EagleBank Arena · at George Mason
Closing line
GMU -9.5✓ WIN covered by 3.5
GMU -9.5✓ WIN covered by 3.5Closing total146.5Over by 39.5
 WIN | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIN 67–80 GMU · ✓ GMU (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 47 | 43 | 90 |
| GMU | 43 | 53 | 96 |
1st half: WIN 47, GMU 43 (WIN by 4). The model had GMU by 8.1 and a total of 68.9 (actual 90).
Team stats
| WIN | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-67 39% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 13-39 33% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 25-29 86% | Free throws | 31-43 72% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 50 16 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 1 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 30 | Fouls | 22 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rozier G | 32 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4-13 | 3-10 |
| Kody Clouet G | 26 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Daylen Berry G | 25 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Logan Duncomb C | 24 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Meo G | 21 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Tommy Kamarad F | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Pharrell Boyogueno G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tai Hamilton F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Harrison, Braylhan Thomas, Cam Christy, Kaleb Evans
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Presley G | 36 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jahari Long G | 36 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 5-14 | 3-8 |
| Kory Mincy G | 35 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 9-16 | 4-9 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 23 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Ellington F | 19 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 12 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Woodward, T.J. Prosise, Fatt Hill, Brayden O'Connor, Masai Troutman, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -9.5
ModelGMU -13.7
Model edgeGMU +4.2
L WIN covered
Total
Market146.5
Model147.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
W Over
Projected score
WIN 66.7 · GMU 80.4
WIN 90 · GMU 96
Win probability
GMU 88%
1st half
Spread
GMU -8.1
WIN -4.0
Total
68.9
90 points
Projected score
WIN 30.4 · GMU 38.5
WIN 47 · GMU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -11.5
2 → WIN
CloseGMU -9.5
2 pts toward WIN
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
WIN +380 · GMU -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -11.5 · closed GMU -9.5 · moved 2 toward WINmodel GMU -13.5
model GMU -13.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WINlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| GMUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Winthrop
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUC | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
over 0under 1avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −24.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
over 0under 1avg −24.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Winthrop
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Queens University Royals81–74
4 days since their last game.
George Mason
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wofford70–46
4 days since their last game.