Holmes Convocation Center · at App State
Closing line
APP -10.5✓ APP covered by 11.5
APP -10.5✓ APP covered by 11.5Closing total136.5Under by 6.5
 NCCU | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 69–77 APP · ✓ APP (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 18 | 36 | 54 |
| APP | 38 | 38 | 76 |
1st half: NCCU 18, APP 38 (APP by 20). The model had APP by 4.5 and a total of 68.5 (actual 56).
Team stats
| NCCU | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-50 30% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 21-29 72% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 34 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 33 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 33 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Jonathan Dunn F | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Kyric Davis G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tekao Carpenter G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-3 |
| Justin Edwards G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ramondo Battle II F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jae Slack G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gbenga Olubi, Khalil Arnold, Caleb Ellison, Camren Daniels, Ryan Archey
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eren Banks G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 31 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 7-18 | 2-8 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 29 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Luke Wilson C | 23 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chad Moodie F | 21 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrin Njock F | 19 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Tot G | 14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jacari Brim G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ Vasser, Grant Clayton, Cameron O'Kelley, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, Dalyn Brandon, Brewer Carruth, Luke Ledford
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -7.5
3 → APP
CloseAPP -10.5
3 pts toward APP
Total
Open131.5
▲ 5
Close136.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
NCCU +450 · APP -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -7.5 · closed APP -10.5 · moved 3 toward APPmodel APP -7.5
model APP -7.5
Opened 131.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 5 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | APP -10.5 | APP -7.6 | NCCU +2.9 | L APP covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 146.1 | Over 9.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NCCU 69.3 · APP 76.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | APP -4.5 | APP -20.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | NCCU 32 · APP 36.5 | NCCU 18 · APP 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCUlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| APPlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NCCU 0–1 APPAPP leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NCCU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022-23 | NCCU 74 @ APP 79 | APP -5.5 | NCCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +13 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@
UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
over 1under 1avg +13 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −14.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
over 1under 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Virginia62–81
- L@ NC State66–114
2 days since their last game.
App State
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ C Michigan66–82
6 days since their last game.