Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys
Closing line
MSM -1.5✓ BUCK covered by 12.5
Closing total143.5Under by 8.5
| This season | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BUCK 69–72 MSM · ✗ MSM (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| MSM | 30 | 32 | 62 |
1st half: BUCK 38, MSM 30 (BUCK by 8). The model had MSM by 1.3 and a total of 66.2 (actual 68).
Team stats
| BUCK | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 20-51 39% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 4-25 16% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 0 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruot Bijiek F | 34 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 4-13 | 3-6 |
| Jayden Williams G | 33 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Amon Dorries C | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Achile Spadone G | 28 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Brandon McCreesh G | 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grgur Brcic F | 15 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pat Curtin G | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Quin Berger G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Brady Muller, Jacob Meachem, Kellen Welch, Josh Fulton, Matt Lange, Patrick O'Brien
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 37 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Mason So G | 34 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 31 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Luke McEldon F | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Amadi F | 20 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Espinosa F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Justin May, John Miller IV, Abdou Khadre Kebe, Jaxon Hartman, Arlandus Keyes, Anthony Arrington Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSM -1.5
ModelMSM -2.5
Model edgeMSM +1.0
L BUCK covered
Total
Market143.5
Model141.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
W Under
Projected score
BUCK 69.4 · MSM 71.9
BUCK 73 · MSM 62
Win probability
MSM 59%
1st half
Spread
MSM -1.3
BUCK -8.0
Total
66.2
68 points
Projected score
BUCK 32.4 · MSM 33.8
BUCK 38 · MSM 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -3.5
2 → BUCK
CloseMSM -1.5
2 pts toward BUCK
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BUCK +105 · MSM -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -3.5 · closed MSM -1.5 · moved 2 toward BUCKmodel MSM -2.5
model MSM -2.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | |
| 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BUCK 0–1 MSMMSM leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BUCK 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024-25 | MSM 93 @ BUCK 89 | BUCK -5.5 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bucknell
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
−1.5
over 0under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WVU
L 54-70
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
WVU
L 54-70
−12.5
over 0under 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bucknell
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Delaware78–70
4 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ West Virginia54–70
3 days since their last game.