Broadview Arena · at Buffalo
Closing line
BUF -3.5✓ BUF covered by 2.5
BUF -3.5✓ BUF covered by 2.5Closing total153.5Over by 10.5
 USM | This season | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USM 73–75 BUF · ✓ BUF (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 38 | 41 | 79 |
| BUF | 36 | 49 | 85 |
1st half: USM 38, BUF 36 (USM by 2). The model had BUF by 0.6 and a total of 69.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| USM | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-50 54% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 12-30 40% |
| 19-20 95% | Free throws | 25-36 69% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 30 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 27 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks F | 35 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 31 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 11-15 | 1-2 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Djahi Binet F | 18 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Brewer Carruth G | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Curt Lewis G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 16 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Israel Hart G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| IJ Ezuma F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tegra Izay C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Felipe Patino G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Robert Cowherd G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| EJ Paymon F | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jett Montgomery, Dalyn Brandon, Blake Lander, Chandler Watts
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol G | 35 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 9-18 | 7-14 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Noah Batchelor G | 31 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Daniel Freitag G | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Tim Oboh F | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 23 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Ezra McKenna F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Kyle Jones G | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Mikhali Pocknett F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Omar Migues-Hibeljic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Shao, Matas Buteliauskas, Aleksa Vlajic, Evan Romano
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSM -1.5
5 → BUF
CloseBUF -3.5
5 pts toward BUF
Total
Open154.5
▼ 1
Close153.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USM +155 · BUF -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USM -1.5 · closed BUF -3.5 · moved 5 toward BUFmodel BUF -1.5
model BUF -1.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -3.5 | BUF -1.3 | USM +2.2 | L BUF covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 147.8 | Under 5.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | USM 73.3 · BUF 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BUF -0.6 | USM -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.2 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | USM 34.3 · BUF 34.9 | USM 38 · BUF 36 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| BUF | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Miss
31 games played
Straight up
9-22
29% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs BGSU | W 77-68 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UAB | L 84-98 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | @ SDST | L 76-101 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ MTST | L 59-79 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | L 74-82 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 30 | vs MILW | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vs ALST | W 81-64 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 10 | @ TULN | L 58-86 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 14 | vs MISS | L 46-77 | +23.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 17 | vs LAM | L 65-69 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs MRSH | W 68-66 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 2 | @ JMU | L 72-83 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 4 | @ ODU | L 71-74 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 9 | vs ULM | W 84-67 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 11 | vs TXST | W 92-88 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 15 | @ USA | L 62-75 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 18 | @TXST | L 82-85 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 25 | @ UL | W 67-59 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 27 | @ TROY | L 61-70 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 29 | vs ARST | L 68-81 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 1 | vs GASO | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 5 | @ APP | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 8 | @ BALL | L 76-77 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 12 | @ARST | L 67-101 | +15.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 15 | @ULM | L 74-81 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 20 | vs CCU | L 78-87 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 22 | vsUL | L 60-62 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 26 | vsUSA | L 82-88 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsTROY | L 58-70 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 4 | vsCCU | W 66-63 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 5 | vsGASO | L 64-78 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsBGSU
BGSUW 77-68
+4.5
7
@UAB
UABL 84-98
−0.5
20
@SDST
SDSTL 76-101
−18.5
24
@MTST
MTSTL 59-79
−12.5
25
vsACU
ACUL 74-82
−4.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 66-65
+3.5
5
vsALST
ALSTW 81-64
+12.5
10
@TULN
TULNL 58-86
−22.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 46-77
