State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
ILST -5.5✓ ILST covered by 4.5
ILST -5.5✓ ILST covered by 4.5Closing total139.5Over by 8.5
 CLT | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 1-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLT 69–73 ILST · ✓ ILST (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLT | 34 | 35 | 69 |
| ILST | 43 | 36 | 79 |
1st half: CLT 34, ILST 43 (ILST by 9). The model had ILST by 2.1 and a total of 66.8 (actual 77).
Team stats
| CLT | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 9-19 47% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 14-23 61% | Free throws | 21-31 68% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 26 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| CLT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Bradford G | 30 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 9-13 | 1-2 |
| Kylan Blackmon G | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Butler F | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Dezayne Mingo G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Anton Bonke C | 14 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Major Freeman G | 24 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Raúl Villar G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| David Gomez F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Jarne Elouna Eyenga F | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Arden Conyers F | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Spencer Elliott F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kuluel Mading C | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frank Oguche, Damoni Harrison, Nick Richart, Andrew Bailey
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Skunberg G | 35 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 8-14 | 2-5 |
| Johnny Kinziger G | 35 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 28 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Ty Pence G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Chase Walker F | 19 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Wolf G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mason Klabo G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Landon Moore G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Barnes F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -5.5
no move
CloseILST -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CLT +190 · ILST -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -5.5 · unchangedmodel ILST -4
model ILST -4
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILST -5.5 | ILST -3.8 | CLT +1.7 | L ILST covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 142.7 | Over 3.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CLT 69.4 · ILST 73.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILST -2.1 | ILST -9.0 |
| 1H total | 66.8 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | CLT 32.4 · ILST 34.5 | CLT 34 · ILST 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLTlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
| ILSTlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% | 1-4 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Charlotte
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
INST
INSTW 92-76
+11.5
7
vs
TNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−7.5
11
vs
DAV
DAVL 55-62
−8.5
16
@
VT
VTL 76-84
+10.5
21
@
APP
APPL 63-65
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+15.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−11.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−26.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+14.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−4.5
over 2under 3avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vs
COR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vs
USC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@
LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vs
CCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
over 1under 4avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Charlotte
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ App State63–65
- L@ Virginia Tech76–84
- Lvs Davidson55–62
- Wvs Tennessee Tech70–65
- Wvs Indiana St92–76
6 days since their last game.
Illinois St
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Coastal94–42
- W@ Long Beach St82–80
- Lvs USC67–87
- Wvs Cornell76–65
- L@ Ohio68–72
4 days since their last game.