

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

+8.5

USF

L 89-108

−11.5

covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

−2.5

USF

L 89-108

+19.5

over 1under 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Rice vs Kennesaw St

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Rice

Kennesaw St

Rice

Kennesaw St