−7.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 65-69
−1.5
21
vsMRSH
MRSHW 68-66
+5.5
2
@JMU
JMUL 72-83
+0.5
4
@ODU
ODUL 71-74
−0.5
9
vsULM
ULMW 84-67
+7.5
11
vsTXST
TXSTW 92-88
+7.5
15
@USA
USAL 62-75
−0.5
18
@TXST
TXSTL 82-85
+6.5
25
@UL
ULW 67-59
+6.5
27
@TROY
TROYL 61-70
+2.5
29
vsARST
ARSTL 68-81
−3.5
1
vsGASO
GASOW 72-68
+1.5
5
@APP
APPL 58-60
+6.5
8
@BALL
BALLL 76-77
+2.5
12
@ARST
ARSTL 67-101
−18.5
15
@ULM
ULML 74-81
−11.5
20
vsCCU
CCUL 78-87
−14.5
22
vsUL
ULL 60-62
−6.5
26
vsUSA
USAL 82-88
+1.5
28
vsTROY
TROYL 58-70
−2.5
4
vsCCU
CCUW 66-63
−0.5
5
vsGASO
GASOL 64-78
−7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsBGSU
BGSUW 77-68
−2.5
7
@UAB
UABL 84-98
+28.5
20
@SDST
SDSTL 76-101
+23.5
24
@MTST
MTSTL 59-79
−13.5
25
vsACU
ACUL 74-82
+6.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 66-65
−25.5
5
vsALST
ALSTW 81-64
−3.5
10
@TULN
TULNL 58-86
−1.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 46-77
−23.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 65-69
−4.5
21
vsMRSH
MRSHW 68-66
−12.5
2
@JMU
JMUL 72-83
+15.5
4
@ODU
ODUL 71-74
−0.5
9
vsULM
ULMW 84-67
+9.5
11
vsTXST
TXSTW 92-88
+36.5
15
@USA
USAL 62-75
−2.5
18
@TXST
TXSTL 82-85
+16.5
25
@UL
ULW 67-59
−22.5
27
@TROY
TROYL 61-70
−14.5
29
vsARST
ARSTL 68-81
−3.5
1
vsGASO
GASOW 72-68
−12.5
5
@APP
APPL 58-60
−18.5
8
@BALL
BALLL 76-77
+5.5
12
@ARST
ARSTL 67-101
+13.5
15
@ULM
ULML 74-81
+9.5
20
vsCCU
CCUL 78-87
+25.5
22
vsUL
ULL 60-62
−26.5
26
vsUSA
USAL 82-88
+31.5
28
vsTROY
TROYL 58-70
−15.5
4
vsCCU
CCUW 66-63
−11.5
5
vsGASO
GASOL 64-78
−6.5
over 12under 19avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Buffalo
29 games played
Straight up
7-22
24% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ODU | W 83-82 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ ND | L 77-86 | +23.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs BRY | L 64-87 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVM | L 67-78 | +17.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs MORG | W 82-73 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCAT | W 82-81 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 1 | @ PSU | L 64-87 | +28.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 7 | @ SBU | L 55-65 | +17.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 19 | @ UGA | L 49-100 | +26.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 29 | @ TEM | L 71-91 | +14.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | @ M-OH | L 79-93 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 7 | vs OHIO | L 79-88 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 10 | vs KENT | L 49-68 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | @BGSU | L 61-79 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 18 | @ WMU | W 85-76 | +8.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs AKR | L 58-90 | +12.5 | L −19.5 | 160.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 25 | @ EMU | L 77-90 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 28 | vs CMU | W 75-69 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 1 | vsBALL | L 76-89 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 4 | @ TOL | L 74-87 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 8 | vs GAST | L 75-80 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ NIU | W 73-67 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 15 | vsBGSU | L 59-63 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 18 | vsWMU | L 64-97 | +2.5 | L −30.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 22 | @BALL | L 66-80 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 25 | @CMU | L 69-73 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Mar 1 | vsTOL | W 87-74 | +7.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 4 | vsM-OH | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Mar 7 | @AKR | L 70-88 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ODU
ODUW 83-82
+11.5
11
@ND
NDL 77-86
+14.5
14
vsBRY
BRYL 64-87
−16.5
19
@UVM
UVML 67-78
+6.5
22
vsMORG
MORGW 82-73
+5.5
25
vsNCAT
NCATW 82-81
−1.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 64-87
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUL 55-65
+7.5
19
@UGA
UGAL 49-100
−24.5
29
@TEM
TEML 71-91
−5.5
4
@M-OH
M-OHL 79-93
−2.5
7
vsOHIO
OHIOL 79-88
+3.5
10
vsKENT
KENTL 49-68
−8.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 61-79
−9.5
18
@WMU
WMUW 85-76
+17.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 58-90
−19.5
25
@EMU
EMUL 77-90
−7.5
28
vsCMU
CMUW 75-69
+12.5
1
vsBALL
BALLL 76-89
−10.5
4
@TOL
TOLL 74-87
+0.5
8
vsGAST
GASTL 75-80
−2.5
11
@NIU
NIUW 73-67
+7.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUL 59-63
−2.5
18
vsWMU
WMUL 64-97
−30.5
22
@BALL
BALLL 66-80
−4.5
25
@CMU
CMUL 69-73
+9.5
1
vsTOL
TOLW 87-74
+20.5
4
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-84
−6.5
7
@AKR
AKRL 70-88
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ODU
ODUW 83-82
+18.5
11
@ND
NDL 77-86
+15.5
14
vsBRY
BRYL 64-87
−12.5
19
@UVM
UVML 67-78
+5.5
22
vsMORG
MORGW 82-73
−1.5
25
vsNCAT
NCATW 82-81
+3.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 64-87
−9.5
7
@SBU
SBUL 55-65
−22.5
19
@UGA
UGAL 49-100
+1.5
29
@TEM
TEML 71-91
+10.5
4
@M-OH
M-OHL 79-93
+22.5
7
vsOHIO
OHIOL 79-88
+13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTL 49-68
−30.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 61-79
−17.5
18
@WMU
WMUW 85-76
+7.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 58-90
−12.5
25
@EMU
EMUL 77-90
+15.5
28
vsCMU
CMUW 75-69
−1.5
1
vsBALL
BALLL 76-89
+12.5
4
@TOL
TOLL 74-87
−2.5
8
vsGAST
GASTL 75-80
−5.5
11
@NIU
NIUW 73-67
−13.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUL 59-63
−32.5
18
vsWMU
WMUL 64-97
+5.5
22
@BALL
BALLL 66-80
−5.5
25
@CMU
CMUL 69-73
−11.5
1
vsTOL
TOLW 87-74
+1.5
4
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-84
−0.5
7
@AKR
AKRL 70-88
−1.5
over 13under 16avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Miss
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Buffalo
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.