John Paul Jones Arena · at Virginia
Closing line
UVA -34.5✓ NCCU covered by 15.5
UVA -34.5✓ NCCU covered by 15.5Closing total151.5Under by 8.5
 NCCU | This season | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 62–89 UVA · ✓ UVA (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 25 | 37 | 62 |
| UVA | 42 | 39 | 81 |
1st half: NCCU 25, UVA 42 (UVA by 17). The model had UVA by 15.8 and a total of 70.6 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NCCU | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-60 32% | Field goals | 28-61 46% |
| 6-14 43% | 3-pointers | 14-36 39% |
| 18-22 82% | Free throws | 11-19 58% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 48 20 off |
| 13 | Assists | 22 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 11 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 40 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 7-17 | 5-6 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 33 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 4-13 | 1-1 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Jonathan Dunn F | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyric Davis G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 23 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Edwards G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jae Slack G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ramondo Battle II F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Ellison, Khalil Arnold, Camren Daniels, Gbenga Olubi
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thijs De Ridder F | 30 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Dallin Hall G | 27 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 25 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Malik Thomas G | 25 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| Sam Lewis G | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Mallory G | 24 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 20 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Jacari White G | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Elijah Gertrude G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Martin Carrere G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Desmond Roberts G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Carter Lang F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Owen Odom G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Silas Barksdale, Devin Tillis
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -34.5
no move
CloseUVA -34.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▼ 2
Close151.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -34.5 · unchangedmodel UVA -26.5
model UVA -26.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UVA -34.5 | UVA -26.3 | NCCU +8.3 | W NCCU covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 150.7 | Under 0.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | NCCU 62.2 · UVA 88.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UVA -15.8 | UVA -17.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | NCCU 27.4 · UVA 43.2 | NCCU 25 · UVA 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCUlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| UVAlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NCCU 0–2 UVAUVA leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · UVA has won the last 2 meetings · NCCU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | NCCU 47 @ UVA 77 | UVA -23.5 | UVA W |
| Nov 7, 2022-23 | NCCU 61 @ UVA 73 | UVA -24 | NCCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −16.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +34.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
over 1under 0avg +34.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RID | W 87-53 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
−8.5
over 0under 1avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ NC State66–114
4 days since their last game.
Virginia
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider87–53
4 days since their last game.