Lenovo Center · at NC State
Closing line
NCSU -19.5✓ NCSU covered by 4.5
NCSU -19.5✓ NCSU covered by 4.5Closing total162.5Over by 1.5
 UAB | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UAB 76–85 NCSU · ✓ NCSU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB | 33 | 37 | 70 |
| NCSU | 41 | 53 | 94 |
1st half: UAB 33, NCSU 41 (NCSU by 8). The model had NCSU by 5.4 and a total of 75.4 (actual 74).
Team stats
| UAB | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-71 41% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 4-25 16% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 35 17 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| UAB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Meyer G | 32 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-18 | 0-5 |
| Daniel Rivera F | 28 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Chance Westry G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Ahmad Robinson G | 25 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2-12 | 1-7 |
| KyeRon Lindsay-Martin F | 24 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Evan Chatman F | 26 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Salim London G | 18 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Dayjaun Anderson G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Quaran McPherson G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ari Gooch G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Joao Das Chagas C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lance Carr F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jorden Pittman, Justin Holloway, Joey Kahn
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Holloman G | 32 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Darrion Williams F | 28 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 26 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-8 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 25 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 26 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 20 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jerry Deng F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Colt Langdon F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Scottie Ebube C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Snell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayme Kontuniemi, Zymicah Wilkins, Alyn Breed
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCSU -19.5
ModelNCSU -9.1
Model edgeUAB +10.4
L NCSU covered
Total
Market162.5
Model161.2
Model edgeUnder 1.3
L Over
Projected score
UAB 76 · NCSU 85.1
UAB 70 · NCSU 94
Win probability
NCSU 79%
1st half
Spread
NCSU -5.4
NCSU -8.0
Total
75.4
74 points
Projected score
UAB 35 · NCSU 40.4
UAB 33 · NCSU 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -14.5
5 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -19.5
5 pts toward NCSU
Total
Open162.5
no move
Close162.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UAB +1500 · NCSU -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -14.5 · closed NCSU -19.5 · moved 5 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -9
model NCSU -9
Opened 162.5 · unchangedmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UABlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| NCSUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UAB
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +16.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +15.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MVSU | W 106-55 | -34.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+16.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+15.5
over 1under 0avg +15.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +16.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +34.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
over 1under 0avg +34.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UAB
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Miss Valley St106–55
4 days since their last game.
NC State
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC Central114–66
4 days since their last game.