Pete Maravich Assembly Center · at LSU
Closing line
LSU -15.5✓ LSU covered by 20.5
LSU -15.5✓ LSU covered by 20.5Closing total148.5Over by 7.5
 TAR | This season | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TAR 65–86 LSU · ✓ LSU (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| LSU | 47 | 49 | 96 |
1st half: TAR 31, LSU 47 (LSU by 16). The model had LSU by 12.8 and a total of 70.8 (actual 78).
Team stats
| TAR | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-62 32% | Field goals | 33-46 72% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 22-29 76% |
| 20 12 off | Rebounds | 39 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 21 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Hicks G | 37 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Jordan Mizell G | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kade Douglas G | 26 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Cam McDowell G | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| AJ Dent F | 24 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Matyas Vrabel F | 20 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Thomas G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Martinez G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Andy Sigiscar F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dior Johnson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Malek Archie, Roy Marom, Daniel Dormu, Damion Porter Jr., Jaden Jinks
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon G | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 26 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 6-7 | 0-1 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 26 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 18 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 15 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Miller III F | 25 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Reed F | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Rashad King G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Reece G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| PJ Carter G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Jaden Bobbett G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ron Zipper G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mazi Mosley G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Gilhool
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -18.5
3 → TAR
CloseLSU -15.5
3 pts toward TAR
Total
Open147.5
▲ 1
Close148.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TAR +1000 · LSU -2000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -18.5 · closed LSU -15.5 · moved 3 toward TARmodel LSU -21.5
model LSU -21.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LSU -15.5 | LSU -21.3 | LSU +5.8 | W LSU covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 151.3 | Over 2.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TAR 65 · LSU 86.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LSU -12.8 | LSU -16.0 |
| 1H total | 70.8 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | TAR 29 · LSU 41.8 | TAR 31 · LSU 47 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| LSU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tarleton St
29 games played
Straight up
9-20
31% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SMU | L 62-96 | +15.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs SHSU | L 62-91 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 12 | @ FSU | L 52-72 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 17 | @ BAY | L 41-104 | +31.5 | L −31.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ MICH | L 49-72 | +31.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs IONA | L 51-62 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | W 61-59 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 125.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs INST | L 71-87 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 8 | @ UCF | L 51-66 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 16 | @ UTEP | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 18 | @ OKST | L 61-66 | +20.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 29 | vs FAMU | W 70-60 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 4 | vs UTA | W 77-74 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ SUU | W 74-66 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 11 | @ UTU | L 54-58 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 16 | vs CBU | W 67-57 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 130.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 18 | @ GCU | L 64-88 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ ACU | L 56-67 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 128.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 30 | vsUTU | W 61-54 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 1 | vsSUU | W 75-58 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Feb 6 | @ SEA | L 54-91 | +9.5 | L −27.5 | 129.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 8 | @ UVU | L 56-81 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 13 | vsGCU | L 60-64 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 15 | vsSEA | W 67-64 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 129.5 | O 131 |
| Feb 22 | @UTA | L 57-67 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 27 | vsACU | W 67-52 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Mar 6 | @CBU | L 48-68 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 8 | vsUVU | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Mar 13 | vsCBU | L 51-55 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 106 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SMU
SMUL 62-96
−18.5
9
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-91
−23.5
12
@FSU
FSUL 52-72
−2.5
17
@BAY
BAYL 41-104
−31.5
21
@MICH
MICHL 49-72
+8.5
29
vsIONA
IONAL 51-62
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFW 61-59
+12.5
1
vsINST
INSTL 71-87
−7.5
8
@UCF
UCFL 51-66
+9.5
16
@UTEP
UTEPL 62-67
+9.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 61-66
+15.5
29
vsFAMU
FAMUW 70-60
+0.5
4
vsUTA
UTAW 77-74
+8.5
9
@SUU
SUUW 74-66
+15.5
11
@UTU
UTUL 54-58
−2.5
16
vsCBU
CBUW 67-57
+13.5
18
@GCU
GCUL 64-88
−8.5
23
@ACU
