Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence
Closing line
PROV -23.5✓ HC covered by 13.5
PROV -23.5✓ HC covered by 13.5Closing total152.5Over by 15.5
 HC | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HC 59–84 PROV · ✓ PROV (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 27 | 52 | 79 |
| PROV | 44 | 45 | 89 |
1st half: HC 27, PROV 44 (PROV by 17). The model had PROV by 14.8 and a total of 67.2 (actual 71).
Team stats
| HC | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-65 42% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 42 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boston G | 36 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 6-13 | 3-7 |
| Aiden Disu F | 34 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 7-14 | 1-6 |
| Gabe Warren G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-3 |
| Aidan Richard F | 29 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Joe Nugent F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeAndre Williams G | 19 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| John St. Germain III G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Will Aljancic F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Declan Ryan F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Kirkwood G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chuck Hare, Ben Capron, Jude Haigh, Tim Finau, Ethan Clark, Austin Mejia
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 26 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 22 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 22 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jason Edwards G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Duncan Powell F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Mela G | 22 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Stefan Vaaks G | 20 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Jamier Jones G | 20 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Daquan Davis G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nilavan Daniels, Jaylen Harrell, Jack Williams, Peteris Pinnis, Rich Barron
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPROV -23.5
ModelPROV -24.6
Model edgePROV +1.1
L HC covered
Total
Market152.5
Model143.4
Model edgeUnder 9.1
L Over
Projected score
HC 59.4 · PROV 84
HC 79 · PROV 89
Win probability
PROV 98%
1st half
Spread
PROV -14.8
PROV -17.0
Total
67.2
71 points
Projected score
HC 26.2 · PROV 41
HC 27 · PROV 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -24.5
1 → HC
ClosePROV -23.5
1 pt toward HC
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
HC +2500 · PROV -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -24.5 · closed PROV -23.5 · moved 1 toward HCmodel PROV -24.5
model PROV -24.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| PROV | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Holy Cross
30 games played
Straight up
11-19
37% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WIS | L 61-85 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ URI | L 77-91 | +20.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHU | W 82-75 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ BRWN | W 73-65 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNH | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 24 | @ ME | L 55-80 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 134.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | @ UVA | L 41-67 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 126.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 4 | vs HARV | W 68-67 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | L 56-69 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | @ QUIN | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | @ SIE | W 78-70 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 131.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 2 | vs L-MD | W 74-72 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 5 | @ AMER | L 64-75 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs NAVY | W 70-59 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 11 | @ LAF | L 65-82 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 131.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 15 | @ BUCK | L 82-86 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 18 | vsAMER | L 65-74 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 22 | vs ARMY | L 71-76 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 25 | @L-MD | W 70-65 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ BU | L 59-69 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 1 | vs LEH | L 67-69 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 5 | @ARMY | L 65-68 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 8 | vsBU | W 72-52 | +2.5 | W +22.5 | 129.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 12 | vs COLG | L 65-87 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 15 | @LEH | L 60-72 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 19 | vsLAF | W 74-69 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 23 | @NAVY | L 77-83 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 26 | @COLG | L 73-81 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 1 | vsBUCK | L 81-94 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 4 | @LAF | L 68-69 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WIS
WISL 61-85
−0.5
8
@URI
URIL 77-91
+6.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 82-75
+9.5
16
@BRWN
BRWNW 73-65
+15.5
17
vsUNH
UNHW 74-72
−2.5
24
@ME
MEL 55-80
−19.5
29
@UVA
UVAL 41-67
−10.5
4
vsHARV
HARVW 68-67
+3.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUL 56-69
−8.5
17
@QUIN
QUINW 70-69
+11.5
20
@SIE
SIEW 78-70
+12.5
2
vsL-MD
L-MDW 74-72
−0.5
5
@AMER
AMERL 64-75
−4.5
8
vsNAVY
NAVYW 70-59
+9.5
11
@LAF
LAFL 65-82
−11.5
15
@BUCK
BUCKL 82-86
+1.5
18
vsAMER
AMERL 65-74
−7.5
22
vsARMY
ARMYL 71-76
−3.5
25
@L-MD
