M&T Bank Center at Gampel Pavilion · at UConn
Closing line
CONN -32.5✓ COLU covered by 5.5
CONN -32.5✓ COLU covered by 5.5Closing total155.5Under by 4.5
 COLU | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLU 62–90 CONN · ✓ CONN (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLU | 27 | 35 | 62 |
| CONN | 50 | 39 | 89 |
1st half: COLU 27, CONN 50 (CONN by 23). The model had CONN by 16.9 and a total of 71.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| COLU | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 30-53 57% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 19-29 66% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 22 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| COLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Thompson F | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Kenny Noland G | 29 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Zine Eddine Bedri F | 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Mason Ritter F | 18 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Avery Brown G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Miles Franklin G | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Soulis F | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Connor Igoe F | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Gerard O'Keefe G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Hampton Sanders G | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Cunningham G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Richard Nweke F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Leland Coleman F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nigel Clarkson, Edwin Bai, Nicolo Romanelli, Dan Vessey
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 32 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Solo Ball G | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 7-15 | 3-9 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 26 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 25 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Jaylin Stewart F | 23 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Ross F | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Malachi Smith G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Eric Reibe C | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Alec Millender G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Koroma F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braylon Mullins, Jacob Furphy, Uros Paunovic, Rrezon Elezaj, Jacob Ross
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCONN -32.5
ModelCONN -28.1
Model edgeCOLU +4.4
W COLU covered
Total
Market155.5
Model152.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
W Under
Projected score
COLU 62.4 · CONN 90.4
COLU 62 · CONN 89
Win probability
CONN 99%
1st half
Spread
CONN -16.9
CONN -23.0
Total
71.6
77 points
Projected score
COLU 27.3 · CONN 44.2
COLU 27 · CONN 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -32.5
no move
CloseCONN -32.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -32.5 · unchangedmodel CONN -28
model CONN -28
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| CONNlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Columbia
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −24.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NHVN | W 71-53 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
+10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
−24.5
over 0under 1avg −24.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vs
UML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
over 1under 1avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Columbia
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ New Haven71–53
3 days since their last game.
UConn
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass Lowell110–47
- Wvs New Haven79–55
3 days since their last game.