Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · at Texas St
Closing line
TXST -2.5✓ TXST covered by 8.5
Closing total147.5Over by 1.5
| This season | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-2 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 74–77 TXST · ✓ TXST (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| TXST | 38 | 42 | 80 |
1st half: UTSA 26, TXST 38 (TXST by 12). The model had TXST by 1.5 and a total of 70.6 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UTSA | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-59 39% | Field goals | 28-67 42% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 4-20 20% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 47 18 off |
| 8 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Hayes G | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Jamir Simpson G | 32 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 6-14 | 4-8 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 27 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Austin Nunez G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-7 | 0-5 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Baboucarr Njie F | 34 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Brent Moss G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Macaleab Rich G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Pierce Spencer G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Stanley Borden C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vasean Allette, Daniel Akitoby, Jackson Fazande, LJ Brown, Mo Njie
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs G | 36 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Franck Emmou G | 30 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| DJ Hall F | 26 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Makai Willis C | 19 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Mark Drone G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dimp Pernell G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-7 |
| Robert Fields C | 20 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Bolden G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jaelyn Lee G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tay Knox C | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cameron Simpson, Isaiah Barganier, Ky Pernell, Deke Thompson, Kyndall Davis
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTXST -1.5
1 → TXST
CloseTXST -2.5
1 pt toward TXST
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UTSA +125 · TXST -145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TXST -1.5 · closed TXST -2.5 · moved 1 toward TXSTmodel TXST -2.5 matches the line
model TXST -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TXST -2.5 | TXST -2.7 | TXST +0.2 | W TXST covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 150.8 | Over 3.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTSA 74 · TXST 76.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TXST -1.5 | TXST -12.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | UTSA 34.6 · TXST 36.1 | UTSA 26 · TXST 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | |
| 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UTSA 1–1 TXSTSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · UTSA 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023-24 | UTSA 62 @ TXST 72 | TXST -7.5 | TXST W |
| Nov 17, 2022-23 | TXST 56 @ UTSA 61 | UTSA +5.5 | UTSA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −23.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −16.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
L 60-77
−23.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −23.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
L 60-77
−16.5
over 0under 1avg −16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −12.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BGSU
L 48-83
−29.5
8
@
TULN
L 71-79
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
BGSU
L 48-83
−15.5
8
@
TULN
L 71-79
+3.5
over 1under 1avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SIUE60–77
5 days since their last game.
Texas St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tulane71–79
- L@ Bowling Green48–83
4 days since their last game.