Mackey Arena · at Purdue
Closing line
PUR -31.5✓ OAK covered by 21.5
PUR -31.5✓ OAK covered by 21.5Closing total158.5Over by 5.5
 OAK | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OAK 61–95 PUR · ✓ PUR (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 35 | 42 | 77 |
| PUR | 35 | 52 | 87 |
1st half: OAK 35, PUR 35 (tied). The model had PUR by 20.7 and a total of 73.3 (actual 70).
Team stats
| OAK | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-68 44% | Field goals | 32-68 47% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 13-35 37% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 22 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| OAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ziare Wells G | 37 | 21 | 12 | 1 | 9-16 | 0-1 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua F | 35 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 5-15 | 1-5 |
| Nassim Mashhour G | 35 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-8 |
| Brody Robinson G | 35 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Isaac Garrett F | 33 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brett White II G | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Khoi Thurmon G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nate Deer F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: MJ Yeager, William Kassi, Donny Yeager, Hamoudy Mashhour, Warren Marshall IV, Michael Houge
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 37 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 8-15 | 2-4 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 32 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Jack Benter G | 29 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 29 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Omer Mayer G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Liam Murphy F | 10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
Did not play: Trey Kaufman-Renn, Raleigh Burgess, Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Sam King
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -31.5
ModelPUR -34.3
Model edgePUR +2.8
L OAK covered
Total
Market158.5
Model156.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
L Over
Projected score
OAK 61.1 · PUR 95.4
OAK 77 · PUR 87
Win probability
PUR 100%
1st half
Spread
PUR -20.7
tied
Total
73.3
70 points
Projected score
OAK 26.3 · PUR 47
OAK 35 · PUR 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -30.5
1 → PUR
ClosePUR -31.5
1 pt toward PUR
Total
Open153.5
▲ 5
Close158.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
OAK +4000 · PUR -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -30.5 · closed PUR -31.5 · moved 1 toward PURmodel PUR -34.5
model PUR -34.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 5 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAKlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| PURlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oakland
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −18.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +42.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MICH | L 78-121 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
−18.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
+42.5
over 1under 0avg +42.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −17.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
over 0under 1avg −17.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oakland
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan78–121
4 days since their last game.
Purdue
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Evansville82–51
3 days since their last game.