McLeod Center · at Northern Iowa
Closing line
UNI -10.5✓ SDST covered by 3.5
UNI -10.5✓ SDST covered by 3.5Closing total150.5Under by 27.5
 SDST | This season | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDST 68–79 UNI · ✓ UNI (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 25 | 33 | 58 |
| UNI | 28 | 37 | 65 |
1st half: SDST 25, UNI 28 (UNI by 3). The model had UNI by 6.3 and a total of 68.7 (actual 53).
Team stats
| SDST | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 24-49 49% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 9-14 64% | Free throws | 11-20 55% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 23 5 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sayler G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-16 | 3-7 |
| Jaden Jackson G | 34 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Kalen Garry G | 31 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Matthew Mors F | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Alec Squires C | 15 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damon Wilkinson F | 25 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 15 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trey Buchanan G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Luke Haertle G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Rogers G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrell Burton Jr., Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Bubz Alvarez, Davis Kern
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III G | 35 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Will Hornseth F | 31 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Trey Campbell G | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-12 | 1-5 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Tristan Smith F | 26 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Schwieger F | 23 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Pock F | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| RJ Taylor G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Marino Dubravcic, Redek Born, Chase Courbat, Cade Courbat, Hunter Jacobson, Levi Valdo, Jalen Wilson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -10.5
ModelUNI -10.7
Model edgeUNI +0.2
L SDST covered
Total
Market150.5
Model146.8
Model edgeUnder 3.8
W Under
Projected score
SDST 68 · UNI 78.7
SDST 58 · UNI 65
Win probability
UNI 82%
1st half
Spread
UNI -6.3
UNI -3.0
Total
68.7
53 points
Projected score
SDST 31.2 · UNI 37.5
SDST 25 · UNI 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -8.5
2 → UNI
CloseUNI -10.5
2 pts toward UNI
Total
Open152.5
▼ 2
Close150.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SDST +450 · UNI -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -8.5 · closed UNI -10.5 · moved 2 toward UNImodel UNI -10.5 matches the line
model UNI -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 152.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSTlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| UNIlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Dakota St
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
over 0under 1avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northern Iowa
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +19.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
over 0under 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Dakota St
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Merrimack75–66
6 days since their last game.
Northern Iowa
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CSU Northridge86–57
3 days since their last game.