Florida A&M Rattlers at Georgia Bulldogs: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 17, 6:30 PM ETStegeman Coliseum · at Georgia

Final

#34UGAGeorgia87▲ winner

Closing lineUGA -40.5✓ FAMU covered by 10.5

Closing total170.5Under by 26.5

Season records: Florida A&M and Georgia
FAMU	This season	UGA
0-3	Record	4-0
0-3	ATS	3-1
1-2	O/U	3-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: FAMU 62–97 UGA · ✓ UGA (100%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
FAMU	22	35	57
UGA	44	43	87

1st half: FAMU 22, UGA 44 (UGA by 22). The model had UGA by 21.2 and a total of 74.3 (actual 66).

Team stats

FAMU		UGA
21-62 34%	Field goals	28-65 43%
7-21 33%	3-pointers	2-26 8%
8-14 57%	Free throws	29-35 83%
34 16 off	Rebounds	47 20 off
10	Assists	12
8	Steals	12
2	Blocks	14
25	Turnovers	13
23	Fouls	19
26	Points in paint	48
6	Fast-break points	26

Players

FAMU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Tyler Shirley F	35	13	6	0	5-15	3-5
Miles Ndalama C	23	2	7	2	1-8	0-1
Antonio Baker Jr. G	21	2	2	1	1-5	0-1
Anthony Knowles G	15	1	1	0	0-6	0-5
Devere Palmer Jr. G	14	3	2	1	1-6	0-0
Bench
Jordan Chatman G	30	13	2	1	4-7	1-3
Anquan Boldin Jr. G	30	16	3	2	6-9	3-5
Kaleb Washington F	19	6	3	3	3-5	0-0
Lenard Taylor Jr. G	13	1	2	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Micah Octave, Malcolm Stute, Amir Rahman, Jaquan Sanders

UGA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jordan Ross G	23	6	2	1	2-5	0-3
Blue Cain G	23	12	10	4	4-9	0-3
Jeremiah Wilkinson G	23	11	2	2	3-10	1-6
Kanon Catchings F	17	3	2	0	1-2	0-1
Somto Cyril C	16	12	5	0	6-8	0-0
Bench
Dylan James F	20	10	8	0	5-9	0-2
Jake Wilkins F	19	14	4	1	3-8	0-4
Marcus Millender G	17	5	3	3	1-6	0-4
Justin Bailey G	15	4	2	0	1-3	1-3
Justin Abson F	13	5	4	0	2-4	0-0
Kareem Stagg F	12	5	3	1	0-1	0-0
Brandon Klatsky G	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jaden Newell F	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Markel Jennings, Jackson McVey

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	UGA -40.5	UGA -35.3	FAMU +5.2	W FAMU covered
Total	170.5	158.6	Under 11.9	W Under
Projected score	—	FAMU 61.6 · UGA 96.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	UGA -21.2	UGA -22.0
1H total	74.3	66
1H projected score	FAMU 26.5 · UGA 47.7	FAMU 22 · UGA 44

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAMU LLL	0-3	0%	0-2	0-3
UGA WWWL	3-1	75%	3-1	3-1

Venue/role: FAMU away, as underdog; UGA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAMU OUU	1-2	33%	0-3
UGA OUOO	3-1	75%	4-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAMUlast 3	0-3 0%	0-3 0%	1-2 33%
UGAlast 4	4-0 100%	3-1 75%	3-1 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

FAMU 0–1 UGAUGA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · FAMU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 2, 2022-23	FAMU 46 @ UGA 68	UGA -26.5	FAMU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Florida A&M

3 games played

Straight up

0-3

0% wins

Against the spread

0-3

0% covers · avg −10.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-30%

L L L

3 straight losses0 of 3 won

Against the spread

0-30%

L L L

3 straight misses ATS0 of 3 covered

Over / Under

1-233%

O U U

2 straight unders1 of 3 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@USF	L 67-102	+25.5	L −9.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 8	vsKENN	L 72-92	+11.5	L −8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 11	@UCF	L 60-97	+23.5	L −13.5	169.5	U 157

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

USF

L 67-102

−9.5

KENN

L 72-92

−8.5

UCF

L 60-97

−13.5

covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

USF

L 67-102

+15.5

KENN

L 72-92

−2.5

UCF

L 60-97

−12.5

over 1under 2avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Georgia

4 games played

Straight up

4-0

100% wins

Against the spread

3-1

75% covers · avg +13.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg +16.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-0100%

W W W W

4 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-175%

W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-175%

O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsBELL	W 104-59	-23.5	W +21.5	150.5	O 163
Nov 5	vsUMES	W 94-29	-33.5	W +31.5	142.5	U 123
Nov 9	vsMORE	W 120-81	-28.5	W +10.5	150.5	O 201
Nov 14	vsGT	W 92-87	-15.5	L −10.5	155.5	O 179

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BELL

W 104-59

+21.5

UMES

W 94-29

+31.5

W 120-81

+10.5

W 92-87

−10.5

covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +13.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BELL

W 104-59

+12.5

UMES

W 94-29

−19.5

W 120-81

+50.5

W 92-87

+23.5

over 3under 1avg +16.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Florida A&M @ Georgia

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Florida A&M

Georgia

Florida A&M

Georgia