ACUL 56-67
−7.5
30
vsUTU
UTUW 61-54
+1.5
1
vsSUU
SUUW 75-58
+10.5
6
@SEA
SEAL 54-91
−27.5
8
@UVU
UVUL 56-81
−10.5
13
vsGCU
GCUL 60-64
+7.5
15
vsSEA
SEAW 67-64
+7.5
22
@UTA
UTAL 57-67
−3.5
27
vsACU
ACUW 67-52
+13.5
6
@CBU
CBUL 48-68
−12.5
8
vsUVU
UVUL 66-71
+1.5
13
vsCBU
CBUL 51-55
+1.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SMU
SMUL 62-96
+15.5
9
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-91
+8.5
12
@FSU
FSUL 52-72
−22.5
17
@BAY
BAYL 41-104
+1.5
21
@MICH
MICHL 49-72
−26.5
29
vsIONA
IONAL 51-62
−19.5
30
vsHOF
HOFW 61-59
−5.5
1
vsINST
INSTL 71-87
+14.5
8
@UCF
UCFL 51-66
−18.5
16
@UTEP
UTEPL 62-67
−1.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 61-66
−11.5
29
vsFAMU
FAMUW 70-60
−4.5
4
vsUTA
UTAW 77-74
+11.5
9
@SUU
SUUW 74-66
+3.5
11
@UTU
UTUL 54-58
−24.5
16
vsCBU
CBUW 67-57
−6.5
18
@GCU
GCUL 64-88
+15.5
23
@ACU
ACUL 56-67
−5.5
30
vsUTU
UTUW 61-54
−18.5
1
vsSUU
SUUW 75-58
+2.5
6
@SEA
SEAL 54-91
+15.5
8
@UVU
UVUL 56-81
+5.5
13
vsGCU
GCUL 60-64
−12.5
15
vsSEA
SEAW 67-64
+1.5
22
@UTA
UTAL 57-67
−11.5
27
vsACU
ACUW 67-52
−14.5
6
@CBU
CBUL 48-68
−14.5
8
vsUVU
UVUL 66-71
+6.5
13
vsCBU
CBUL 51-55
−21.5
over 12under 17avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU
32 games played
Straight up
14-18
44% wins
Against the spread
13-19
41% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs ULM | W 95-60 | -22.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 10 | vs ALST | W 74-61 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | @ KSU | W 76-65 | +8.5 | W +19.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs CHSO | W 77-68 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs PITT | L 63-74 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vsUCF | W 109-102 | +0.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 211 |
| Nov 29 | vs NWST | W 77-53 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | vsFSU | W 85-75 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 8 | vs FGCU | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 14 | vsSMU | L 64-74 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs STET | W 99-53 | -23.5 | W +22.5 | 150.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs NOLA | W 86-70 | -26.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 110-45 | -40.5 | W +24.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 4 | vs VAN | L 72-80 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | @ MIZ | L 67-83 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 11 | @ MISS | L 65-77 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 14 | vs ARK | W 78-74 | -0.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 18 | @ TA&M | L 57-68 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 25 | @ ALA | L 73-80 | +17.5 | W +10.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 29 | vs AUB | L 74-87 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vs TEX | L 58-89 | +1.5 | L −29.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 5 | @ UGA | L 62-81 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 8 | vsMISS | L 70-72 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 12 | @ARK | L 58-70 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 15 | @ OU | W 82-79 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 18 | vs SC | W 81-67 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 22 | vs FLA | L 65-79 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 25 | vs TENN | L 59-65 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 1 | @ MSST | L 69-81 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 4 | @ UK | L 64-95 | +12.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 8 | vsTA&M | L 52-66 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Mar 12 | vsMSST | L 62-91 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsULM
ULMW 95-60
+12.5
10
vsALST
ALSTW 74-61
−6.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 76-65
+19.5
19
vsCHSO
CHSOW 77-68
−16.5
22
vsPITT
PITTL 63-74
−3.5
24
vsUCF
UCFW 109-102
+7.5
29
vsNWST
NWSTW 77-53
+5.5
3
vsFSU
FSUW 85-75
+5.5
8
vsFGCU
FGCUW 80-71
−5.5
14
vsSMU
SMUL 64-74
−5.5
17
vsSTET
STETW 99-53
+22.5
22
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
−10.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 110-45
+24.5
4
vsVAN
VANL 72-80
−5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 67-83
−8.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 65-77
−2.5
14
vsARK
ARKW 78-74
+3.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 57-68
−0.5
25
@ALA
ALAL 73-80
+10.5
29
vsAUB
AUBL 74-87
−1.5
1
vsTEX
TEXL 58-89
−29.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 62-81
−12.5
8
vsMISS
MISSL 70-72
+3.5
12
@ARK
ARKL 58-70
−2.5
15
@OU
OUW 82-79
+11.5
18
vsSC
SCW 81-67
+11.5
22
vsFLA
FLAL 65-79
−4.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 59-65
+4.5
1
@MSST
MSSTL 69-81
−0.5
4
@UK
UKL 64-95
−18.5
8
vsTA&M
TA&ML 52-66
−7.5
12
vsMSST
MSSTL 62-91
−19.5
covered 13didn’t cover 19avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsULM
ULMW 95-60
+7.5
10
vsALST
ALSTW 74-61
−16.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 76-65
−7.5
19
vsCHSO
CHSOW 77-68
−7.5
22
vsPITT
PITTL 63-74
−7.5
24
vsUCF
UCFW 109-102
+63.5
29
vsNWST
NWSTW 77-53
−12.5
3
vsFSU
FSUW 85-75
+9.5
8
vsFGCU
FGCUW 80-71
+9.5
14
vsSMU
SMUL 64-74
−17.5
17
vsSTET
STETW 99-53
+1.5
22
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+3.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 110-45
+12.5
4
vsVAN
VANL 72-80
−7.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 67-83
−3.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 65-77
−4.5
14
vsARK
ARKW 78-74
+1.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 57-68
−20.5
25
@ALA
ALAL 73-80
−14.5
29
vsAUB
AUBL 74-87
+11.5
1
vsTEX
TEXL 58-89
+1.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 62-81
+1.5
8
vsMISS
MISSL 70-72
−4.5
12
@ARK
ARKL 58-70
−18.5
15
@OU
OUW 82-79
+12.5
18
vsSC
SCW 81-67
+8.5
22
vsFLA
FLAL 65-79
−11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 59-65
−16.5
1
@MSST
MSSTL 69-81
+0.5
4
@UK
UKL 64-95
+2.5
8
vsTA&M
TA&ML 52-66
−24.5
12
vsMSST
MSSTL 62-91
+7.5
over 16under 16avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tarleton St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SMU76–96
2 days since their last game.
LSU
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.