Freedom Hall (TN) · at ETSU
Closing line
ETSU -19.5✓ ETSU covered by 22.5
ETSU -19.5✓ ETSU covered by 22.5Closing total146.5Over by 5.5
 ULM | This season | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 3-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ULM 66–83 ETSU · ✓ ETSU (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 33 | 22 | 55 |
| ETSU | 54 | 43 | 97 |
1st half: ULM 33, ETSU 54 (ETSU by 21). The model had ETSU by 10.4 and a total of 69.8 (actual 87).
Team stats
| ULM | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 39-66 59% |
| 6-27 22% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 8-10 80% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 42 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 24 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| ULM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Russell G | 35 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Krystian Lewis G | 33 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-11 | 1-6 |
| Lavell Brodnex G | 28 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Renars Sondors F | 26 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Alex Molofeev G | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wiggy Ball G | 25 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Przemek Hartman C | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Micah Caster G | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Alex Huguet F | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ajay Tew G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cam Campbell G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Diaz, Brentay Noel, Brady Craig
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Strothers G | 22 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Brian Taylor II G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Cam Morris III F | 18 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Blake Barkley F | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 19 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 6-8 | 3-4 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Brayden Crump F | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Maki Johnson G | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Gabe Sisk G | 17 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Milton Matthews III G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Henry Sisemore F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Carter G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maddox Huff, Frederico Whitaker Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketETSU -19.5
ModelETSU -17.5
Model edgeULM +2.0
L ETSU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model148.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
ULM 65.7 · ETSU 83.2
ULM 55 · ETSU 97
Win probability
ETSU 94%
1st half
Spread
ETSU -10.4
ETSU -21.0
Total
69.8
87 points
Projected score
ULM 29.7 · ETSU 40.1
ULM 33 · ETSU 54
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -16.5
3 → ETSU
CloseETSU -19.5
3 pts toward ETSU
Total
Open153.5
▼ 7
Close146.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
ULM +1500 · ETSU -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -16.5 · closed ETSU -19.5 · moved 3 toward ETSUmodel ETSU -17.5
model ETSU -17.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 7 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULMlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% |
| ETSUlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UL Monroe
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +9.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NIU
NIUL 82-102
−12.5
7
@
MISS
MISSL 65-86
+16.5
13
@
HCU
HCUL 61-72
−2.5
17
vs
LAM
LAML 66-79
−1.5
22
vs
MORE
MOREL 80-83
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
+36.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+1.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−10.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
+4.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+17.5
over 4under 1avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vs
NKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@
UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
over 1under 3avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UL Monroe
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Morehead St80–83
- Lvs Lamar66–79
- L@ Hou Christian61–72
- L@ Ole Miss65–86
- L@ N Illinois82–102
1 day since their last game.
ETSU
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Morehead St77–62
- W@ North Alabama78–74
- Wvs N Kentucky75–63
- L@ Presbyterian64–68
2 days since their last game.