Schollmaier Arena · at TCU
Closing line
TCU -23.5✓ TCU covered by 12.5
TCU -23.5✓ TCU covered by 12.5Closing total150.5Under by 24.5
 KC | This season | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-2 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KC 64–86 TCU · ✓ TCU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 28 | 17 | 45 |
| TCU | 51 | 30 | 81 |
1st half: KC 28, TCU 51 (TCU by 23). The model had TCU by 13.2 and a total of 70.2 (actual 79).
Team stats
| KC | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-56 23% | Field goals | 27-68 40% |
| 7-32 22% | 3-pointers | 14-32 44% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 50 17 off |
| 10 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 10 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| KC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmello Branch G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 5-15 | 4-14 |
| Jayson Petty G | 27 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-6 |
| Jerome Palm F | 26 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| CJ Evans G | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Chris Dockery F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kernan Bundy G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Jamaria Clark G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Addarin Scott F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kasheem Grady II G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Baba Mbengue C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Booker-Lowery, Jason Hilliard, Cory Curtis Jr., Max Sims, D'Andre Harrison
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Harding G | 29 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| David Punch F | 27 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 2-12 | 0-3 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 25 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 22 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Micah Robinson G | 20 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Tanner Toolson G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jace Posey G | 14 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Kayden Edwards G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| RJ Jones G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Simmons G | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Adam Stewart C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew McElroy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trey Stuart G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Malick Diallo
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTCU -23.5
ModelTCU -22.1
Model edgeKC +1.4
L TCU covered
Total
Market150.5
Model149.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
KC 63.8 · TCU 85.9
KC 45 · TCU 81
Win probability
TCU 97%
1st half
Spread
TCU -13.2
TCU -23.0
Total
70.2
79 points
Projected score
KC 28.5 · TCU 41.7
KC 28 · TCU 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTCU -24.5
1 → KC
CloseTCU -23.5
1 pt toward KC
Total
Open146.5
▲ 4
Close150.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
KC +3000 · TCU -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TCU -24.5 · closed TCU -23.5 · moved 1 toward KCmodel TCU -22
model TCU -22
Opened 146.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 4 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KClast 3 | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
| TCUlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas City
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +14.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SIU
SIUL 78-101
−10.5
11
vs
IONA
IONAL 91-105
−9.5
15
@
TEX
TEXL 55-71
+15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
+37.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
+39.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
−33.5
over 2under 1avg +14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
TCU
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vs
SFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vs
LAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vs
MICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
over 2under 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas City
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas55–71
- Lvs Iona91–105
- L@ S Illinois78–101
4 days since their last game.
TCU
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan63–67
- Wvs Lamar78–65
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves104–63
- Lvs LSU N Orleans74–78
5 days since their last game.