State Farm Center · at Illinois
Closing line
ILL -3.5✓ ILL covered by 0.5
ILL -3.5✓ ILL covered by 0.5Closing total168.5Under by 10.5
 TTU | This season | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TTU 82–86 ILL · ✓ ILL (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 32 | 45 | 77 |
| ILL | 45 | 36 | 81 |
1st half: TTU 32, ILL 45 (ILL by 13). The model had ILL by 2.3 and a total of 78.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| TTU | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-64 53% | Field goals | 29-59 49% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 3-4 75% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 20 | Assists | 5 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 39 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 4-12 | 0-6 |
| JT Toppin F | 39 | 35 | 11 | 3 | 17-25 | 1-2 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 34 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 30 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 8-10 | 2-2 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Petty G | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Nolan Groves G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Marial Akuentok F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leon Horner, LaTrell Hoover, Luke Bamgboye, Jazz Henderson Jr., Jack Francis, Josiah Moseley
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell G | 38 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| David Mirkovic F | 36 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Keaton Wagler G | 35 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 24 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Jake Davis F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 26 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 11-16 | 0-1 |
| Ben Humrichous F | 23 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Jason Jakstys C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mihailo Petrovic, Blake Fagbemi, Brandon Lee, Ty Rodgers, Tomislav Ivisic, AJ Redd
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -6.5
3 → TTU
CloseILL -3.5
3 pts toward TTU
Total
Open162.5
▲ 6
Close168.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
TTU +145 · ILL -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -6.5 · closed ILL -3.5 · moved 3 toward TTUmodel ILL -4
model ILL -4
Opened 162.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 6 upmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -3.5 | ILL -4.0 | ILL +0.5 | W ILL covered |
| Total | 168.5 | 167.8 | Under 0.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | TTU 81.9 · ILL 86 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -2.3 | ILL -13.0 |
| 1H total | 78.6 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | TTU 38.1 · ILL 40.4 | TTU 32 · ILL 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
| ILLlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Tech
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +15 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vs
SHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
over 2under 0avg +15 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +21.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +16.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vs
FGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +21.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
over 2under 0avg +16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Tech
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sam Houston98–77
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions98–60
4 days since their last game.
Illinois
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FGCU113–70
- Wvs Jackson St113–55
4 days since their last game.