Hill Field House · at Morgan St
Closing line
UMBC -4.5✓ MORG covered by 2.5
UMBC -4.5✓ MORG covered by 2.5Closing total162.5Under by 2.5
| UMBC | This season | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 83–80 MORG · ✓ UMBC (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 45 | 36 | 81 |
| MORG | 34 | 45 | 79 |
1st half: UMBC 45, MORG 34 (UMBC by 11). The model had UMBC by 2.1 and a total of 76.4 (actual 79).
Team stats
| UMBC | MORG | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-49 57% | Field goals | 30-70 43% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 9-19 47% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 33 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 35 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 34 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 33 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 23 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Paul Greene F | 13 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Devin Ceaser G | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Caden Diggs F | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jake Stout, Tim Eze, Regimantas Ciunys, Josh Odunowo, Saahil Thakkar, Cougar Downing
| MORG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis G | 38 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 7-17 | 0-1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-14 | 5-9 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. G | 23 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Dallas James C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Manok Lual F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rob Lawson G | 32 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-2 |
| Christian Meeks F | 30 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Christian Oliver C | 20 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Eugene Alvin F | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Marland Harris F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trent Edwards, Matar Wade, Jayden Socka, David Bumpass, Breon Barnett
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -3.5
1 → UMBC
CloseUMBC -4.5
1 pt toward UMBC
Total
Open167.5
▼ 5
Close162.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -190 · MORG +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -3.5 · closed UMBC -4.5 · moved 1 toward UMBCmodel UMBC -3
model UMBC -3
Opened 167.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 5 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -4.5 | UMBC -3.1 | MORG +1.4 | W MORG covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 163.2 | Over 0.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 83.1 · MORG 80 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -2.1 | UMBC -11.0 |
| 1H total | 76.4 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 39.2 · MORG 37.2 | UMBC 45 · MORG 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBClast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| MORGlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UMBC 2–1 MORGUMBC leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UMBC 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | MORG 69 @ UMBC 92 | UMBC -7.5 | UMBC W |
| Dec 6, 2023-24 | UMBC 80 @ MORG 92 | MORG +4.5 | MORG W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | MORG 63 @ UMBC 75 | UMBC -8.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +19.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
over 0under 1avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Morgan St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GTWN | L 70-87 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+2.5
over 1under 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Dayton71–77
3 days since their last game.
Morgan St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgetown70–87
A week or more of rest.