Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State
Closing line
OSU -24.5✓ OSU covered by 1.5
OSU -24.5✓ OSU covered by 1.5Closing total159.5Over by 2.5
 PFW | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PFW 74–95 OSU · ✓ OSU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 30 | 38 | 68 |
| OSU | 45 | 49 | 94 |
1st half: PFW 30, OSU 45 (OSU by 15). The model had OSU by 12.8 and a total of 78.9 (actual 75).
Team stats
| PFW | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 34-51 67% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 16-28 57% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 17 7 off | Rebounds | 33 4 off |
| 9 | Assists | 22 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 30 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 9-17 | 2-4 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 25 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Darius Duffy F | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| EJ Mosley G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Ebrahim Kaba G | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Yuval Levin F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mason Shrout G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Quentin Morgan, Solomon Richard, Danny Kelly, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Chris Morgan
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 36 | 38 | 5 | 5 | 14-17 | 5-8 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 34 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 6-13 | 5-9 |
| Brandon Noel F | 23 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 23 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-5 |
| Devin Royal F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Cupps G | 19 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Amare Bynum F | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 17 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Taison Chatman G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mathieu Grujicic G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Braylen Nash, Myles Herro, Josh Ojianwuna
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOSU -24.5
ModelOSU -21.3
Model edgePFW +3.3
L OSU covered
Total
Market159.5
Model168.7
Model edgeOver 9.2
W Over
Projected score
PFW 73.7 · OSU 95
PFW 68 · OSU 94
Win probability
OSU 97%
1st half
Spread
OSU -12.8
OSU -15.0
Total
78.9
75 points
Projected score
PFW 33.1 · OSU 45.8
PFW 30 · OSU 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -21.5
3 → OSU
CloseOSU -24.5
3 pts toward OSU
Total
Open160.5
▼ 1
Close159.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
PFW +2500 · OSU -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -21.5 · closed OSU -24.5 · moved 3 toward OSUmodel OSU -21.5
model OSU -21.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 downmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFWlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| OSUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
over 1under 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −17.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +47.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −17.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
over 1under 0avg +47.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue FW
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Grand Canyon71–90
4 days since their last game.
Ohio State
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy118–102
4 days since their last game.