Mizzou Arena · at Missouri
Closing line
MIZ -7.5✓ MIZ covered by 15.5
MIZ -7.5✓ MIZ covered by 15.5Closing total158.5Under by 15.5
 MINN | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 77–80 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 30 | 30 | 60 |
| MIZ | 32 | 51 | 83 |
1st half: MINN 30, MIZ 32 (MIZ by 2). The model had MIZ by 1.6 and a total of 73.2 (actual 62).
Team stats
| MINN | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-54 43% | Field goals | 29-49 59% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 11-22 50% |
| 9-17 53% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 34 14 off | Rebounds | 25 3 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 36 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-4 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson F | 35 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 34 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Chansey Willis Jr. G | 31 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Robert Vaihola F | 24 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Langston Reynolds G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Grayson Grove F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kai Shinholster G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: BJ Omot, Chance Stephens, Nehemiah Turner, Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, RJ Spencer
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 36 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6-11 | 0-3 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 26 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 21 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jevon Porter F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Crews G | 27 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Jayden Stone G | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Luke Northweather F | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Rowe, Trent Burns, Annor Boateng, Trent Pierce
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -6.5
1 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -7.5
1 pt toward MIZ
Total
Open156.5
▲ 2
Close158.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +270 · MIZ -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -6.5 · closed MIZ -7.5 · moved 1 toward MIZmodel MIZ -3
model MIZ -3
Opened 156.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIZ -7.5 | MIZ -3.0 | MINN +4.5 | L MIZ covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 156.3 | Under 2.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MINN 76.7 · MIZ 79.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIZ -1.6 | MIZ -2.0 |
| 1H total | 73.2 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | MINN 35.8 · MIZ 37.4 | MINN 30 · MIZ 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINNlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
| MIZlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MINN 0–1 MIZMIZ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MINN 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023-24 | MIZ 70 @ MINN 68 | MINN +2.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
over 0under 2avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vs
SEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vs
VMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
over 2under 1avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St95–50
- Wvs Gardner-Webb87–60
4 days since their last game.
Missouri
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VMI106–68
- Wvs SE Missouri89–84
- W@ Howard88–67
3 days since their last game.