L-MDW 70-65
+7.5
27
@BU
BUL 59-69
−6.5
1
vsLEH
LEHL 67-69
−3.5
5
@ARMY
ARMYL 65-68
+1.5
8
vsBU
BUW 72-52
+22.5
12
vsCOLG
COLGL 65-87
−16.5
15
@LEH
LEHL 60-72
−7.5
19
vsLAF
LAFW 74-69
+7.5
23
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-83
+0.5
26
@COLG
COLGL 73-81
+2.5
1
vsBUCK
BUCKL 81-94
−7.5
4
@LAF
LAFL 68-69
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WIS
WISL 61-85
+5.5
8
@URI
URIL 77-91
+18.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 82-75
+5.5
16
@BRWN
BRWNW 73-65
−7.5
17
vsUNH
UNHW 74-72
+4.5
24
@ME
MEL 55-80
+0.5
29
@UVA
UVAL 41-67
−18.5
4
vsHARV
HARVW 68-67
−4.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUL 56-69
−7.5
17
@QUIN
QUINW 70-69
−4.5
20
@SIE
SIEW 78-70
+16.5
2
vsL-MD
L-MDW 74-72
+6.5
5
@AMER
AMERL 64-75
+1.5
8
vsNAVY
NAVYW 70-59
−11.5
11
@LAF
LAFL 65-82
+15.5
15
@BUCK
BUCKL 82-86
+33.5
18
vsAMER
AMERL 65-74
+2.5
22
vsARMY
ARMYL 71-76
+4.5
25
@L-MD
L-MDW 70-65
−7.5
27
@BU
BUL 59-69
−2.5
1
vsLEH
LEHL 67-69
−3.5
5
@ARMY
ARMYL 65-68
−10.5
8
vsBU
BUW 72-52
−5.5
12
vsCOLG
COLGL 65-87
+7.5
15
@LEH
LEHL 60-72
−7.5
19
vsLAF
LAFW 74-69
+6.5
23
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-83
+23.5
26
@COLG
COLGL 73-81
+8.5
1
vsBUCK
BUCKL 81-94
+35.5
4
@LAF
LAFL 68-69
−0.5
over 17under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
32 games played
Straight up
12-20
38% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vsCCSU | W 59-55 | -18.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 9 | vs STO | W 76-49 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 12 | vs HAMP | W 60-51 | -23.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 16 | vs GB | W 79-65 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 19 | vs DSU | W 78-48 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs OU | L 77-79 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAV | L 58-69 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 29 | vs IU | L 73-89 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs BYU | W 83-64 | +4.5 | W +23.5 | 143.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | @URI | L 63-69 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 10 | @ DEP | W 70-63 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 14 | vs SBU | L 70-74 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 127.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJU | L 70-72 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 31 | vs MARQ | L 50-78 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 5 | @ CONN | L 84-87 | +14.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs BTLR | W 84-65 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 11 | vs HALL | W 91-85 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 130.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 14 | @ CREI | L 64-84 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | L 73-75 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 25 | vs GTWN | W 78-68 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 28 | @HALL | W 69-67 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 1 | @SJU | L 66-68 | +13.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 5 | vsCREI | L 69-80 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 8 | @BTLR | L 81-82 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | vs XAV | L 82-91 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 15 | vsVILL | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 19 | @GTWN | L 72-93 | -0.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 25 | @MARQ | L 52-82 | +13.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 1 | vsCONN | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 5 | vsDEP | L 77-80 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 8 | @XAV | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 12 | vsBTLR | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsCCSU
CCSUW 59-55
−14.5
9
vsSTO
STOW 76-49
+2.5
12
vsHAMP
HAMPW 60-51
−14.5
16
vsGB
GBW 79-65
−1.5
19
vsDSU
DSUW 78-48
+5.5
27
vsOU
OUL 77-79
+1.5
28
vsDAV
DAVL 58-69
−16.5
29
vsIU
IUL 73-89
−11.5
3
vsBYU
BYUW 83-64
+23.5
7
@URI
URIL 63-69
−8.5
10
@DEP
DEPW 70-63
+8.5
14
vsSBU
SBUL 70-74
−6.5
20
vsSJU
SJUL 70-72
+3.5
31
vsMARQ
MARQL 50-78
−20.5
5
@CONN
CONNL 84-87
+11.5
8
vsBTLR
BTLRW 84-65
+16.5
11
vsHALL
HALLW 91-85
−1.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 64-84
−11.5
17
@VILL
VILLL 73-75
+6.5
25
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-68
+11.5
28
@HALL
HALLW 69-67
−1.5
1
@SJU
SJUL 66-68
+11.5
5
vsCREI
CREIL 69-80
−7.5
8
@BTLR
BTLRL 81-82
+3.5
12
vsXAV
XAVL 82-91
−6.5
15
vsVILL
VILLW 75-62
+14.5
19
@GTWN
GTWNL 72-93
−21.5
25
@MARQ
MARQL 52-82
−16.5
1
vsCONN
CONNL 63-75
−5.5
5
vsDEP
DEPL 77-80
−11.5
8
@XAV
XAVL 68-76
+3.5
12
vsBTLR
BTLRL 69-75
−4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsCCSU
CCSUW 59-55
−21.5
9
vsSTO
STOW 76-49
−14.5
12
vsHAMP
HAMPW 60-51
−27.5
16
vsGB
GBW 79-65
−0.5
19
vsDSU
DSUW 78-48
−10.5
27
vsOU
OUL 77-79
+19.5
28
vsDAV
DAVL 58-69
−9.5
29
vsIU
IUL 73-89
+23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUW 83-64
+3.5
7
@URI
URIL 63-69
−15.5
10
@DEP
DEPW 70-63
−5.5
14
vsSBU
SBUL 70-74
+16.5
20
vsSJU
SJUL 70-72
−0.5
31
vsMARQ
MARQL 50-78
−14.5
5
@CONN
CONNL 84-87
+34.5
8
vsBTLR
BTLRW 84-65
+12.5
11
vsHALL
HALLW 91-85
+45.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 64-84
+3.5
17
@VILL
VILLL 73-75
+6.5
25
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-68
+7.5
28
@HALL
HALLW 69-67
+2.5
1
@SJU
SJUL 66-68
−10.5
5
vsCREI
CREIL 69-80
+6.5
8
@BTLR
BTLRL 81-82
+17.5
12
vsXAV
XAVL 82-91
+28.5
15
vsVILL
VILLW 75-62
−5.5
19
@GTWN
GTWNL 72-93
+22.5
25
@MARQ
MARQL 52-82
−12.5
1
vsCONN
CONNL 63-75
−9.5
5
vsDEP
DEPL 77-80
+12.5
8
@XAV
XAVL 68-76
−5.5
12
vsBTLR
BTLRL 69-75
−6.5
over 16under 16avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Holy Cross
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Providence
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.