State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
URI -2.5✓ TOW covered by 9.5
URI -2.5✓ TOW covered by 9.5Closing total140.5Under by 23.5
| URI | This season | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 2-2 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: URI 72–70 TOW · ✗ URI (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| URI | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| TOW | 25 | 37 | 62 |
1st half: URI 21, TOW 25 (TOW by 4). The model had URI by 1.6 and a total of 66.3 (actual 46).
Team stats
| URI | TOW | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-50 42% | Field goals | 22-50 44% |
| 3-24 13% | 3-pointers | 5-13 38% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 6 |
| 7 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| URI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keeyan Itejere F | 39 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Cochran G | 35 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Jonah Hinton G | 32 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2-10 | 2-9 |
| Alex Crawford F | 27 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Myles Corey G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| RJ Johnson G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Jahmere Tripp G | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Damone King G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Drissa Traore F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Moek Icke, Jaymien Aponte, Jimmy Ball, Mouhamed Sow, Barrett Loer, Jalen Harper, Javon Perry
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson G | 39 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 10-21 | 5-9 |
| Tyler Tejada F | 37 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 22 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Abdou Samb F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Mor Seck C | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 15 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Conway G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaiden Cole, Ryan Skerry, Jon Barton, Jaquan Womack, Brandon Holmes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketURI -2.5
ModelURI -2.5
Model edge—
TOW covered
Total
Market140.5
Model141.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
L Under
Projected score
URI 72 · TOW 69.6
URI 55 · TOW 62
Win probability
URI 59%
1st half
Spread
URI -1.6
TOW -4.0
Total
66.3
46 points
Projected score
URI 34 · TOW 32.4
URI 21 · TOW 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenURI -3.5
1 → TOW
CloseURI -2.5
1 pt toward TOW
Total
Open139.5
▲ 1
Close140.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
URI -145 · TOW +125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened URI -3.5 · closed URI -2.5 · moved 1 toward TOWmodel URI -2.5 matches the line
model URI -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| URIlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| TOWlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rhode Island
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
STET
STETW 93-62
+12.5
7
vs
TLSA
TLSAL 65-82
−20.5
11
vs
STO
STOW 80-57
+6.5
14
vs
UALB
UALBW 80-61
+3.5
18
@
YALE
YALEW 86-77
+17.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-62
+2.5
7
vsTLSA
TLSAL 65-82
−6.5
11
vsSTO
STOW 80-57
−14.5
14
vsUALB
UALBW 80-61
−9.5
18
@YALE
YALEW 86-77
+9.5
over 2under 3avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Towson
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −16.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
L-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@
HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
14
vs
NORF
NORFW 51-41
−3.5
18
@
JMU
JMUL 75-81
−9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−46.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
+15.5
over 1under 3avg −16.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rhode Island
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Yale86–77
- Wvs UAlbany80–61
- Wvs Stonehill80–57
- Lvs Tulsa65–82
- Wvs Stetson93–62
6 days since their last game.
Towson
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ James Madison75–81
- Wvs Norfolk St51–41
- L@ Houston48–65
- Wvs Loyola MD67–56
6 days since their last game.