Savage Arena · at Toledo
Closing line
TOL -2.5✓ MRSH covered by 14.5
TOL -2.5✓ MRSH covered by 14.5Closing total160.5Under by 2.5
 MRSH | This season | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRSH 78–78 TOL · ✗ TOL (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 30 | 55 | 85 |
| TOL | 40 | 33 | 73 |
1st half: MRSH 30, TOL 40 (TOL by 10). The model had MRSH by 0.1 and a total of 72.7 (actual 70).
Team stats
| MRSH | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-63 49% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 15-37 41% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 37 15 off |
| 23 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer G | 35 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 6-15 | 6-14 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 31 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 30 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Matt Van Komen C | 28 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 28 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Erich Harding F | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Landen Joseph G | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Bryce Slay G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Drew Fuquay F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Shamarrie Hugie G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White, Kai Spears
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 31 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Mynor Strong G | 26 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Austin Parks C | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Sean Craig F | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-2 |
| Tyler Ode G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| London Praytor F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Will James Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Phoenix Glassnor, Toby Nwokolo, Chris Riddle
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOL -1.5
1 → TOL
CloseTOL -2.5
1 pt toward TOL
Total
Open159.5
▲ 1
Close160.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MRSH +115 · TOL -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOL -1.5 · closed TOL -2.5 · moved 1 toward TOLmodel TOL -0
model TOL -0
Opened 159.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TOL -2.5 | TOL -0.2 | MRSH +2.3 | W MRSH covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 155.4 | Under 5.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MRSH 77.6 · TOL 77.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MRSH -0.1 | TOL -10.0 |
| 1H total | 72.7 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | MRSH 36.4 · TOL 36.3 | MRSH 30 · TOL 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSHlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| TOLlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRSH 1–3 TOLTOL leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · TOL has won the last 2 meetings · MRSH 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024-25 | TOL 90 @ MRSH 80 | MRSH +0.5 | TOL W |
| Dec 13, 2023-24 | MRSH 87 @ TOL 88 | TOL -8.5 | MRSH W |
| Dec 17, 2022-23 | TOL 85 @ MRSH 100 | MRSH -3.5 | MRSH W |
| Dec 21, 2021-22 | MRSH 63 @ TOL 95 | TOL -3.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marshall
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MASS | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
+10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
−2.5
over 0under 1avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Toledo
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
over 0under 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marshall
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UMass78–72
5 days since their last game.
Toledo
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Alabama74–76
5 days since their last game.