Norfolk State Spartans at Wyoming Cowboys: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 4:00 PM ETArena-Auditorium · at Wyoming

#319NORFNorfolk St67final

Final

#122WYOWyoming75▲ winner

Closing lineWYO -15.5✓ NORF covered by 7.5

Closing total141.5Over by 0.5

Season records: Norfolk St and Wyoming
NORF	This season	WYO
1-3	Record	3-1
2-2	ATS	2-2
1-3	O/U	1-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: NORF 65–74 WYO · ✓ WYO (80%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
NORF	23	44	67
WYO	39	36	75

1st half: NORF 23, WYO 39 (WYO by 16). The model had WYO by 5.6 and a total of 65.1 (actual 62).

Team stats

NORF		WYO
20-51 39%	Field goals	21-55 38%
6-17 35%	3-pointers	9-27 33%
21-29 72%	Free throws	24-31 77%
30 11 off	Rebounds	41 16 off
6	Assists	15
7	Steals	7
5	Blocks	5
12	Turnovers	14
22	Fouls	25
20	Points in paint	24
12	Fast-break points	6

Players

NORF	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Elijah Jamison G	32	19	1	1	6-13	2-6
Anthony McComb III G	32	19	6	0	6-15	1-3
Jordan Leaks G	25	3	0	0	1-3	1-2
Devon Ellis F	25	3	4	1	1-4	1-2
Keyontae Lewis F	12	3	3	0	0-3	0-0
Bench
Dian Wright-Forde G	27	13	2	2	4-6	0-1
Jaquel Morris F	16	0	3	1	0-2	0-0
Yel Deeng F	15	3	2	0	1-3	1-3
Melo Baines F	11	4	2	1	1-2	0-0
Mekhi Reid F	5	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ahmad Torrence, Adrean Newton, Ryan Williams, My'kel Jenkins, Dramane Camara

WYO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Leland Walker G	35	15	7	3	3-6	0-3
Khaden Bennett G	33	13	7	6	4-11	3-6
Damarion Dennis G	32	15	2	3	4-10	3-8
Abou Magassa F	10	0	3	0	0-1	0-0
Matija Belic F	9	3	4	1	1-4	1-2
Bench
Adam Harakow G	26	18	5	0	6-14	2-5
Simm-Marten Saadi F	16	2	4	0	1-2	0-0
Gavin Gores F	11	5	3	0	1-2	0-0
Nasir Meyer G	10	2	0	2	1-2	0-1
Kiani Saxon F	9	0	2	0	0-1	0-0
Jared Harris G	5	2	0	0	0-0	0-0
Uriyah Rojas G	4	0	0	0	0-2	0-2

Did not play: Neil Summers, Talan Taylor, Garrett Spielman

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WYO -15.5	WYO -9.5	NORF +6.0	W NORF covered
Total	141.5	139.0	Under 2.5	L Over
Projected score	—	NORF 64.7 · WYO 74.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WYO -5.6	WYO -16.0
1H total	65.1	62
1H projected score	NORF 29.8 · WYO 35.4	NORF 23 · WYO 39

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NORF LWWL	2-2	50%	2-0	2-1
WYO LWWL	2-2	50%	2-1	2-1

Venue/role: NORF away, as underdog; WYO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
NORF OUUU	1-3	25%	1-3
WYO OUUU	1-3	25%	3-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NORFlast 4	1-3 25%	2-2 50%	1-3 25%
WYOlast 4	3-1 75%	2-2 50%	1-3 25%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Norfolk St

4 games played

Straight up

1-3

25% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-3

25% overs · avg −22.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-325%

L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-250%

L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-325%

O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	vsW&M	L 78-81	+2.5	L −0.5	158.5	O 159
Nov 11	@ODU	L 57-60	+8.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 117
Nov 14	@TOW	L 41-51	+13.5	W +3.5	138.5	U 92
Nov 21	vsHAMP	W 62-60	-2.5	L −0.5	133.5	U 122

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

W&M

L 78-81

−0.5

ODU

L 57-60

+5.5

TOW

L 41-51

+3.5

HAMP

W 62-60

−0.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

W&M

L 78-81

+0.5

ODU

L 57-60

−32.5

TOW

L 41-51

−46.5

HAMP

W 62-60

−11.5

over 1under 3avg −22.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Wyoming

4 games played

Straight up

3-1

75% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-3

25% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-175%

W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-250%

L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-325%

O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	vsCSUF	W 92-82	-15.5	L −5.5	154.5	O 174
Nov 11	vsAPSU	W 79-65	-5.5	W +8.5	153.5	U 144
Nov 15	vsPORT	W 93-56	-11.5	W +25.5	160.5	U 149
Nov 19	@SHSU	L 70-78	+1.5	L −6.5	156.5	U 148

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CSUF

W 92-82

−5.5

APSU

W 79-65

+8.5

PORT

W 93-56

+25.5

SHSU

L 70-78

−6.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CSUF

W 92-82

+19.5

APSU

W 79-65

−9.5

PORT

W 93-56

−11.5

SHSU

L 70-78

−8.5

over 1under 3avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Norfolk St @ Wyoming

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Norfolk St

Wyoming

Norfolk St

Wyoming