Global Credit Union Arena · at Grand Canyon
Closing line
GCU -15.5✓ YSU covered by 24.5
GCU -15.5✓ YSU covered by 24.5Closing total152.5Over by 18.5
 YSU | This season | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YSU 69–81 GCU · ✗ GCU (85%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 38 | 52 | 90 |
| GCU | 37 | 44 | 81 |
1st half: YSU 38, GCU 37 (YSU by 1). The model had GCU by 7.1 and a total of 70.2 (actual 75).
Team stats
| YSU | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 32-66 48% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 2-13 15% |
| 24-30 80% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 39 16 off |
| 18 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 1 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Rolf F | 30 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Jason Nelson G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Cris Carroll F | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-4 |
| Tyler Robinett F | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Drew King G | 29 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 27 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 7-9 | 1-2 |
| Cam Polak G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Tae Blackshear G | 15 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Jaiden Haynes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Vlad Salaridze, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dusty Stromer G | 35 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 35 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 7-14 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Henley G | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 9-17 | 0-3 |
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Efe Demirel C | 19 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Shaw G | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Makaih Williams G | 14 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Smith F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Sawyer, Braylon Johnson, Luke Shaw, Evan Boisdur, Cole Pepe, Dennis Evans
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGCU -15.5
ModelGCU -11.9
Model edgeYSU +3.6
W YSU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model149.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
L Over
Projected score
YSU 69 · GCU 80.9
YSU 90 · GCU 81
Win probability
GCU 85%
1st half
Spread
GCU -7.1
YSU -1.0
Total
70.2
75 points
Projected score
YSU 31.5 · GCU 38.6
YSU 38 · GCU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGCU -12.5
3 → GCU
CloseGCU -15.5
3 pts toward GCU
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
YSU +900 · GCU -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GCU -12.5 · closed GCU -15.5 · moved 3 toward GCUmodel GCU -12
model GCU -12
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSUlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
| GCUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
over 0under 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grand Canyon
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
over 1under 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Youngstown St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Pitt59–74
4 days since their last game.
Grand Canyon
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue FW90–71
4 days since their last game.